How many years will film photography last?

Judging from the current situation, it is mainly whether the only remaining industrial and niche consumer markets can support manufacturers to continue to produce negatives, photographic papers and potions. The demand for industrial use should be almost replaced by digital. The niche consumer market should be players who used negative films 80 years ago, mainly concentrated 60 years ago. He is 50 years old now. I estimate that it will disappear completely around 10.

Digitalization in the professional field is earlier than that in the consumer field. Most of the works in the professional field are printed and published, and digitalization will be much more convenient for post-processing and the quality loss will be less. The professional field will consider the cost. Only artists will insist regardless of the cost, but the quality of professional equipment has long been lost to negative products, and the post-production effect and tools are better than traditional darkrooms. From the quality point of view, there is no need to insist on negation.