Directory of Short-term Weather Forecast Manual in Nanchong City, Sichuan Province

Foreword 2

order

Chapter 1 The geographical location and weather and climate of Nanchong.

1. 1 geographical location

1.2 climate survey

1.3 Most meteorological

The second chapter is an overview of Nanchong short-term weather forecasting methods.

2. 1 database of short-term weather forecast factors

2.2 the basic idea of probability index method

2.3 Historical Test of Probability Index Method

2.4 rainfall comprehensive forecast method

2.5 short-term weather forecast guide

The third chapter is the formation and diagnosis of general precipitation in Nanchong.

3. 1 general rainfall climate overview

3.2 general rainfall short-term forecast factor library

3.3 General rainfall probability index method

3.4 General Rainfall NGE Comprehensive Forecast Method and Test

3.5 Probability forecast of general rainfall

Chapter IV Nanchong rainstorm and its forecast

4. 1 synopsis of rainstorm climate

4.2 Seasonal changes and causes of heavy rain

4.3 rainstorm forecast factor library and rainstorm forecast road map

4.4 rainstorm forecast ideas and methods

4.5 Historical test of rainstorm probability index method

4.6 Interpretation of numerical forecast products and NGE comprehensive forecast method

Chapter V Nanchong Hail and Its Forecast

5. 1 Regional and seasonal distribution of hail days

5.2 Hail Forecast Factor Library and Hail Forecast Roadmap

5.3 Circulation Background and Meteorological Elements of Hail in Late Spring and Early Summer

5.4 Differences in environmental fields and influence systems of hail, gale and rainstorm

5.5 Application and Test of Hail Probability Index Method

Chapter VI Nanchong gale and its forecast

6. Regional distribution and seasonal variation of gale with magnitude1.

6.2 gale forecast factor library and gale forecast road map

6.3 Characteristics of gale in spring and summer

6.4 Circulation background of gale in late spring and early summer

6.5 Ideas and methods of gale forecast

Chapter VII Nanchong Cold Wave and Its Forecast

7. 1 Climatic overview of cold wave

7.2 Cold air sources and paths in cold wave weather

7.3 Basic types and circulation characteristics of cold wave weather process

7.4 cold wave forecast factor library and cold wave forecast road map

7.5 forecast ideas of cold wave weather process

7.6 Interpretation and application of numerical forecast products

7.7 cold wave probability index forecast, objective forecast and quantitative forecast

Chapter 8: Thinking about the forecast service strategy, skills and forecast work.

8. 1 Forecast service strategy

8.2 Forecast service skills

8.3 Thinking about the Forecast Work

Appendix 1 Multi-year Average of Meteorological Elements in Nanchong

Appendix 21959-A Case of Regional Rainstorm in Nanchong City in 2009

Appendix 3 Case Analysis of Regional Hail in Nanchong City +097 1-2009

Appendix 41970-A Case of Regional Gale in Nanchong City in 2009

Appendix 51960-A Case of Regional Cold Wave in Nanchong City in 2009

Appendix 6 Average Temperature, Rainfall and Sunshine in Nanchong 197 1-2000

Attachment 7 Rainfall in each ten-day period from Gaoping District of Nanchong City 1960 to 2009 (mm)

Attachment 8 Average temperature in every ten days from Gaoping District 1960 to 2009 (℃)

Appendix 9 Monthly Rainfall from Gaoping District 1960 to 2009 (mm)

Appendix 10 Gaoping District, Nanchong City 1960 Average monthly temperature (℃) from 2009 to 2009.

Appendix 1 1 Gaoping District, Nanchong City 1960 Sunshine Hours in each month from 2009 to 2009 (h)

Appendix 12 Nanchong City 1965-2008 High Temperature Days and Maximum Temperature (℃)

Appendix131965-Days of Low Temperature and Minimum Temperature (℃) in Nanchong City in 2008

Appendix 14 Nanchong City 1986-20 10 Forecast Accuracy of Rainstorm, Cold Wave and Hail (provincial standard)

Appendix 15 Summary of Short-term Rainfall in Measures for Quality Assessment of Important Weather Forecast issued by China Meteorological Bureau.

Appendix 16 Short-term Forecast Quality Evaluation Table of Sichuan Meteorological Bureau