Will 2065 438+06 Xi 'an housing prices fall?

You can analyze this slowly. In fact, the reasons for the second-tier cities in the northwest and northeast are similar:

1, Xi An's average income is about 2,000 yuan, which can't support high housing prices, because everyone who can buy a house a few years ago has already bought it, and everyone who can buy a house through the efforts of two generations of the whole family has also bought it. What's left is that 10 ordinary people such as migrant workers can't afford the medical expenses for their children to go to school except for eating and drinking their parents and other family members for 20 years, and they will not live in big cities for a long time. They will work for a few years before choosing a small city or county around the city where they can afford a house, because the house price is already at a high level and has no investment value, and there may be some investment value in some key street sections. In other areas, talking about rising house prices has become water without a source and a tree without a root.

What's more, the influence of environmental pollution and haze weather has become more and more serious in recent years. Xi 'an is located in a terrain that borders Shanxi and Henan in the east and Qinling Mountains in the south. In autumn and winter, the pollutant circulation is not smooth, and it is easy to accumulate in a large area near Xi 'an. The proportion of haze or severe haze weather is increasing in a year. Xi is no longer the first choice city for real estate investors. They pay more attention to the cities with good weather in the southeast coast, and the real estate speculators with more money will not choose Xi 'an.

3.Xi 'an has an elderly population over 601256,800, accounting for 14.9% of the city's total population. Xi's population aging is entering a period of rapid development, and the aging, aging and empty nest are further intensified. The aggravation of aging will inevitably increase the backlog of second-hand houses, and there have been many cases of exchanging low-priced houses for cash to treat diseases.

4. The number of women of childbearing age and the fertility rate in Shaanxi Province have been declining. Calculated by the available fertility rate of 20 10, it has dropped from 1. 13 in 2005 to 1.05, which is lower than the national average 1. 18, and far lower than the 2.05-in developed countries to maintain normal fertility. In the long run, the number of important buyers in these cities is bound to decline, and the future real estate prospect in 10 is not optimistic. Developers can only sell happy early and sell late.

The country has seen this phenomenon, and it is useless to shout slogans to encourage these people. In order to get rid of inventory, the state began to encourage developers to reduce prices, which is conducive to reducing house prices to a balanced position. Those who cut prices first can sell them at higher prices, and those who cut prices later may face more severe financial problems.

6. In fact, there is a voice of "rising" on the webpage, which is just a bluff of the reporters hired by developers to ordinary people. In fact, the data of 15 has shown that house prices have not risen, and there is a downward trend. Developers are not sure, but they are not sure. They still want to shout that the fundamentals are no problem, sales are stable, and prices are rising steadily. Everyone is secretly reducing the price, and there are many discounts because they know.