Where can I travel this year? The Impact of Epidemic Situation on Tourism in 2020

This year's epidemic has actually had a great impact on tourism. When things get better, it will be cost-effective to travel. Many places will definitely have special prices to attract people to travel, but similarly, businesses will close down, so pay attention when buying.

Where to travel this year, the destination will be gradually restored according to the surrounding > domestic short-term > domestic long-term > exit > cruise. In fact, it has been well controlled recently. On the contrary, some foreign countries can't control it (Korea, Iran, Italy, etc. Therefore, the recovery of outbound travel is bound to slow down, and in the next period of time, China may be safer than foreign countries.

As for the cruise ship, it is really a tragedy. The example of the diamond princess is so tragic that it affects the whole cruise industry. This is no longer a question of whether to transfer cruise ships from China or whether to ban China people from boarding, but a question of consumers' fear of the whole industry.

Therefore, Zhou Bianyou is the person who wants to travel most in the first half of the year. If the epidemic situation is well controlled in the second half of the year (mainly in neighboring countries, China will certainly have no problem), you can start to try to stay at home for a long time or leave the country.

In addition, in the form of travel, individual travelers will take precedence over team recovery. Wasn't there news about the number of people in XX scenic spot a few days ago? They are all free, and when to leave the group is still unknown.

I don't advise you to relax your vigilance, especially at this critical point of rework, but in the long run, individual customers will definitely recover better than the team.

So, you might as well hoard more hotels in Zhou Bianyou, and you will have a chance sooner or later.

The epidemic impact is 1. There will be piles of travel specials this year, which are incredibly cheap.

From March, hotels, restaurants and scenic spots ... will be pre-sold slowly, and the prices will be exaggerated, which is much cheaper than double 1 1.

Because the tourism industry has been so miserable recently, take hotels for example. The occupancy rate of most hotels is less than 5%. Although it is improving slowly at present, it is estimated that it will not exceed 50% in half a year.

If it is a cruise ship, it will be even worse. The cruise industry is unlikely to recover this year. I have introduced Guanda before. They recently took a long-distance flight from Perth to Sydney on the night of 17, and the lowest price was 950 Australian dollars, about 4600 RMB.

Hey ~ ~ ~

However, even with so many special offers, the frequency of travel this year will not be too high. On the one hand, there is no money (after all, 1 month didn't come to work), on the other hand, there is no vacation (some schools inform that the summer vacation will be shortened, and the company estimates that it will be more difficult to take time off).

Therefore, if you encounter a favorite tourism product, I would suggest that you focus on the policy of returning and changing the visa first, and hoard it in advance if appropriate.

The sooner it is stored, the cheaper it is, and the closer it is to the end of the epidemic, the more the price of tourism products will rise. Stockpiling is not equal to going, and hoarding is not equal to spending your own money.

2. Through the epidemic, we also saw some people and things clearly.

Some merchants have a good policy of returning and changing their visas, while others let consumers lose their own money and not refund a penny. If everything is within the rules and there is nothing to argue about, just write it down in a notebook and vote with your feet.

The same is true of the destination. The epidemic is most favorable to Japan, and Russia is also good. But China and Taiwan Province really can't. They don't listen to their father. I hope to recover soon.

Travel is low-frequency consumption. Find someone you like and look pleasing to the eye, okay?

Through the epidemic, we know more about who is more reliable and who is more nonsense.

In addition, you may wish to pay attention to which tourist businesses or channels are selling disinfectant and local products that have nothing to do with tourism in the epidemic. Anyway, I won't leave my future trip to these vegetable vendors. Traveling is just for fun, and professionalism is too important. They abandoned the tourism industry in the epidemic, and naturally they are not worthy to undertake our trip.

Please be careful to buy tourist goods this year, because many businesses will go out of business.

As mentioned above, in March, there will be many merchants pushing travel to pre-sell goods. Everyone must pay attention to the qualifications of the merchants while looking at the price.

This year is very difficult, and many tourism enterprises will close down. Some unkind people will use the pre-sale price to attract a wave of funds first. Look at the special goods for tourism. They are interested in your principal.

There are fewer examples of running away with a ticket of money. Five-star communication is, McDull is, Bula travels ... are not they all?

It is recommended to buy pre-sale merchandise flying pigs. At least the money is on AliPay. If the merchant can't get it out, Alipay won't go bankrupt. Ctrip is also trustworthy.

4. Tourism market environment this year.

To put it simply, four words-supply exceeds demand.

Supply exceeds demand. For consumers, as long as they have money and leisure, they can find very cost-effective tourism products all year round.

For merchants, in the case of oversupply, the competition will be fierce. Not only should we work harder and constantly improve ourselves, but we should also adapt ourselves to the times and seize limited consumers.

This year is a tragedy, which will hang up many travel merchants, especially those who are too traditional to embrace the Internet. Traditional travel agencies have always relied heavily on information asymmetry to get customers, and there will be so much information asymmetry in 2020.

So is the hotel. I estimate that there will be a lot of hotels revoked this year (without revenue, how can I pay the management fee of the hotel group)? Once the license is withdrawn, the price will become very close to the people. Isn't the snowy mountain (formerly Grand Hyatt) in Lijiang like this?

In fact, this is not necessarily a bad thing, but also a great opportunity.

Pre-sale products

I think this year is a good opportunity to pre-sell products, including room coupons, meal coupons, tickets and even some air tickets.

Especially for room coupons, the biggest problem with previous room coupons was the success rate of booking. There are many good dates, and I don't want to have a bad life. Not this year. There is a large proportion of vacant rooms this year, and there are few hotels that can live in full rooms.

The advantages of the house voucher are the price and the cancellation policy. The price is better than the calendar room on OTA, and the policy of signing back can basically be returned at any time without loss. If you use flowers, even the cost will disappear.

Moreover, it can also help businesses to withdraw funds in advance and lock in the needs of consumers in advance.

However, pre-sold products must buy big platforms or resources, and middlemen are often themselves thunder, and they may run away one day.

It is not recommended to buy holiday products for a second appointment, which is unreliable capital. The reason is that holiday products are composed of air tickets and hotels, not their own, but all resources. Middlemen have too little control over resources.

The first wave of pre-sale products must be hotels, groups or big owners, and their products will be more attractive. It is difficult for a single hotel to get traffic support unless it is a group.

Tickets at the back of the hotel should keep up. For example, it is not impossible for Disney and Chimelong to have ultra-low-priced tickets for pre-sale.

The problem for airlines is that they basically sell calendar products, and those who make reservations have greatly changed their products, but maybe the epidemic will change them.

In the buyer's market where supply exceeds demand, merchants can only try their best to please consumers. At this stage, it must be appropriate for consumers to buy tourism products, in addition to cost performance.

Immigrant products

This can't be explained in detail. After SARS in 2003, isn't it also the hottest time for Australia 163 to invest in immigrants?

I personally don't like immigrant products. I can't stand traveling for more than half a month, but it's much more comfortable to stay at home. But this demand is real, and the epidemic will further amplify this demand.

In addition, multiple visas will make overseas real estate much better than before.