What will happen to the announcement of the final election results in Chou He?

Yao Yang, a professor at China Economic Research Center of Peking University, was one of the earliest scholars who criticized Chou He's New Deal. On March 20th this year, this economist, who studied under Lin Yifu, said at the 2008 Interpretation of the "Two Sessions" and the Fifth Roundtable Forum on China's Economic Outlook held by China Economic Research Center: It is good for us to focus all our attention on economic construction now, but weaknesses are gradually emerging, such as income inequality, social friction, environmental problems and distorted government behavior. If a government concentrates on economic growth, its behavior must be distorted. You see, Chou He went to Kunming as party secretary, and his goal was to attract investment from every bureau. It is conceivable that the Civil Affairs Bureau also invited investment, the Education Bureau also invited investment, and the Environmental Protection Bureau also invited investment. I thought, Kunming is the last pure land. If Chou He works there for five years, it is estimated that Dianchi Lake will be finished. This shows that we have not put the long-term interests of the whole society on the most fundamental pursuit. We now regard growth as the source of our legitimacy. As long as I provide development for the people and improve their living standards, we can continue to be in power, but not necessarily, sometimes the strings will break if they are stretched too tightly. In the face of criticism, the Kunming Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government invited Yao Yang to Kunming to introduce the investment model and environmental governance of Kunming in detail. In less than two days, Yao Yang visited Dianchi Lake and Development Zone, and accepted a banquet hosted by Chou He, Secretary of the Municipal Party Committee. Before he left, Yao Yang sent two books to Chou He. One is "National Perspective", and the subtitle is "How Projects Trying to Improve the Human Condition Fail", and the other is "Death and Life in American Cities". Yesterday morning, Yao Yang made an appointment with our reporter. On the one hand, he admitted that he had misunderstood the environmental protection measures in Kunming before. On the other hand, Yao Yang still expressed his concern about Kunming's current investment model. "After going to Kunming, I think there is nothing wrong with criticism." Du Nan: Was it an accident to invite you to Kunming? Yao Yang: Surprised! This is the first time I have been invited for criticizing others. On March 2 1 day, after your newspaper reported it, many newspapers and websites reprinted it and the media were discussing it. Later, Chou He sent me a formal letter through the Propaganda Department of Kunming Municipal Committee, inviting me to go. Du Nan: What's the difference from what I learned when I went to Kunming? Yao Yang: I have to admit that I didn't know Dianchi Lake seriously before. I said, "Kunming is the last piece of pure land. If Chou He works there for five years, it is estimated that Dianchi Lake will be finished. " In fact, Dianchi Lake has long been polluted. Before going to Chou He, it was treated here. After Chou He came, he took strong and concrete measures. In addition, Kunming is not actually attracting investment from all the people, but transferring some people. Du Nan: Have your previous views changed since you went there? Yao Yang: Nothing has changed much except environmental protection. On March 20th, I criticized the one-sided pursuit of GDP. After I went there, I felt that there was nothing wrong with criticism. After arriving in Kunming, I found that everything is for "development", and on the basis, it is still oriented to economic construction and economic development. It is understandable that local officials cannot do without economic development, and it can also bring some benefits to the people. But there are also some hidden costs, in which many people may have made sacrifices. In the long run, whether this practice is good or not can be questioned, because it will make people distrust the government. In fact, sometimes things are too difficult for ordinary people to want. "Many measures have been taken, some of which are contradictory." Du Nan: What are you most worried about in Kunming? Yao Yang: I am worried that Chou He has introduced many measures, but there may be some contradictions among them. For example, there is a clear contradiction between attracting investment in high-tech industries and increasing employment. Chou He's requirement is to set up 100 enterprises with an investment of more than 1 100 million each year, which is definitely not a labor-intensive enterprise. This is a big contradiction. In addition, there are contradictions between attracting investment and developing local private economy. Third, I think that in the face of such high pressure and tension, grassroots cadres may have problems. Du Nan: Kunming sent 150 people to attract investment. The official explained that the purpose was to train cadres. Yao Yang: What they mean is that these officials used to sit in their offices and be begged by others. Now, let them come out and ask the boss to experience the feeling of begging others. Is it useful? Maybe a little. Of course, this is not the main purpose. If so, there is no need to set such strict investment targets. If it is not completed, it will really be punished. This may be just a superficial statement, and investment promotion is still the first. Now they have done a dead task, and if they fail, they will be punished. The task is still attracting investment. Du Nan: Li Wenrong, deputy mayor of Kunming, believes that the transfer of industrial institutions is an objective law of economic development. The transfer of coastal industries to the western region is the general trend. Why can't we guide these enterprises to move to the western region? Do you think it makes