The typhoon season is about to begin. Will there be many typhoons in Guangdong this year?

The coastal areas are particularly quiet this year, which makes everyone feel very uneasy about it. Because according to experts, if there is no typhoon for such a long time, there is likely to be a backlog of typhoons in summer. If this statement is true, it is obviously not a good thing for friends in coastal areas. After all, the typhoon season has a great impact on people's lives, and this outbreak is a very unfavorable news. So for Guangdong, where typhoon climate often occurs, will there be more typhoons in Guangdong this time?

1、? Number of typhoons

According to the National Weather Service, in fact, there has been a corresponding forecast for the climate this summer. According to the forecast of Meteorological Bureau and Climate Center, the Yangtze River and Pearl River, the two most important rivers in the south of China, will have serious double suicide, and the possibility of typhoon landing will increase linearly compared with previous years. However, among these areas, Guangdong Province has unexpectedly become an exception.

According to available data, the number of super-large typhoons that landed in Guangdong this year showed an alarming downward trend. Although compared with the data of previous years (5.3), it is only reduced to about 4-5, but it is actually very small for everyone. However, this is only to recognize the typhoon mode in Guangdong and kill it. However, the Climate Center did not give an exact answer to how many typhoons there were.

2. Prediction and reality

The key to this problem is still related to the instability of its own climate. No matter how to predict, it is only a reference sample, but actually it is just a comparative reference. If you really want to know the possibility of typhoon in Guangdong, you still need to find the answer from some specific and established data, that is, the specific study of typhoon possibility. Obviously, according to the data analysis and research in previous years, the overall situation of the number of typhoons is in a state of slow growth and slow enhancement.

According to the existing meteorological map research, in fact, we can see that the northwest Pacific is indeed gestating new typhoon embryos. According to the specific data, the code has actually reached 94w, but because they have not yet formed a typhoon, many forecasting agencies have made relatively reduced forecasts. Moreover, according to the calculation and simulation of the supercomputer, even the largest 94W typhoon can't form a real typhoon in the end.

3. Advantages and disadvantages of typhoon reduction

However, everyone should remain vigilant. After all, May itself is not a typhoon-prone stage. Relatively speaking, typhoons often occur in a regular period of time, and the sudden increase of typhoons often takes 6- 10 months. According to the situation of 20 19, there are actually 29 super-large typhoons in the northwest Pacific in the whole year. Even if there is a decreasing trend now, everyone should be prepared for protection.

And if there is really no typhoon, it is not as perfect as everyone thinks. Relatively speaking, for areas with reduced rainfall, the reduction of typhoons makes it difficult to alleviate the climate drought, and it is not so good for agricultural areas without typhoons. Therefore, although the overall number of typhoons is decreasing, it cannot be said to be a good thing.