Who will win in a war between Israel and Türkiye?

Many people find it strange that Israel and Türkiye are both Middle Eastern countries. If these two countries went to war, who would win?

Now let’s look at the territories of these two countries. Israel is a small land, with a land area of ??only 14,900 square kilometers, arable land of only 6.15 million acres, and per capita arable land area of ??only 0.72 acres. Israel's total population is approximately 884,200 (2018), and its Jewish population is approximately over 6 million. It is also the only nation-state in the world with Jews as the majority.

On the other hand, Turkey has a land area of ??783,562 square kilometers and is a country spanning Asia and Europe. Its geopolitical strategy and geographical location are also very important. It is also located between Europe and Asia. at interconnected crossroads. Türkiye's population is approximately 82.3197 million.

From this comparison, Turkey's land area and population are larger than Israel. Turkey's population is even about nine times that of Israel, and its land area is 52 times greater than Israel's. It can be seen that if a war breaks out, Türkiye has strong strategic depth.

In terms of industrial foundation, Turkey has a strong industrial foundation and military manufacturing capabilities, but compared with Israel, Turkish industry is still inferior. Israel's industry cannot be described as strong, but should be described as "strong". In the five Middle East wars, Israel has become stronger and stronger, and its military industry has also grown during the war. Israel's industry can be described as high-tech. For a country with a population of only eight million, the number of listed companies in the United States is only Second only to the United States, it is the total number of all countries in the European Union, and it is more than the total number of China, Japan and South Korea. Israel's listed companies are basically high-tech R&D types, which are beyond the reach of many countries around the world.

If Turkey goes to war with Israel, we see that population is the main factor in the war. With population, more troops will be invested on the battlefield. Therefore, Türkiye has an advantage in war population. Similarly, Turkey has a large land area and can have strong strategic depth once it engages in war, which is often said to "fight a protracted war" to avoid the danger of rapid national subjugation and defeat. However, Israel’s small land area and lack of strategic depth are also weaknesses.

Israel’s military industry is relatively developed. If it goes to war, it can possess advanced military weapons. Moreover, Israel is also the only country outside the United Nations’ five permanent members that possesses nuclear weapons. The combat quality and combat training of soldiers are mainly based on those of the US military. In this way, military weapons and equipment have become more sophisticated with the support of the United States.

Although Turkey has a larger military than Israel, the United States has always been wary of Turkey and has not fulfilled its commitment to export F35s to Turkey. Moreover, Israel has experienced five Middle East wars and has strong combat effectiveness and war mobilization capabilities. If a war breaks out, Turkey may also be lower than Israel in terms of weaponry and combat effectiveness.

We know that Israel is the Jewish state that reestablished itself after World War II after more than two thousand years of wandering and migration. If Turkey goes to war with Israel, there will definitely be support from American Jews and Jews around the world, so that Israel can get more military spending and advanced weapons for the war.

To sum up, if Türkiye goes to war with Israel, Israel may have the upper hand.