CBA ushered in the 1 1 first World War V in history. Who can lock the last 1 seat in the semi-final?

Throughout this season's CBA playoffs 1/4 finals, only the match between Guangsha and Shenzhen entered the deciding game. Tonight, the two sides will decide how to fight for the Fifth World War. So, did Guangsha break the spell of stopping the playoffs 1/4 finals for seven consecutive years? Or did the Shenzhen team replicate last year's miracle, and once again achieved the surprise promotion of the playoffs1quarter finals by grabbing five games?

In the history of CBA, 1 1 The winning percentage of the home team in the deciding game was as high as 70%.

Looking back, there was a 10 deciding game in CBA playoff history. And these 10 deciding games, 1 4 finals 7 times, semi-finals 2 times, finals1times. Therefore, it can be seen that 1/4 finals have the highest frequency of deciding games, followed by semi-finals and finals.

At the same time, looking back at the previous 10 draw, the home team won seven times, with a winning rate as high as 70%, while the visiting team won only three times, with a winning rate of only 30%. Therefore, from this perspective alone, the probability of Guangsha team enjoying home potential winning the deciding game is much higher than that of Shenzhen team. However, it has to be mentioned that the Guangsha team has never participated in the deciding game before, while the Shenzhen team has participated twice. For example, in last year's playoff1/quarter finals, the Shenzhen team eliminated the Shanghai team by tiebreaker. Therefore, from an empirical point of view, the Shenzhen team is the dominant party.

Another interesting point is that although the probability of the home team winning the tiebreaker is as high as 70%. However, in the last two world wars, the visiting team won. This is obviously good news for the Shenzhen team.

Guangsha's winning percentage at home is as high as 8 1%, and its record in Shenzhen this season is also superior.

As we all know, Guangsha team is the one who enjoys the home potential in the five games. With the great war just around the corner, it is necessary to explore the home and away record of the warring sides this season. As the champion of the regular season, Guangsha team has won 2 1, 17 and lost 4 at home so far, with a winning percentage as high as 8 1%. Such a high home winning rate has undoubtedly increased the confidence of Guangsha team to win the championship. On the other hand, from the beginning of the regular season, to the first round of the playoffs (10 into 8), and then to the final of the playoffs (1/4), the Shenzhen team has played 22 away games so far and won 1 1, with a winning percentage of 50%.

As for the historical record of the confrontation between the two sides, the two teams had accumulated 34 contests before, and the Shenzhen team scored 20 wins 14 losses, which gained the upper hand in the overall confrontation record. However, specific to this season, the two teams have met six times so far, and Guangsha team has 4 wins and 2 losses. They beat Shenzhen in the regular season and drew with Shenzhen in the first four rounds of the playoffs. Looking at the above series of data, Guangsha team has a slight advantage.

The overlord in the regular season must solve three stubborn diseases if he wants to win the remnant array in Shenzhen.

Before the fourth round of 1/4 finals, it was widely expected that Guangsha team would advance with a total score of 3- 1. On the one hand, it comes from the advantages of Guangsha team in comprehensive strength and staffing. On the other hand, Gu Quan and Meng Duo, the core players of Shenzhen team, were absent due to injuries. Surprisingly, the team that won four games was Shenzhen. They successfully tied the total score to 2-2 and dragged the 1/4 final into the deciding game.

The reason why Guangsha team lost in four games is because of underestimating the enemy, technical and tactical reasons and competitive state reasons. Frankly speaking, the Shenzhen team, which lacks generals, is full of fighting spirit, but the space for adjustment is relatively limited. If Guangsha team wants to win, it needs to change in at least three aspects. First of all, Guangsha team needs to resist the pressure, not to bear the ideological burden of wanting to win and being afraid of losing, and not to underestimate the enemy.

Secondly, Gu Quan and Meng Duo were absent one after another, and the deep team's outside attack was hit hard, so they could only bet on the inside line led by Salinger, Li Muhao and Shen Zijie. Therefore, for Guangsha team, in order to win in the deciding game, it is necessary to limit the inside of the opponent and avoid repeating the mistakes of the Fourth World War. Finally, the competitive state of Guangsha team. Looking back on World War IV, fortson made 0 of 9 3-pointers and Guangsha made 8 of 30 3-pointers (27% hit rate). The projection efficiency is so poor, no wonder Guangsha team lost in four games. Therefore, whether Guangsha team can adjust its competitive state and improve its five-game hit rate is also a key to success or failure.

We will wait and see who can lock the final 1 seat in the semi-final under the explosive situation of the Fifth World War.