Hannibal and the Punic Wars

I think it is not inevitable, at least the failure of the Second Punic War is not inevitable.

I think Hannibal’s strategic priorities are as follows:

1. Support from Iberia and Africa.

2. The results of splitting the Roman alliance in Italy

3. The damage to the Roman economy

However, the Carthage government was not interested in Hannibal's efforts. Turning a blind eye, the Carthaginian navy was indeed weaker than the Roman navy, but Carthage's problem was not that it was weak, but that it did not even have the courage and perseverance to dare to go to the sea as bravely as the Romans did in the last war. As a result, Hanni Ba became a lonely army in Italy. If it were not for his own greatness and the incompetence of the Roman generals, it would be impossible to support him in Italy for 16 years. The resources of Iberia could not arrive in time. One was because of the excellent Roman generals: the three Sibians fought hard in Iberia, and the other was because of the difficulty of sea transportation and the obstruction of land routes. But if the Carthaginians worked a little harder, , the situation will not be like that.

2. At the last moment of the war, the Latin cities that had always been steadfast finally wavered. However, after years of attrition, Hannibal could no longer deal a blow to the Romans. On the contrary, Rome's new generals Cautiously began to defeat Hannibal's garrison one by one. In this way, the fate of the war could no longer be changed.

3. Still because of the lack of support, Hannibal was unable to destroy the central area of ??Rome.

But I also think that chance actually contains necessity. The character of the Bu people and the character of the Romans are one of the keys. The bravery of the Romans in the war is rare in ancient and modern times. As many as 300,000 young men died on the battlefield. The Roman population was reduced by 1/4, the treasury was exhausted, the nobles even subsidized the state, and senior soldiers did not receive salaries. The Romans even used slaves to fight in their armies. But the Carthaginians were weak and avoided fighting, and continued to quarrel with each other until they were bound to lose. And this kind of party struggle is also inevitable.

In addition, the success of the Italian League established by Rome, especially the Latin League, and the excellence of the Roman navy were also important reasons.

But I generally think that if Hannibal's plan can be fully implemented, Rome will not be able to win this war. It’s not that this plan can’t be implemented, it’s just that it’s up to people to make plans, and it’s up to God to make things happen.