How much corn can farmers sell this year?

The pressure on farmers in Northeast China to repay loans will be further increased, and corn production in producing areas will be concentrated. At the same time, the continuous reduction of automobile transportation, the special train to transport corn and the opening of highway have greatly improved the logistics conditions of corn. Since 65438+February, the railway transportation of corn in Northeast China has kept above 3000 vehicles per day. Under the pressure of supply, the national grain price has generally declined recently, and there is an accelerated downward trend.

At present, enterprises are cautious in purchasing raw materials.

Recently, the smog in North China continued to ferment, and the State Environmental Protection Bureau strengthened the supervision and management of processing enterprises in various provinces. Many drying towers in Hebei, Shandong, Liaoning and other places were shut down one after another, and some corn processing enterprises showed signs of limited production or production suspension in the later stage. At present, many enterprises are very cautious when purchasing raw materials.

The end demand of feed will show a downward trend.

In addition, according to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture, in June of 201165438, the stock rate of live pigs decreased by 0.6% compared with last month and 3.2% compared with last year, and the stock rate of fertile sows decreased by 0.5% compared with last month and 3.7% compared with last year. At present, the stock rate of live pigs is still at a low level, and the overall price of live pigs tends to rise at a high level due to the arrival of the peak consumption of meat products before the holiday. The demand of feed terminal will show a downward trend, and the supply of raw materials in the sales area will show a diversified trend. Under the background of the gradual return of raw materials to safe stock, feed enterprises are currently purchasing corn at a slow speed, that is, buying it immediately, and bulk stocking before the festival has not yet begun.

However, with the further decline of corn prices in North China, many farmers are reluctant to sell, and the purchase of grass-roots grain points is not good, which supports the price of corn.

In addition, the Northeast State Reserve continued to buy corn. At present, the standard price of Liaoning 1580- 17 10 yuan/ton and the standard price of Heilongjiang 13 10- 1398 yuan/ton will give corn a bottom support. Then in June this year, 5438+065438+1October, the bad weather in North China led to an increase in mildew, and a large amount of corn was not suitable for pig feed. Recently, there have been food quality problems in Jilin and Liaoning, and some corn vomitoxin and aflatoxin have exceeded the standard, so the market price of high-quality corn may fall.

Looking forward to the market outlook

Around New Year's Day, the Spring Festival is approaching, and the demand for grain sales before the festival will be further enhanced, and the peak of grain sales by grassroots farmers in the producing areas will reappear. By then, the market supply scale will be further expanded. From the demand side, there is no sign of improvement in corn deep processing consumption. Before the Spring Festival, poultry and pigs will increase, and the demand for corn feed will also enter the off-season. The market generally expects that stocks will be weak before this year, and the fundamental pressure will remain unchanged. It is expected that the decline in corn prices in the later period will remain the main tone.

Attach today's supply and demand information:

1, Mr. Liu from Baoding, Hebei Province, dried corn, moisture content within 14, mildew less than 2, bulk density 7 15, spot price 300 tons, price 0.82.

2. Mr. Zhu from Anyang, Henan supplied corn with moisture content of 16, and the arrival price was 0.82, and the boarding price was 0.8 1.

3. Mr. Luo, harvesting corn in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, moisture 14.5, mildew 2, to Huai 'an, delivery price 1740.

4. Henan Zhao Zong and Anyang bought 20,000 tons of corn, the second-grade corn, the moisture content did not exceed 15, the mildew did not exceed 3, the gross grain price was 0.75, and the net grain price was 0.76.

5. Mr. Li harvested corn in Xinji, Shijiazhuang, with a moisture content of 20-23 and a price of 0.68-0.7 1.

6. Wei Xian produced corn in Dezhou, Shandong Province, the price was 0.8 1, the moisture content was within 17, the bulk density was above 720, and the mildew was 2.

7. Mr. Song from Zhoukou, Henan Province supplied corn at the price of 1660, naturally dried, moisture content of 15.5, colored and bagged.

8. Mr. Ning from Qingdao, Shandong Province supplied corn with moisture 15, bulk density of 700, mildew of 2 tons, and net grain price of 0.85 yuan.

9. Song Zong, Datong, Shanxi, supplied corn, price 1620, moisture 14, mildew 1, suckling pig feed, corn bulk density 7 10-720.

10, Bengbu, Anhui Zhao Zong bought moldy corn in Anhui. If the moisture content is less than 30, the moldy corn is high and the price is around 1200.

1 1. Mr. Wang, dry corn in Dezhou, Shandong Province, moisture 14.5, mildew less than 2, bulk price of coarse grains 0.825.

12, Mr. Zhu, corn is produced in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, with moisture content of 17/ 18/ 19.

13, Anhui Bozhou Fuzong supplies natural dry corn with bulk density of 7 10, moisture 16, mildew of 2,200 tons/day and net grain of 0.85 yuan.

14, Mr. Zheng from Wuchang, Heilongjiang sells dried corn with bulk density of 7 10, no mildew and no scorch, and the price is 1380, which can be taken from the wagon.

15, Shandong Heze An always bought dried corn from Puyang, Henan, with moisture 14.5 and mildew 2.

16, Mr. Xu from Xiangyang, Hubei Province, supplying rice husk powder (bran), broken rice, dander, polishing and color selection.

17, Mr. Wang from Xinxiang, Henan Province bought wheat from Jiaozuo/Mengzhou, Henan Province, with bulk density of 770, moisture 12.5, imperfect grains 10, and door-to-door price10.26.

18 General Manager Zhang supplied 15 wheat from Bengbu, Anhui. The goods are in Chuzhou, Anhui. Gluten 34, bulk density 7.7 million, 96,000 tons of imperfect grains.

1.26 yuan.

19, Mr. Huo, cottonseed meal from Dezhou, Shandong Province, protein 42, price 3100; Protein 46, price 3200; Protein 50, price 3350.

20. Hubei exported wheat 14/15, * * 8,000 tons, moisture 13, bulk density 760, 9 imperfect grains, prices 1.225 and 1.23.

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