Warning of assassination in Dubai?

Judging from the disclosure, the whole action problem appeared in Dubai's developed monitoring system. But after careful analysis, it is not difficult to find that even if it is not in Dubai, high-end hotels in any country now have monitoring devices, and the implementers have not taken any measures. If this is not intentional, it is a major mistake in action planning. Police in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, said on 24th that there were 26 suspects involved in the assassination of Maba Ricarda Huch, the military commander of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to foreign reports, these suspects are agents of the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad. Israel does not recognize this. But what information can we get from this action exposed by the media? Today, Xinhua military reporter specially interviewed Ai Yan Song, a special teaching and research section teacher of Shijiazhuang Mechanized Infantry College who participated in the "Elna Assault". First of all, assassination requires many skills. Xinhua Military: Some media said this incident was related to Mossad. What do you think of this? Yan Song: Mossad is one of the most important Israeli intelligence agencies. Although the number is small, it is the most powerful and vicious. In many actions that have a negative impact on Israel, especially those similar to assassinations, Israel pursues an ambiguous policy, as its Foreign Minister Lieberman said, that is, "Israel never responds, confirms or denies". Therefore, many assassinations in history have not been responded by the government, but foreign analysts believe that the modus operandi and related evidence of many actions are clearly attributed to Mossad. According to foreign media reports, Mossad has carried out many assassinations in history, typical of which is the "revenge of God" retaliatory assassination carried out by Mossad after the Munich massacre; 1April 1988 15, Mossad agents assassinated Arafat's right-hand man, Jehad Mansion, causing more than 70 bullets to be shot and killed; In 2004, Mossad attacked Hamas's spiritual leader Yassin with missiles and fired three missiles, resulting in his death on the spot; On the night of February 12, 2008, Mossad assassinated Mooney, the second leader of Hezbollah in Damascus. In August of the same year, Mossad assassinated Syrian general Suleiman with the cooperation of Israeli special forces. Of course, these have not been officially confirmed, just foreign speculation. Xinhua Military: It is reported that Mossad agents are mostly from Israeli special forces. So, as far as you know, do Israeli special forces have any training on assassination and secret arrest? Yan Song: Actually, many Mossad agents are from Israeli special forces. Regarding whether the Israeli special forces carry out assassination training, we must first clarify one question, that is, the relationship between special forces and special operations. Not all the tasks and actions performed by special forces are special operations, and not all the special forces are special operations. Assassination is not a very glorious action style after all. Therefore, although assassination is a special operation in theory, most special forces in various countries do not regard assassination as their mission style. So when you look through the relevant information of special forces in various countries, it is difficult to see the description of the assassination. Simultaneous assassination is a broad concept, and the ability it needs is a collection of various skills. The training of special forces is very comprehensive, and it is almost certain that a qualified special force has the ability to carry out local assassinations. For example, special forces sniper, he is good at camouflage and flexible. When the sniper successfully penetrated behind enemy lines, he can be said to have turned into a killer. Therefore, although some special forces have no professional training in assassination, they have formed the ability of "assassination" in training. Israel's special forces refer to the special operations forces such as the reconnaissance battalion of the General Staff and the navy commandos. Their training is still mainly based on combat operations, and the training topics involve reconnaissance, rescue, surprise attack and anti-terrorism search. If assassinations and secret arrests are classified as targeted killings, then special forces are targeted training. If assassinations and other similar operations are played as separate training subjects, I don't know the situation yet. However, according to the British "Sunday Independent" report, some Israeli special forces have set up assassination teams. In the report, I interviewed a retired special soldier. According to his memory, he had received assassination training in his own special forces and carried out assassination. This may be related to the environment in Israel. Second, three major changes need to be completed from special warfare players to agents. Xinhua Military: From the perspective of foreign countries, what changes are needed from a special warfare player to an agent of the National Intelligence Agency? Yan Song: Special forces are a special group of soldiers. It requires all members to have super physical and psychological qualities, and at the same time have quite comprehensive combat skills. Agents are a special group in a special group. From special warfare players to intelligence agents, there are still many aspects that need to be changed. The first is to enhance the ability to obtain information. Special forces also undertake intelligence reconnaissance tasks, but it is completely different from the way agents obtain information. Obtaining information efficiently is one of the full-time tasks of agents. The second is psychological endurance. Many agents only complete a task once in their lives, but it takes a long time to prepare for this task. In this preparation, "long-term dormancy" requires super psychological endurance. These agents are all skilled and have received professional training, but after they go to a hidden place, they may not take part in any action for several years or even more, and live an ordinary life. However, once they received the order, they resumed their true nature as agents and immediately launched actions around the world. For example, Penny Lopp, an Israeli female agent born in Britain, worked as a "sleep killer" in Germany for three years before assassinating Ali Hassan Salama, Fatah's security director. The third is the strengthening of action skills. Special combat team members master comprehensive combat capability and play a key role in combat. However, as an agent, his ability to act is different. Because of his special environment, communication, business and culture may become