Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather forecast - Accuracy of weather forecast in Fuling 15 days

Accuracy of weather forecast in Fuling 15 days

70% has certain accuracy.

Model weather forecast is to design a huge program to calculate weather forecast. By inputting the currently known weather phenomena, the future atmospheric motion state and weather conditions can be calculated.

The change of weather is the result of the movement of the atmosphere around the earth. The basic laws of fluid mechanics and thermodynamics in physics can be used to analyze the motion of the atmosphere, and these laws can be written into mathematical equations in mathematical language. People use large computers to solve these mathematical equations, and then predict the future air pressure, temperature, wind direction, wind speed and precipitation in a certain area. ...

Any forecasting model can't completely simulate the evolution of the atmosphere, but can only approximate it, so there must be errors. Moreover, the error will accumulate, and the longer the prediction time, the greater the error.