The price of pigs has soared, the price of eggs is booming, and the price of vegetables is rising. Why is the corn market sluggish? What's going on with the market?

In the middle of the month, market consumption gradually reaches its peak. As the weather gradually turns cooler, the sluggish pig market also ushered in a strong rebound. The arrival of the peak of pork consumption has also led to an overall increase in the market prices of agricultural products. For example, the egg market, which fell crazily in the past two days, has now regained its momentum and is on the road to a boom. Especially the vegetable market, which has always been unknown, has seen a rapid rebound in prices as the weather has increased in rainfall and cooling, and the entire vegetable market has also been booming.

Only the corn market price is still going further and further down the road of shock and decline. What is going on? Pig prices, egg prices, and vegetable prices can all rebound and rise. Why does the corn market continue to be sluggish? Is there an oversupply of corn in the market, or is there a decline in consumption?

1. Vegetables are on the rise

In October, as the price of pork in the market has continued to fall, the demand for market consumption has also become higher and higher. I originally thought that with the overall price of pork, Falling back, the cost of living may drop. Unexpectedly, with prices falling here and rising there, pork is no longer cheap, but the prices of vegetables, which are in greater demand than pork, have experienced a collective rise. Many consumers are also unwilling to accept that pork is expensive and they can eat less, but vegetables are indispensable for three meals a day in daily life. Some netizens even said frankly that the cost of falling pork prices has been quietly passed on to vegetables!

Since September, vegetable prices in my country have gradually begun to rebound. According to data released by the industry, as of last week, vegetable prices have been rising for 6 consecutive weeks. Especially after October, with the increase in rainfall and cooling weather in the north, vegetable production and transportation have been affected to a certain extent, and vegetable prices have collectively risen. Monitored data shows that the average retail price of more than 30 types of vegetables has increased by 3% month-on-month, among which The prices of green leaf spinach and greenhouse spinach have increased the most. For example, spinach prices surged by 14.1% month-on-month, cucumber prices increased by 14.1%, and bitter melon prices increased by 7.4%.

According to media reports, in a supermarket in Zhuozhou, Hebei Province, reporters found that local green leafy vegetables have increased significantly, with spinach and water spinach rising to 12.99 yuan/jin, pole poles selling for 9.9 yuan/jin, and leeks. The price of amaranth was 13.99 yuan/jin, and the price of amaranth was 11.99 yuan/jin. In comparison, the prices of potatoes, tomatoes, cauliflower, carrots and other vegetables were relatively stable. Some citizens said that the price of vegetables has risen too much this year. The original price of spinach was two or three yuan per catty, but now it is sold for more than ten yuan per catty. It has almost caught up with the price of pork. With such a price, buy more pork. , doesn’t it smell good?

It is understood that the current increase in vegetable prices this year mainly comes from three aspects. One is that during the season change in late autumn, prices usually fluctuate to a certain extent during the replacement of vegetables. Coupled with the recent increase in rainfall and cooling in the north, the growth of greenhouse vegetables has been affected, and the difficulty of vegetable transportation has also increased, which has contributed to the sharp rebound in the price of green leafy vegetables. However, industry experts also said that the growth cycle of green leafy vegetables is short. As the weather gradually becomes clearer, the supply of vegetables in the market will soon recover, and vegetable prices will return to normal.

The price of pigs has increased

After the National Day, it should be a watershed for the current pig market. Due to the obvious decline in pork prices in the early stage, the low-price effect triggered enthusiastic purchases on the consumer side. The pig market, which was supposed to be sluggish after the National Day, suddenly ushered in a change. In addition, the second round of pork purchasing and storage stimulated bullish sentiment on the breeding side, resulting in pig prices. The market continued to increase, ushering in a situation of sharp rise across the board.

The current market price of pigs has been rising for 8 consecutive days, and the market is still rising further. The average price of three yuan outside the country has risen to 12 yuan, an increase of 2.23 yuan/kg from last week. The price of pigs The stage increase has reached 21.67%, especially in the northeast and southwest regions where pig prices are low. After many days of rising pig prices, the current pig price has exceeded the 5 yuan mark and has returned to the 6 yuan era. The sudden change in the market also made the pig farmers who had pigs for sale very excited. From the sharp drop at the beginning of the month to the sharp rise now, it felt like coming back from the dead, and the pressure was instantly relieved!

As for the reasons for the continued increase in pig prices, we have done a lot of detailed analysis in previous articles. We will not discuss them one by one here. We can sum it up in one sentence: "Consumption increases, purchasing and stockpiling stimulates , the slaughter volume has decreased, and the price resistance has increased." Of course, the suspicion that butcher companies take the opportunity to ship goods cannot be ruled out. But in general, a moderate rebound in pig prices is a good thing for pig farmers. After all, continued losses are not conducive to the healthy development of my country's pig breeding market.

