The latest news of Typhoon BailuNo. 1 1 (Typhoon Bailu stops numbering)

Today, the editor will share the latest news of Typhoon Bailu 1 1, and will also analyze and answer the stop number of Typhoon Bailu. If you can solve the problem you want to know, pay attention to this website.

When will Typhoon 1 1 come and where will it land?

According to Fengyun satellite images, the embryos of typhoon 90W located in the eastern Philippines have been enhanced. Now the center is located at 13.0 N 125.3 EE, and the wind speed has increased to 20KT, which is equivalent to 10m/s, and the central air pressure value is 1007hpa. It is preliminarily predicted that it will continue to move westward and gradually strengthen.

According to the super-calculated simulation data, it can be basically determined that 90W will become this year's 1 1 typhoon Hai Xia, and there is not much room for change, so it is necessary to focus on observing the embryos of 90W typhoon, mainly in the west direction, so the impact on China also exists, and the key area is South China. Let's take a concrete look at the situation below. First of all, it can be explained that the intensity of this typhoon may not be too high because of its limited embryo development.

According to the simulation data of GFS, 90W is passing through the Philippines today, and it is expected that the air pressure will develop to 999hpa on September 15, and then fluctuate up and down on 1000hpa, and a stable and enhanced typhoon embryo will be formed on September 16, and the strongest typhoon embryo is expected to reach 996hpa on September 16. After that, it will continue to weaken slowly to the west, so if 90W becomes the No.1 typhoon 1 1 this year, the strongest typhoon may be a tropical storm.

As for how long it is possible to name it, according to GFS, it is either 15 or 16, mainly depending on the wind speed. If the pressure value of 999hpa reaches 18m/s at 15, it is named. Otherwise, it will continue to drag on, and the same will happen later.

The data that Japan Meteorological Agency can see temporarily will be upgraded to TD on September 16, so it is possible to issue gale warning, but the naming situation of Japan Meteorological Agency is not optimistic for the time being, and there is still room for change. Let's take a look at the European numerical center. The European Numerical Center predicts that the typhoon may form a little later, and it is predicted that the pressure will reach 997hpa on September 17, so it may become the typhoon Xia Hong this year, and then it will continue to move westward.

Generally speaking, the routes of GFS and EC are far from South China. At the same time, in GFS simulation, we can also see that the subtropical high has been increasing, and even some areas such as Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan are covered at this time. So this may not be a good storm.

Therefore, if we look at the situation of GFS, it is possible that the influence of warmer climate in South China may be stronger during this period, rather than a large-scale cooling weather. Of course, if there are no accidents, the sultry weather may be the most important weather in most areas, so if we look at whether there will be some changes in the later period, it is obvious that the intensity of subtropical high has been obvious in recent days, which is the situation of typhoon embryos of 90W today.

After watching the changes in ocean area, let's look at the land area of China. Today, large-scale rainfall has been formed in the central and eastern regions. This wave of rainfall develops from west to east, covering a very wide area and lasting for a long time. There are obvious coverage areas in South China, Northeast China and North China of the Yangtze River Basin.

According to the data, there were heavy rainstorms in eastern Inner Mongolia, northeastern Hunan, northwestern Jiangxi, southern Guizhou, southeastern Tibet and other places on September 15, with the strongest rainfall reaching 90 mm. On September 16, the rainfall will be further upgraded, and there will be scattered rainstorms in parts of northern Zhejiang, southeastern Chongqing and southern Anhui. The strongest rainfall will be upgraded to 95 mm, so it is very obvious that after the rain continues to increase, it will gradually weaken around September 17. This is the overall rainfall situation, but after this wave, there will be continuous rainfall in different areas on June 5438+08-20 and 20-23, and there will be heavy rain or rainstorm in some areas, so there will still be more rain. Everyone should pay attention to the distribution of rain.

At the same time, you can also see the accumulated rainfall in the next 10 day. Most areas in the south are the cumulative rainfall area from 100mm to 250 mm, and almost all areas in the south are covered by rainfall, so the rainfall is very obvious. It can be said that the rainfall in autumn is less than that in summer, but the influence range is still large, which also needs attention. Finally, I would like to remind you that typhoon 1 1 will be generated this year. Although it will have an impact on South China, the possibility is getting smaller and smaller. If it is formed, it will be the second autumn typhoon this year, and its intensity is expected to be much weaker than that of 1 autumn typhoon Poseidon, so we will focus on the typhoon embryo and the current rainfall.

Typhoon "White Deer" will land in Fujian. Why do Fujian netizens still look forward to the arrival of the typhoon?

