How many people are expected to travel on National Day this year?

If there was no epidemic in 2008, the number of tourists would be almost 700 million, but there will be no epidemic in the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival this year, which will definitely exceed 800 million.

However, we really need to consider the impact of the epidemic here. Earlier, the epidemic situation in China was controlled, and now all industries are recovering. At the same time, because the epidemic was quickly controlled, many people came out of the shadow of the epidemic. Traveling at this time is the best time of the year. It is in view of this situation that many people consider traveling during this period.

There are people who want to travel and those who don't. To what extent can this increase or decrease the number of people traveling on National Day? This is really difficult to work out and can only be detected by the surrounding travel situation.

Before Labor Day, few people want to travel, and many people choose to stay at home for recreation. The occupancy rate of people traveling in hotels or stations is not as good as in previous years, because this time it is May Day, and I know this situation. However, there is a big gap between National Day and May Day, and the number of travelers has increased significantly. At the same time, there are many more people in the scenic spot, and the scene of queuing has appeared again. Obviously, this National Day trip is more than May Day, but it is still worse than previous years.

Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day coincide once in a blue moon, and the next meeting can only wait eleven years. This year's National Day trip is relatively more meaningful, and no one can go out to play during the Spring Festival. In half a year, the mood of traveling is much less. And this National Day is a good time to make up for it, so people who want to travel will definitely travel. This sets a basic value for the number of tourists.

But there are also many people who don't want to travel, which is estimated to be a minority, and some elderly people are estimated not to travel at special times.

There should be more people traveling on National Day this year. Affected by the epidemic, the number of people traveling abroad should drop a lot, and most of them will choose domestic tourism. It is estimated that there should be tens of millions.

In the survey of travel intention in the second half of 2020, it was found that the proportion of 10 reached 42.6%, the highest proportion. Last year, the number of people on National Day reached 782 million. Affected by the epidemic this year, the number of people will be significantly reduced, with an estimated maximum of 300 million.

According to the data of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, during the 20 18 National Day holiday, the country received 726 million domestic tourists, up 9.43% year-on-year. The report predicts that with the increasing enthusiasm of China tourists, according to this growth trend, the number of National Day tourists in 20 19 is expected to reach nearly 800 million.

Which cities do tourists prefer to travel to? The top 20 tourist source cities are Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Wuhan, Tianjin, Xining, Changsha, Hefei, Guiyang, Kunming, Xiamen, Zhengzhou, Xi 'an, Shenyang and Wuxi.

The expected easy-to-block road section on the return trip is mainly the road section near Kangzhuang Bridge of Beijing G6 Beijing-Tibet Expressway, which is expected to be heavily congested, with an average congestion mileage of nearly 4 kilometers.