During World War II, if the country captured Moscow! Defeat the Soviet Union! Is history to be rewritten?

If the Germans occupied Moscow ... 194 1 winter, the steel flood of the Nazi German Defence Forces was blocked at the gates of Moscow for the first time, and then the Soviet counterattack made the Nazis suffer a fiasco for the first time, declaring the myth of Nazi Germans' invincible. What makes Germans hate Moscow? There is a saying that Hitler made a strategic mistake. In April1year * *, he transferred the main armored army originally belonging to the Central Army Group to the south to attack Kiev, and some of them were transferred to strengthen the German attack on Leningrad, which made the Central Army Group lose the best opportunity to attack Moscow. It is emphasized that the winter in Russia came very early, and the severe cold greatly weakened the German army's combat effectiveness and helped the Soviet army hold Moscow. There is also a saying that there is something wrong with the German logistics work and it is not ready for the German winter combat. Without these factors, or even with them, the Germans captured Moscow. Will the war situation and the outcome of the Soviet-German battlefield fundamentally change? Some people think that the Germans captured Moscow not to save the Soviet Union from extinction, but that the Red Army could turn defeat into victory. This idea is based on the fact that Moscow is the capital of the Soviet Union. If the Germans capture Moscow, they can force the Soviet Union to yield, or the Soviet Union loses its ability and will to resist because of the loss of its capital, the Germans will occupy a very favorable strategic situation, so that the Germans can easily destroy the remaining Soviet troops in subsequent operations. The Kuomintang government in China lost its capital, Nanjing, shortly after the start of War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression, and later lost its temporary capital, Wuhan. In a short period of time, a large area of rich land was lost, but China did not yield to the Japanese and persisted in the war of resistance for eight years. Compared with China's anti-Japanese battlefield, the Soviet Union and the Soviet Red Army showed stronger resistance determination and fighting will at the beginning of the war. Despite heavy losses, they are still indomitable and their fighting capacity is getting stronger and stronger. They will never give in because they have lost their capital. At the beginning of the war, the Soviet Union suffered extremely heavy losses, and the vast territory in the western part of the Soviet Union declined rapidly, with flames everywhere and full of terror. The Germans rampaged everywhere and wiped out millions of Soviet Red Army. According to western critics, if this had happened in western European democracies, this country would have collapsed long ago. However, the Soviet regime and Soviet soldiers and civilians showed great tenacity, and the whole country was highly United and quickly turned into a wartime state. Under extremely unfavorable circumstances, the combat effectiveness has not weakened rapidly, but has become stronger and stronger, which fully embodies the great efficiency of the Soviet regime and the Soviet military and civilians in resisting great disasters and strong enemy invasions. By the time of the battle in Moscow, the psychology of the Soviet people and the production and life of the Soviet society had completely entered a state of war, and the Soviet army had basically adapted to the German blitzkrieg. The Soviet Union did not give up its resistance in the initial chaos and rout, and even if it lost in the battle of Moscow, it would never give in. Napoleon thought in 18 12 that the capture of Moscow would make the Russians bow to their knees, but he could not wait for the czar's peace talks and had to retreat tragically. It is often useful to force the other side to surrender or make peace by occupying the other side's capital. With the Soviet Union as a big country, even if the capital is occupied by the enemy, as long as the war potential still exists, it is far from impossible to fight. The Soviet Union and Nazi Germany regarded each other as sworn enemies in ideology and social system. Whoever gives in means not only the humiliation of the nation and the establishment of the hegemony of the other side, but also the demise of the ideology and social system they believe in. Therefore, no matter how bad the situation is, both warring parties will fight to the death, and completely destroying each other's war capability is the only way to achieve final victory. From this point of view, it is not a strategic mistake for Hitler to transfer the main force of the armored army group originally prepared to attack Moscow to the south to attack Kiev. Under the circumstances at that time, the priority attack on Moscow was more to occupy land, while Ukraine concentrated a large number of Soviet troops and was the granary of the Soviet Union. Donetsk has concentrated a large number of factories and mines that are vital to the war. Attacking Kiev can destroy the effective strength of the Soviet Union and seriously weaken its war resources. If the Germans attack Moscow first, the Soviet Union will fall because there is not enough time to strengthen Moscow's defense, but it will gain time in the direction of Ukraine, build a strong defense, and use local resources to quickly strengthen the Soviet Union's combat effectiveness. This situation later proved to be beneficial to the Soviet Union, and it will be extremely difficult for the German army to achieve great results in Kiev in the future. So the crux of the problem is whether the Soviet Union will lose its war capability if the Germans capture Moscow in the Battle of Moscow. Before the war, the Soviet Union planned to build a relatively strong military industry in the eastern Urals. After the war broke out, the industrial developed areas in the west were occupied by the Germans and suffered heavy losses. However, the Soviet Union successfully evacuated a large number of personnel and important factories to the east far from the battlefield, and scorched