Because the weather in Fujian has been very hot for a long time, basically everyone doesn't want to travel, so now everyone is looking forward to hearing the arrival of a typhoon.

After typhoon Lichima and Rosa were sent away, the nearest Fuzhou was always suddenly stormy one second after the clear sky in Wan Li, and it was as hot as a sauna.

However, since last weekend, the subtropical high has "returned blood" to the north, and the Pacific Ocean with sufficient energy immediately took off, producing three typhoon embryos at once. They are the unnumbered tropical depression east of Taiwan Province Province, 97 degrees west longitude on the "warm pool" east of the Philippines and 98 degrees west longitude south of Japan.

Among them, 97W on the "warm pool" is the fattest and grows fastest. Yesterday 1 1 developed into a typhoon "White Deer". Although the current SST in the northwest Pacific is conducive to the strengthening of "Bailuyuan", the overall forecast shows that the intensity is limited. Even after landing in China, the intensity is mainly tropical storm or strong tropical storm.

1 1 the wind and rain brought by typhoon "Bailu" affected the precipitation from Guangdong to Fujian. Wind and rain impact, mainly concentrated in the weekend for two days, the main impact period is this Sunday. There will be heavy rain, local heavy rain and even heavy rain in Guangdong, Fujian and surrounding provinces.

Meteorologist Yan Shi once said that there will be two typhoons in the northwest Pacific. At present, theNo. 1 1 typhoon Bailu has been generated this year! This means that typhoon 12 will follow! At this moment, I would like to ask my friends in Fuzhou, are you surprised by the gathering of typhoon embryo super-guerrillas?

After all, the appearance of typhoon can alleviate the hot weather in Fujian now, so the people of Fujian are still very happy to meet the typhoon!

What is the biggest impact on Fujian after the typhoon landed?

Typhoon brings heavy rainfall to Fujian, which will lead to natural disasters such as floods in Fujian and bring inconvenience to people's travel. Some typhoons can even directly destroy cities.

Typhoon 1 1 this year is located about 355 kilometers southeast of Zhangpu County, Zhangzhou City, Fujian Province. The maximum wind force in the typhoon center is 1 1, and the intensity level is strong tropical storm. It is expected to move to the north-north direction at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, with little change in intensity. According to the forecast of Fujian Meteorological Observatory, there will be heavy rain in some coastal areas and Longyan and other counties and cities from the night of 24th to the day of 25th, among which some counties and cities in Zhangzhou, Xiamen, Quanzhou, Putian and Longyan have heavy rain and some have heavy rain. The process rainfall in coastal and southern areas can reach 80- 150 mm, and the local area is 250 mm.

It can be seen from the forecast of the above meteorological observatory that typhoons bring a lot of rainfall, which seriously affects people's daily life and may even cause floods. Typhoon has brought abundant rainfall to vast areas and become a rainfall system closely related to human life and production. However, typhoons always bring all kinds of injuries. Because of its sudden and destructive power, it is one of the most serious natural disasters in the world. Typhoon is a very strong rainfall system.

When the typhoon lands, the rainstorm center can drop 100-300mm a day, or even reach 500-800mm. The floods caused by typhoons and rainstorms are the most dangerous disasters. Typhoon rainstorm is strong, flood occurs frequently, spreads widely, and is fierce and destructive. Especially in coastal areas, typhoons are more powerful when they land, so some people say that typhoons change color.

Where did typhoon 1 1 land?

Typhoon 1 1 landed on the coast of Dongshan.

This year's No.1 1 1 typhoon "White Deer" landed on the coast of Dongshan at 7: 25 on the 25th. When landing, the maximum wind force in the center is 10, and the minimum air pressure in the center is 988 hectopascals. After landing, the typhoon will move to the north-north direction at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, and pass through the south of Zhangzhou in the morning and enter the territory of Guangdong Province.

Affected by it, strong winds and heavy rains occurred in Fujian coastal areas. According to statistics from 6 o'clock on the 24th to 6 o'clock on the 25th, the wind force at 98 stations in 26 counties exceeded 10, of which 15 exceeded 1 1 0 at 48 stations in counties, and 10 at 6 stations in counties, and reached 65432 at 2 stations in 2 counties.

The rainfall in 39 townships in 8 counties exceeds 50 mm, of which 3 townships in Zhangpu exceed 100 mm, Nanpu Township in Zhangpu has the largest rainfall of 123.2 mm, and Guanxun Town in Zhangpu has the largest rainfall of 1.9 mm.

Extended data:

"Second-hand Typhoon" loves to land in Fujian.

