What is the price of rice this year? Will it go up in the future? Rice market forecast in the second half of 2022

At present, the summer harvest has gradually come to an end. This year, the market of wheat and corn is generally considerable, which also has a certain boosting effect on rice.

Fujian and Guangxi new season early indica rice will be listed soon. This year, the purchase price of rice has increased, and the rice market has a slight upward trend.

According to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in 2022, the minimum purchase prices of early indica rice, mid-late indica rice, japonica rice and wheat increased by 2 points, 1 minute, 1 minute and 2 points respectively over the previous year.

So what's the rice price this year? Will it go up in the future? Let's take a look at the rice market forecast in the second half of 2022.

What is the price of rice this year?

Indica Rice Valley: Indica Rice Valley 1.8 yuan per catty in Fujin City, Jiamusi City, Heilongjiang Province; Indica rice grain in Lanxi City, Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province is 2.08 yuan per catty; Indica rice grain per catty 1.35 yuan in Ganxian District, Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province; 2.8 yuan per catty of indica rice in zhongmou county, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province; Indica rice grain 1.4 yuan per catty in Yicheng City, Xiangyang City, Hubei Province; Indica rice valley in Nanxian County, Yiyang City, Hunan Province 1.35 yuan per catty; 2 yuan per catty of indica rice in Huicheng District, Huizhou City, Guangdong Province; Indica rice grain in Xingbin District, Laibin City, Guangxi is 2.38 yuan per catty; Chongqing Shizhu Tujia Autonomous County Indica Rice 65438+ 0.8 yuan per catty; 33 yuan per catty1.of indica rice in Zhongjiang County, Deyang City, Sichuan Province; Indica rice per catty 1.37 yuan in Yangxian County, Hanzhong City, Shaanxi Province; Tianjin Baodi District Indica Rice Valley 65438+ 0.5 yuan per catty, etc.

Japonica rice valley: 2. 13 yuan per catty in Horqin Zuoyihou Banner, Tongliao City, Inner Mongolia; 2.5 yuan per catty of japonica rice in Dawa District, Panjin City, Liaoning Province; Japonica rice grain per catty 1.69 yuan in Luobei County, hegang City, Heilongjiang Province; Japonica rice grain per catty 1.45 yuan, Guanyun County, Lianyungang City, Jiangsu Province; Japonica rice grain per catty 1.75 yuan, Junan County, Linyi City, Shandong Province; Japonica rice grain 1.8 yuan per catty in Jingzhou District, Jingzhou City, Hubei Province; Japonica rice grain 1.7 yuan per catty in Qiyang City, Yongzhou City, Hunan Province; Japonica rice grain per catty 1.75 yuan, Boluo County, Huizhou City, Guangdong Province.

Hybrid rice: 2.38 yuan per catty of hybrid rice in Wuzhai County, Xinzhou City, Shanxi Province; Hybrid rice 1.68 yuan per catty in Dawa District, Panjin City, Liaoning Province; Hybrid rice 1.48 yuan per catty in Longsha District, Qiqihar City, Heilongjiang Province; Hybrid rice in Huoqiu County, Lu 'an City, Anhui Province 1.33 yuan per catty; Jingshan hybrid rice in Jingmen City, Hubei Province 1.8 yuan per catty; Hybrid rice 1.3 yuan per catty in Pubei County, Qinzhou City, Guangxi Province; Zhongjiang County, Deyang City, Sichuan Province, hybrid rice 65438+ 0.35 yuan per catty; Hybrid rice per catty 1.66 yuan in Liping County, Qiandongnan Miao and Dong Autonomous Prefecture, Guizhou Province; Hybrid rice in Funing County, Wenshan Zhuang and Miao Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province is 2.54 yuan per catty.

Note: The wholesale quotations of the above rice producing areas are from the quotation hall of Huinong. Com- real-time quotation of origin, for reference only. The fluctuation of rice price will be affected by many factors, such as origin, market supply and demand, etc. The final quotation is subject to the latest local data.

Will the price of rice rise in the later period?

Today, the domestic rice price continues to be stable, with a slight upward trend. China temporary storage rice continued to be put in, the overall turnover decreased slightly compared with the previous period, and the market supply was sufficient.

As for indica rice, it has entered the growth cycle of new works. In some areas, indica rice has risen to 1.3- 1.35 yuan/kg, but the increase is limited, and the price of grass-roots rice is low.

In June, rice entered the traditional off-season, and the delivery from north to south was relatively slow. Most rice enterprises maintain a small number of orders and are basically in a state of suspension, with limited profits.

In addition, universities have entered the summer vacation one after another, and the demand has declined, which makes the rice market weak, and the market presents a pattern of "strong rice and weak rice". The prices of by-products such as broken rice and white rice are high, and the price of rice bran has even risen to 1.5- 1.6 yuan/kg.

According to the current rice market situation, it is expected that this pattern will continue in the later period, and the "strong rice is weak" will deepen day by day, and the room for further increase is limited, and the increase will not be too great. This year's epidemic has a heavy impact, and it will take some time for the market to recover.

Rice market forecast in the second half of 2022

At present, the cost of various means of production in China is rising, which leads to a great increase in the investment of growers. Moreover, influenced by the international environment, the international rice price is rising, which is also influenced by favorable factors.

Recently, climate and natural disasters, such as floods in the south and droughts in the north, will also adversely affect rice production in the second half of this year. Now the area of turning water into drought in Northeast China has greatly increased, and the rice production capacity will also drop a little.

Generally speaking, the situation of high rice stocks will be improved, and rice mills and traders will be more rational. Comparatively speaking, the rice market in the second half of 2022 will be better than last year and the year before.

On the whole, rice planting subsidies are distributed in various places one after another, and the price of rice in the market is affected by multiple factors. After the summer, the southern sales area was rainy, the demand for rice was sluggish, and the market showed a trend of "strong rice and weak rice".

Due to the influence of climate, the rice yield in various rice producing areas changed in the second half of the year. Generally speaking, the rice market is easy to rise and difficult to fall, and it is difficult to rise. The price of rice may be around 1.27- 1.35 yuan/kg.

With the listing of new rice in the second half of the year, it will have a certain impact on the market. Farmers should be psychologically prepared, and it is suggested to collect rice in time for listing.