Pig prices are rising, food prices are "moths", and wheat and corn are sluggish. When will they stop falling?

The introduction is about halfway through February. In the domestic agricultural product market, the price of live pigs has recently become stronger, and the market center of gravity has slowly moved up. At present, the average price of live pigs in China has risen to 14.49 yuan/kg, and the price of live pigs has risen. In the last week, the increase has reached .62 yuan! The key to this round of rising pig prices lies in the rising bullish sentiment in the market. Supported by the favorable purchasing and storage that is about to land, with the support of the grassroots reluctance to sell, the price of pigs continues to rise. At present, the price has ushered in a "three consecutive rises", and in the short term, the price of pigs is still expected to rise further!

However, in the grain market, the price of grain is a "moth". Recently, the wheat and corn markets have been sluggish. Although the corn market has stabilized, there is a great downward pressure on the market. In the wheat market, the price of wheat has gradually fallen below 1.6 yuan/kg, so when will the market stop falling?

According to the data, since February 4th, after the Lantern Festival, with the full-scale start-up of milling enterprises, the price reduction operation of enterprises continued. As of February 1th, the average spot price of domestic wheat was 3,197 yuan/ton, down .8% from last week, and the average price of wheat fell below 1.6 yuan/kg, but there was still a 12% increase compared with last year!

This round of wheat prices fell strongly. On the one hand, after the holiday, grain enterprises just needed less, and the operating rate of enterprises was low, with only 3-4% of mainstream milling enterprises. The enthusiasm of factories to replenish raw grain was weak, and the market was dominated by inventory consumption.

In some milling enterprises, the self-owned stock of raw grain can still last for 1-2 months, so the expected deviation of price increase and grain sales!

On the other hand, the domestic wheat supply is generally loose. Since last year, the price of wheat has remained at a high level, and there is no basis for feeding. After the year, temporary storage wheat has been continuously put in, and the rotation of reserve wheat has been intensified in various places. The market is bearish, and the flour milling enterprises have become more depressed!

so, when will the price of wheat stop falling?

personally, the key lies in whether the operating rate of milling enterprises can be greatly improved! Due to the lifting of the restrictions on personnel flow this year, the level of consumption follow-up will be greatly improved, and the demand for flour will gradually pick up. After the raw grain in stock is gradually consumed by enterprises, the willingness to replenish stocks will gradually become stronger!

In terms of wheat supply, due to the high warehousing cost of traders, the willingness of raw grain to be delivered at a low price is weak, and traders have a strong price-holding mood, so the market volume may decrease and the wheat price will gradually pick up!

It can be seen that the wheat price will still be under the pressure of weak adjustment in the short term due to the continuous release of temporary storage and the minimum purchase price of wheat. However, with the slow recovery of the consumer market, the inventory of enterprises will continue to be consumed, and the traders' price sentiment will become stronger, and the price will stop falling and rise. However, as the wheat market enters the later stage, the surplus grain at the grass-roots level will gradually decrease, and the focus of more collection will also be on the wheat auction. If the scale and frequency of wheat auction are high, then

In the corn market, after the Lantern Festival, the price of corn kept falling. On the one hand, due to the rising temperature in Northeast China and North China, it was more difficult to store corn at the grass-roots level, and the risk of corn resurgence increased. The demand for farmers to sell grain increased, the market volume increased, and the prices of enterprises in Shandong and Northeast China kept falling. On the other hand, after the year, most grain-using enterprises mainly wait and see, and the raw grain replenishment lacks enthusiasm. Traders follow the harvest, and enterprises just need to replenish the warehouse after rolling. Therefore, the price reduction performance is relatively positive!

However, in recent days, with the attack of strong cold air, the rain and snow in the mainstream corn producing areas continued to cool down, the rhythm of farmers' grain sales was blocked and superimposed, and the price of corn kept falling. In recent days, the market volume has shrunk, prices have stabilized, and the quotations of some enterprises in Shandong have rebounded slightly!

However, due to the loose surplus grain at the grass-roots level in China, the influence of cold air has come to an end, and the storage difficulty of grass-roots corn has further increased, and the risk of selling pressure in the corn market is still high. As for the demand, it is obvious that the replenishment of grain in the northeast is weak before it is put on the market, and the grain enterprises in the market are cautious in building grain warehouses. The corn will still fluctuate downwards, and the price will fluctuate by stages!

However, due to the low inventory of corn in the current corn market and the low inventory of deep processing enterprises, the market still has a stage of centralized warehouse building. Personally, in early March, due to the weather in the north and south of China getting stronger and the spring is just around the corner in the northeast, the grass-roots corn supply will reach a stage high. At that time, the enthusiasm of enterprises and traders to build warehouses will gradually rise, the market will be booming, and the price will gradually form a trend of bottoming out and strong operation!

The price of pigs is rising, and the price of food is "a moth". Wheat and corn are sluggish. When will it stop falling? What do you think of this? The above is my personal opinion!