the necessary abilities of agents in different environments. Therefore, if you want to be an agent, you must first learn to adapt to the complex social environment. It can be seen that from a special warfare player to an intelligence agency agent, there are many aspects that need to be changed and long-term training and exercise are needed. Three, the five characteristics of the assassination of overseas intelligence agencies Xinhua Military: What are the characteristics of the assassination of overseas intelligence agencies in planning and organization? Yan Song: When foreign intelligence agencies carry out assassinations, they usually don't disclose them publicly. At present, all the information about the assassination of intelligence agencies is mostly incomplete information or even speculation. The details are even more unknown. As far as I know, the assassination of foreign intelligence agencies has the following characteristics: First, a highly detailed action plan has been formulated. Due to the particularity of their own profession, intelligence agencies may have more specific activities. Therefore, before the action, the metropolis carried out careful deployment and design, and every detail was considered very thoughtfully. The second is efficient intelligence support. Assassination is a time-sensitive action, and the target may change course at any time. Therefore, the operation needs efficient intelligence support. For example, in the assassination of Maba Ricarda Huch, Israeli intelligence agencies monitored her phone calls with her family and her online hotel reservations. The third is multi-person coordinated action. Assassination is a complicated process. To ensure that every link can't go wrong, all the people involved in the action need to act in a high degree of coordination. The fourth is unbridled. In order to achieve the purpose of assassination, intelligence agencies will resort to various means at all costs. For example, Israeli female agents often use sex as a tool for assassination. The fifth is strict confidentiality. As far as Mossad is concerned, its adherence to the principle of confidentiality has reached a paranoid state. Michael ross, who has worked in Mossad for 13 years, said in his memoirs: "Agents cannot directly contact Mossad headquarters, but must rely on intermediaries. They only know what they need to know ... Like other agents, I don't know my colleague's real name, his home address, whether he is married or not, and whether he has children. " He explained: "The more an agent knows, the more information he may reveal once he is captured by the enemy and forced to confess." Fourth, the assassination of Dubai needs to pay attention to three details. Xinhua Military: The assassination in Dubai was filmed, which revealed what problems existed in the action organization? Al-Yan Song: Although Dubai police claimed that Mossad was involved in the assassination with a 99% probability, Israel did not publicly admit it. But I think there are at least a few aspects worthy of attention. On February 13, 2008, Syrian security personnel inspected the scene of a car explosion in the capital Damascus. Imad Mughniye, an important figure of Hezbollah, died in a car bombing in Damascus on the night of 12. American intelligence agencies believe that Mughniye is suspected of being involved in many terrorist incidents. Hezbollah and the Iranian side accused the Israelis of plotting to assassinate Mughniye. Xinhua/AFP is first of all about the quality of agents. With the changes of the times, it is difficult for western countries to support the spiritual pursuit of agents only by ideals and beliefs as before. Many foreign intelligence organizations are facing a serious shortage of troops, because no young people want to be agents. This is the phenomenon that Israel's major Hebrew newspapers published advertisements for special agents in 2002, which was unimaginable before. Secondly, from the disclosure, the whole action problem appears in Dubai's developed monitoring system. But after careful analysis, it is not difficult to find that even if it is not in Dubai, high-end hotels in any country now have monitoring devices, and the implementers have not taken any measures. If this is not intentional, it is a major mistake in action planning. This shows that the implementers are inexperienced and thoughtless. Finally, it had an international impact. In the new system of state relations, it is increasingly unpopular to act arbitrarily and arbitrarily. No matter who planned the incident, it shows that there are serious misunderstandings in their thoughts and they have not considered the possible consequences of the incident. Xinhua Military: According to foreign reports, all the suspects involved in the assassination forged passports and carried out transnational operations. So what impact does this have on current international relations? Yan Song: Forged passports were once very common in foreign intelligence agencies. But as a former Mossad agent said, "Twenty or thirty years ago, you could use a fake passport printed by yourself, sometimes the quality was even better than the real one, but it was still fake. But today, 20 10 is almost impossible, because the database of any customs official at Dubai International Airport is bigger than that of the US Federal Bureau of Investigation in the Hoover era 50 years ago, so the passport must be true. " As you can see, in this operation, all passports are real, with their names on them, but people are fake. The biggest concern in implementing transnational actions is diplomatic issues and international relations. This incident brought Israel into focus. What is even more shocking is that with the disclosure of more inside information, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is also involved. At present, all relevant European countries require Israel to explain the issue of passport fraud. Britain and Ireland summoned the Israeli ambassador one after another after the incident, demanding that he must cooperate with the international investigation into the truth of the assassination and explain the source of the altered passport. German Foreign Minister westerwelle said that Germany would be "forced" to investigate the assassination. This assassination will make Israel lose its diplomatic leverage again after sending troops to Gaza last year, and make the already cold relationship between Israel and the EU worse. However, we should not ignore that diplomatic relations between countries are ultimately interests. Although this incident has had a negative impact on Israel's diplomacy, what can really have a substantial impact on current international relations is the change of interests between countries. Therefore, I think this incident alone is unlikely to have a substantial impact on the current international relations.