Typhoon Bailu first landed in Taiwan Province Province, and then landed in Fujian for the second time. Looking at the typhoon big data in the past 70 years, nearly 90% of the typhoons that landed in Taiwan Province Province in August will land on the coast of South China for the second time.

According to the data from China Meteorological Network 1949 to 20 18, during August, there were 39 typhoons that landed in Taiwan Province Province for the first time, among which 34 typhoons landed in the south China coast for the second time, accounting for 87.2%. From the second landing site, Fujian is the first choice for most "second-hand typhoons", and 3 1 secondary typhoon "landed" in Fujian, accounting for 91.2%; Three other typhoons landed for the second time along the coast of Guangdong and Hong Kong.

Judging from the landing intensity, the first and second landings of typhoons are often very different. According to the big data of China Weather Network, the average wind speed of these 34 typhoons reached 39 m/s when they landed in Taiwan Province Province, which was typhoon level, while the average wind speed when they landed in South China was about 25 m/s, which was only the lower limit of severe tropical storms, and the intensity attenuation exceeded 1/3.

China News Network-Typhoon 1 1 landed on the coast of Dongshan, Fujian this year.

Current situation of typhoon 1 1

The center of typhoon "White Deer"19 landed on the coast of Manzhou Township, Pingtung County, Taiwan Province around August 24th 13, and the maximum wind force near the center was 1 1. "White Deer" will move to the north-north direction at a speed of 25 ~ 30 kilometers per hour, with little change in intensity. It will land again in the coastal area from Zhangpu, Fujian to Shantou, Guangdong from the night of 24th to the morning of 25th. After landing, it will continue to move to the north-west direction, and its intensity will gradually weaken. From 20: 00 on the 24th to 20: 00 on the 25th, there were heavy rains in parts of eastern and southern Fujian, eastern Guangdong, southeastern Zhejiang, southwestern Jiangxi, southeastern Hunan and Taiwan Province Island, and there were heavy rains or torrential rains in southeastern Fujian, eastern Guangdong, southwestern Jiangxi and southeastern Taiwan Province Island.

Why is there a lot of uncertainty about the path of typhoon "White Deer"?

According to domestic meteorological enthusiasts, from last weekend, the subtropical high "returned blood" to the north, holding up the Pacific Ocean with sufficient energy and immediately creating three typhoon embryos! They are the unnumbered tropical depression east of Taiwan Province Province, 97 degrees west longitude on the "warm pool" east of the Philippines and 98 degrees west longitude south of Japan.

On August 20th, 2008, the embryo diagram of three typhoons in the northwest Pacific Ocean was marked with China's love on the cloud image of Fengyun-4 satellite. Among them, the 97W model on the "warm pool" is the fattest and fastest-growing supercomputer model, which has a strong response. At 2 pm on August 20th, the Japan Meteorological Agency issued a gale warning, believing that it would develop into typhoon 1 1 within 24 hours.

So, what is the future path of typhoon 1 1? Shi Yan, a weather and meteorological analyst in China, said that there will be two typhoons in the northwest Pacific in the next ten days, and there will be 1 typhoon affecting the southeast coast around August 24th. At present, there is a tropical depression east of the Philippines, which may develop into Typhoon Bailu 1 1 this year in the next 24 hours. There are two possibilities in the later stage. One is to land on the southeast coast of China; The second is to turn north to Japan. Due to the uncertainty of the later path, please pay attention to update the information in time.

According to the analysis of weatherman_ Xinxin, a meteorologist of China Weather TV Station, the Japan Meteorological Agency maintained the tropical depression intensity assessment east of the Philippines this morning, but it is still developing slowly at present, and it may not be numbered in the afternoon, depending on whether it can be upgraded to Typhoon Bailu 1 1 tonight or tomorrow morning. The future path of this system is still quite different. Fig. 2 The numerical ensemble forecast in the United States continues to turn northward, but the turning point is adjusted westward. Fig. 3 Canadian ensemble forecast and fig. 4 European numerical forecast show the landing in China.

The following path is crucial during the period of 23-24, depending on the intensity of typhoon and the shape of subtropical high. Because of the great difference between the upper and lower subtropical high, the subtropical high in the middle and upper troposphere is strong, which blocks the north side of the typhoon like a high wall or dam, which is not conducive to the northward movement of the typhoon, but the low-altitude subtropical high is weak to the east and the north side can pass. Therefore, if the typhoon is strong and high, it will land in China in the northwest. However, if the typhoon is weak and short, it will lead north at low altitude and will not land in China.