Egg prices continue to rise

Not only pig prices, but also vegetable prices are rising. Egg prices, which fell in the early stage, have also rebounded recently. Following the successful counterattack of yesterday's egg rally, today's egg market prices are experiencing a broad-based rise again. According to data released by the Egg Price Network, as of October 14, egg market prices across the country have rebounded strongly, with egg prices in some areas rising sharply by 0.11 yuan/jin, and the mainstream egg quotation in the market has risen to 4.3 yuan/jin, especially for eggs in production areas. , as the market moved faster, it even formed an inverted situation with the north rising and the south rising.

In the northeastern region, the main production area, eggs generally rose by 0.1 to 0.12 yuan/jin, and the mainstream egg purchase price in the market was 4.16 to 4.4 yuan/jin. In Hebei, the main production area, eggs generally rose by 0.07 to 0.14 yuan/jin, and the mainstream purchase price rose to 3.98 to 4.22 yuan/jin. In Henan, the main production area, eggs generally rose by 0.1 to 0.13 yuan/jin, and the mainstream egg price in the market was 4.27 to 4.33 yuan/jin. Egg prices in Shandong increased by 0.09 to 0.1 yuan/jin, while mainstream egg prices remained at 4.25 to 4.3 yuan/jin. On the other hand, in the main sales areas of Beijing and Guangdong, the price increase of eggs was relatively weak, with a single-day increase of only 0.03 to 0.11 yuan/jin.

Some netizens said that the rise in egg prices is affected by the price of pigs. In fact, friends who really understand the market know that the impact of pig prices on the egg market is very limited. On the one hand, eggs are different from pork. They account for a relatively high proportion of market consumption and are difficult to replace. The price trend is mainly affected by its own supply and demand, and the impact of external interference is not too great. The reason why the current egg price is strengthening again is actually just a normal market adjustment. The price of eggs has fallen sharply some time ago and has basically reached the level of farm costs. With the reduction in the number of shipments from the breeding end, the weather has turned cooler, and consumption has picked up, egg prices have once again Going higher is also the trend for this person.

The occurrence of eggs hanging upside down in the north and south sales areas was mainly caused by terminal stocking due to the impact of the typhoon. As for the future trend of egg prices, I am personally quite optimistic. With the arrival of the peak consumption season in the fourth quarter, it is basically difficult for egg prices to fall too much, and the overall trend will tend to be more stable.

Why is the corn market sluggish?

Finally, let’s talk about the corn market trends. Since the new grain was launched in September, the corn market price has almost been fluctuating and falling. Although there have been several rebounds in the market, it has still failed in the end without much change. I thought that with the departure of the peak of new grain launches in October, corn prices would rebound to a certain extent. Unexpectedly, the frequent rains in the north this year not only increased the cost of corn harvest, but also delayed the overall corn launch cycle in the north. back.

According to data released by the industry, as of October 11, the national autumn corn harvest completion rate reached 55.9%, with the southwest region completing the rate at a higher rate, reaching 76.2%, followed by the northwest region. After that, the completion rate reached 62.3%, the completion rate in Huanghuai region reached 55.9%, and the Northeast region was the lowest, only 47.3%. It can be seen that the rain this autumn has a relatively large impact on the harvest of northern corn producing areas. Why should we focus on the completion speed of corn harvest?

What I want to say here is that the overall delay in the launch of new season corn will have a huge impact on the overall trend of corn prices. When corn comes on the market in autumn every year, the price of corn will fall back to a certain extent. Because new grains are launched in large quantities, there will be a certain impact on the market price of corn. At this time, it is less difficult for grain companies to collect grain, and the market supply of corn is large. It is also common for grain companies to lower prices to collect grain. If we want corn prices to get out of the sluggish situation, new grains must be launched at a distance.

The arrival of autumn grain corn on the market does not meet expectations, which will make it difficult to reflect the corn price trend in the market. Grain companies have no price reference and are not very enthusiastic about purchasing corn. They generally continue to wait and see. The continuous losses in the breeding industry have also made feed companies more cautious in purchasing new grains. Most feed companies are busy clearing out corn stocks and are not very willing to purchase new grains. This is also one of the main factors that makes it difficult for corn prices to rise and remain weak. Therefore, it is expected that the decline in corn prices will be difficult to change in the short term. It is estimated that it will take some time for corn to stop falling and rebound. What do you think about this? Everyone is welcome to leave a message for discussion.