the earth, destroying all the facilities that could not be evacuated. Therefore, by the time of the battle in Moscow, the Soviet Union still had considerable war potential, which was fully reflected in Moscow's defense. Even if Moscow is occupied, this war potential will not be lost. The Allies also sent vital war materials to the Red Army from the Baltic Sea traffic line and the later opened traffic line through Iran, which greatly strengthened the Soviet Union's war capability. The smooth flow of these two traffic lines was not affected by the outcome of the Moscow battle. Therefore, even if the Soviet Union loses its capital, it still has a strong war capability, and the fate of the Soviet Union and Germany still needs to be decided through a long and extremely cruel war. After careful analysis, it can be found that from the beginning of the war to the battle in Moscow, compared with the Soviet defense, the German offensive strength has been declining sharply, and the situation has not changed simply because of the result of the battle. At the beginning of the war, the Soviet army was not well prepared, and the German army made rapid progress in all directions, with brilliant results. With the advance of the German army, the front and logistics lines are getting longer and longer, the Soviet resistance is getting stronger and stronger, and the German attack is gradually becoming inadequate. When the central army group crossed Minsk, the southern army group began to advance to Kiev, and the northern army group approached Leningrad, it was impossible for all Germans to advance rapidly at the same time. Only by equipping the main force of the armored army group could they advance rapidly. The southern army group struggled to attack Kiev, but the progress was slow. In order to quickly surround the Red Army in Kiev, the main force of the armored army group was transferred, and the attack of the central army group was greatly affected. Only after regaining the main force of the armored army group did the battle of Moscow start. Because the northern army group did not get the main force of the armored army group, it was impossible to attack and occupy Leningrad quickly. When advancing to the gates of Leningrad, the Soviet army had established a relatively solid defense, which made it impossible for the Germans to seize and had to be besieged for a long time. This is fatal to the Germans. The Soviet defense line is no longer shaken and chaotic. Although it will suffer heavy losses in some places, it can build a more solid defense line in other places. Instead of dealing with emergencies everywhere, Soviet troops began to concentrate their efforts on the most urgent places in a planned way. If the German offensive on all fronts had been as fierce as it was at the beginning of the war, the Soviet Union could not build a strong defense line anywhere, and even if the weather was bad, the Soviet Union could not keep Moscow. The Germans attacked faster and more smoothly throughout the French campaign, never giving the French a chance to breathe and re-establish a strong defense. However, when the Germans arrived in the suburbs of Moscow, the Soviets not only made long-term preparations, but also learned to build a deep and multi-step defense, which can effectively resist the powerful and continuous assault of the German armored army group. As a result of these changes, although the Germans concentrated their main armored forces in the direction of Moscow, they could not panic in the huge Soviet bloc as quickly as usual. In the battle of Viarima on the outskirts of Moscow, the Germans annihilated hundreds of Soviet troops, and their own losses were also very serious. From the first world war, even the winners suffered heavy losses in all the battles of the Soviet Union and Germany. Therefore, even if the Germans narrowly beat the Soviets at a heavy price and barely captured Moscow, their overall offensive capability will be further weakened. In the face of the strong defense of the Soviet Union, the Germans will soon lose their overall offensive ability, and they will no longer be able to punch several powerful fists at the same time, so they can only concentrate on one fist to hit the key direction. The German army will inevitably change from an all-round attack to a key attack, and the change of the war situation will not be fundamentally changed because of the victory or defeat of the battle. At most, the turning point of the war may be slightly different. Even great armies make mistakes, and Germans are no exception. In World War II, the Germans showed very high quality in all aspects. It is worth noting that they fought such an unprecedented and complicated modern war, made many innovations and made few military mistakes. The Germans have done their best, and their performance has almost reached the highest war efficiency that an army can achieve under certain objective conditions. But the war is fought by two or more parties, and the outcome of the war is not decided by one party. German opponents are undoubtedly very strong and tenacious. The Germans wiped out millions of Soviet Red Army in a short time, which caused heavy losses to the Soviet Union. Based on this, Hitler thought that the manpower and material resources of the Soviet Union would be rapidly exhausted. That was not the case. The potential of the Soviet Union is as unfathomable as the territory of vast expanse, which was well stimulated by Stalin's regime, and the Vietnam War became stronger and stronger under extremely unfavorable circumstances. When the war reaches the state of the Soviet-German war, the final outcome of the war will never be determined by one or two military mistakes of one side and the outcome of a certain battle. If these decisions were made, the Soviet Union would have been defeated long ago, because the Soviet Union made fatal mistakes in judgment and guidance at the beginning of the war and suffered unprecedented failures in several major battles. The final outcome of the Soviet-German war is determined by the fundamental and long-term factors such as the war potential, fighting will and international situation of the warring parties.