The dispute over the total GDP of Hunan and Anhui has been heated up. Can Anhui surpass Hunan?

GDP (gross domestic product) is an important indicator to measure the economic situation and development level of a country or region, but it is not all.

In the last stage of 2020, the total GDP of Anhui Province was overtaken by Shanghai by 2 billion yuan, ranking 1 1 among 3 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China. In the first half of 200210, Anhui's GDP was 2057.6 billion yuan higher than that of Shanghai's 20/kloc-0.2 billion. At the same time, the actual growth rate is 0.2 percentage points higher than that of Shanghai. The total GDP of Anhui will officially surpass Shanghai in 20021year, ranking 10 in the country and entering the 4 trillion yuan mark, which is almost certain.

Image photography: the picture bug is an onion

After surpassing Shanghai, standing in front of Anhui is Hunan Province. In 2020, the total GDP of Hunan is 4 1, 78 1 billion yuan, and that of Anhui is 3,868 billion yuan, which is almost the gap between Changsha and Hefei. In view of the fact that the real GDP growth rate of Anhui is slightly higher than that of Hunan in recent years, there are many discussions about Hunan and Anhui provinces on the Internet.

Twenty years ago, few people discussed whether the total GDP of Anhui could surpass that of Hunan, because there was a big gap between the two provinces. From 20 10, the gap between the two provinces gradually narrowed. Anhui's GDP in 20 10 is equivalent to 59.4% of Hunan's, 75.7% in 20 15, 77. 1% in 20 16, 79.5% and 20/7. In the first half of the year, it was 202 1, 94.9%, and the data will not deceive people. In the past 10 years, especially in the last three years, the difference between the total GDP of Hunan and Anhui provinces is rapidly narrowing. According to the recent growth trend of 10, the total GDP of Anhui will surpass that of Hunan in 3 to 5 years at the earliest and 5 to 8 years at the latest.

It is undeniable that from the data point of view, Hunan's GDP has maintained a high growth rate since the beginning of 2 1 century, and the growth rate is among the best in all provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China. However, since the recent 10 year, the average economic growth rate in Anhui has been 13. 15%, and that in Hunan has been 10.7%, which is faster than that in Anhui on average every year.

This paper simply discusses the total GDP of Hunan and Anhui provinces, and does not distinguish between advantages and disadvantages. Although the fisherman sings Anhui, he admires and loves Hunan very much. Since ancient times, there have been many literati and numerous scenic spots in Hunan. Since modern times, the big bosses who came out of Hunan Province have continuously influenced the historical process of China. Hunan occupies an important position in the geographical map of China.

The dispute over the total GDP of Hunan and Anhui can also be said to be manifested in the dispute over the head city. In 2020, the total GDP of Hefei, the capital of Anhui Province, was 654.38+00045 billion yuan, which exceeded the trillion-dollar mark for the first time. In 2020, Changsha's GDP was 654.38+026.5438+042 billion yuan, and Hefei was equivalent to 82.7% of Changsha's, but at the beginning of this century, Hefei's GDP was less than half of Changsha's, and in less than 20 years, Changsha's total GDP has soared by 18 times, while Hefei has exceeded 30 times. In the past 25 years, Hefei has surpassed the previous 75 cities and now ranks 20th in the country. Although there is still a long way to go from 15 in Changsha, there is also a gap of tens of billions between Hefei and the previous cities. In recent years, Hefei will continue to advance in the rankings.

In addition to the provincial capital cities, the growth rates of cities such as Wuhu and Chuzhou in Anhui are also significantly higher than those of head cities such as Yueyang, Changde and Hengyang in Hunan. Especially since the implementation of the integration of the Yangtze River Delta, the development of Wuhu, Maanshan and Chuzhou in Anhui Province has obviously accelerated, the industrial structure has been optimized, and the geographical and policy advantages have begun to emerge.

Image photography: the symbol of worms

From a big perspective, with the advancement of the integration of the Yangtze River Delta, Anhui's geographical advantages finally began to emerge. Since the reform and opening up, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai in the Yangtze River Delta have obviously siphoned off Anhui's talent, manpower and economic factors, but there is no corresponding feedback. In fact, Anhui and Hunan are more like my brothers, while Guangdong, located in the southeast of Hunan, obviously siphons Hunan's human factors, but the difference between them is that Anhui is close to the core areas of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai, while Hunan is far from Greater Bay Area, the economic core of Guangdong, and Guangdong cannot be like Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Zhejiang.

At the same time, in the dispute between Central China, Hunan is inferior to Hubei in all aspects. It is difficult for Changsha to form long-term competition with Wuhan in urban positioning, and the embarrassing distance also makes it impossible for the two cities to form effective cooperation and contact.

Although Changsha has strong comprehensive strength in culture, entertainment, education, medical care and health care, it lacks sufficient competitiveness in high-tech industries. For a long time, the industrial chain layout in the field of large-scale construction machinery that Changsha relies on has also slowed down with the slowdown of national economic growth. On the contrary, the industrial layout of white goods, new energy vehicles, photovoltaics and LCD panels in Hefei is more dynamic and dynamic. Simply put, Hefei has more growth potential than Changsha. For example, in 2020, there will be 12 listed companies in Hefei, including 7 science and technology innovation boards, 9 in Changsha, and only 2 science and technology innovation boards (to be audited). Hefei's new industries are more innovative.

Although Hefei is faster than Changsha in development potential, it is far behind Changsha in terms of city popularity, residents' happiness, basic medical care and education, cultural tourism attraction and other soft and hard strengths. Changsha only kills Hefei with a house price. Now the average price of new houses in Hefei has exceeded10.5 million yuan, while the average price of new houses in Changsha is as high as10.5 million yuan. What is even more paradoxical is that Changsha's per capita GDP, disposable income, minimum wage and other data are higher than Hefei's, which also makes Changsha citizens feel happier than Hefei citizens. Judging from the "word of mouth" of the city, Hefei and Changsha are not at the same level, and the above aspects are also shortcomings that Hefei needs to fill in the development process.

It can be said that the total GDP of Anhui Province surpassed that of Hunan Province much earlier than that of Hefei and Changsha, but the gap between them is narrowing year by year. In fact, from a certain point of view, Hefei and Changsha are not taking the same road. Therefore, it is boring to compare the two cities.

See xian Si Qi introspection. The reason for comparison is that we can find shortcomings and deficiencies in comparison, instead of stepping on it with subjective emotions, so as to hide our eyes from the clouds and have a clearer understanding and cognition of him.

Finally, I hope that Hunan Province and Anhui Province can work together to jointly develop and revitalize the central region.

The article uses a picture: bugs &; network

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