sense? Yao Yang: That's reasonable, but it's not certain whether others are willing to pay the transportation fee. Du Nan: In other words, some geographical advantages are still irreplaceable? Yao Yang: Yes! Why (rapid economic development) started in Guangdong, followed by Jiangsu and Shandong, and further down, Hefei area. If you go further inside, the cost will increase. They are all export-oriented economies, and the profit of export-oriented economies is very low, perhaps less than 5%, and the transportation cost will be unbearable. "Strong investment promotion allows the government to return to the micro-operation of the market" Du Nan: Now all cities are engaged in attracting investment. What's the problem? Yao Yang: A nationwide investment promotion meeting triggered competition among provinces and cities. As a result, the prices of various resources, especially land, have been kept very low, which has finally damaged the local fiscal revenue and the interests of ordinary people. China Merchants Association will impact local small and medium-sized enterprises, and banks will definitely be biased, and loans will be concentrated in foreign investors. The development of coastal areas also depends largely on the labor-intensive industries of these small and medium-sized enterprises. The coastal areas are still on this road, and the leap-forward development of Kunming has entered the era of electronic industry. I have reservations about this. Du Nan: Why do you pay special attention to Kunming? Yao Yang: Of course, it has something to do with Chou He, because he is a leader, a political star and has a strong demonstration effect. Du Nan: What is the development model of Chou He? Yao Yang: The government intervened strongly in the economy. Chou He wants to get Kunming's economy up in a short time through the strong intervention of the government, or copy his previous successful model. Maybe he can succeed in Kunming, but if all cities learn from him, he will certainly not succeed. The government system reform we carried out in the late 1990s actually deprived the government of many powers. Now, strong investment promotion is to let the government return to the micro-operation of the market. Du Nan: What do you think is the normal mode of attracting investment? Yao Yang: There are also foreign cities that come to China to attract investment, but others mainly play the role of matchmaking and will not issue hard targets. This is the promotion mode of cities. If officials concentrate on investment promotion and economic construction, they will forget other responsibilities. What worries me now is that such an economic model will ignore these things. Du Nan: But at present, all places are seeking development? Yao Yang: They also want to develop the economy, which may be related to our financial system. If the state finance makes better transfer payments to underdeveloped areas and adopts a chess-playing development mechanism, the growth impulse of underdeveloped areas will be less. A place like Yunnan may protect biodiversity and cultural diversity. However, in this respect, on the one hand, the state requires the provinces to do a good job in the environment, on the other hand, the financial transfer can't keep up, and many provinces and regions in the west will naturally feel unbalanced. Our financial transfer payment model is basically project transfer payment, with half of the money from the state and half from the local government, which is obviously biased towards developed areas. Many places can't afford so much money, and they can't afford more state funding. In my opinion, it is better to move people from the west than to transfer industries. The Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta will accept more immigrants, and the industry will not transfer, and the population transfer will be a better solution. "If in a person? There may be problems. " Du Nan: What's the outside world's comment on Chou He? Yao Yang: I am very surprised by the support for Chou He from top to bottom. He has just been in office for more than three months, and cadres at all levels unanimously recognize him, thinking that he is very easy to come, and the people also recognize him. On the other hand, I also think that the power of the top leader is really great. As a foreign cadre, Chou He mobilized Kunming in just a few months. Chou He is a good man, which is good. What if it was someone else? There may be a problem. Du Nan: Have you met Minister Chou He? Yao Yang: Yes. He surprised me, was easy-going and smelled like a scholar. Chou He himself is a very good person, and I agree with his vision of environmental protection in Kunming. He personally served as the head of Panlong River, which was very stressful. They check every river section, and if the pollution at the end is higher than the starting point, they will be punished. On the one hand, I am very supportive, on the other hand, I am worried about how many enterprises will close down because of this. Should they be given a deadline for rectification? Instead of a simple and rude shutdown. Du Nan: What advice do you have for Chou He? Yao Yang: He is very busy. He is in a hurry this time. I sent him two books. One is "national perspective", and the subtitle is "How did those projects that tried to improve the human condition fail?" I think subtitles are better. I believe that Chou He is a good man with courage and brains, but there is no guarantee that what a good man does will be beneficial to the country and people. The other is Death and Life in Big Cities in America. This book is a criticism of the previous concept of garden city and is of great significance to our current urban planning. A deputy chief planner in Beijing said after reading this book that his thinking has completely changed. He should look at urban planning from the perspective of sociology and economics, not just as a project. Chou He has a habit of reading. I hope he can understand these two books.