When will the EU lift its arms embargo on China?

I personally hope that this problem can be solved within two years, that is, in 2006 or 2007. The analysis is as follows:

The EU arms sales ban on China has existed for 15 years. Even if it once played the role of "containing China", with the passage of time, that little role has already vanished. Facts have proved that the ban of 15 years has not restricted the development of China, but has bound the hands and feet of the EU itself. China's rapid economic development has not lost the opportunity to develop national defense and economy because of this ban. Without the EU, other countries are willing to do arms business and other more important trade with China. In recent years, Sino-Russian military cooperation is in full swing, and the huge trade income of Russians to China probably spoiled Europeans. Gao Jingwen, an expert on China at the French National Center for Scientific Research, pointed out that China will be more open to the EU, and if it makes a very profitable offer to the EU, it will be difficult for the EU to turn a blind eye to China.

In addition, the ban itself is very problematic. The pace of China's development under the ban has not been affected at all, but it has bound Europe's hands and feet, which is probably unexpected by the makers of the ban. Now, once the sensitive arms trade is smooth, China-EU relations will enter the fast lane. Whether the EU will lift the arms embargo on China has fundamentally become a political and principled issue. Maintaining the embargo is not only inappropriate, but also an obstacle to the in-depth development of China-EU strategic dialogue and cooperation.

At the same time, European analysts believe that China hopes that the EU will lift its arms embargo on China as soon as possible and will not pose any military threat to East Asia. They believe that the most important purpose of China is to get rid of its dependence on Russian weapons. Therefore, at this point, the three giants of the European Union, Britain, France and Germany, naturally have answers and will not be moved by Japanese lobbying at all. Former British Prime Minister Winston Churchill famously said: In politics, there are no eternal enemies and friends, only eternal interests. If this is an argument, then the 180 degree turn of Britain's "lifting the ban" position is the best argument. Although Japan does not hesitate to use the power of the United States to put pressure on Britain, Britain will certainly ponder the classic remarks of Churchill's predecessors on issues involving its own interests. Straw also admitted that lifting the ban is likely to lead to tension between Europe and the United States. But since Britain has made up its mind, of course, it will not be easily influenced by other countries.

In addition, 2005 was a year when the ban was quickly thawed, including the EU summit held in Brussels on June 26th, 65438/KLOC-0, and the telephone conversation between President Hu Jintao and French President Jacques Chirac on April 26th, all of which indicated the early arrival of this day. Despite the interference of the United States and Japan, this is tantamount to stopping a car. I believe the lifting of the ban is not far off.