What would happen if Zhuge Liang went to Jingzhou for the Northern Expedition?

There has always been a controversy in the history of the Three Kingdoms, that is, the merits and demerits of Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition. According to the result theory, Zhuge Liang went north all the year round, and his successor Jiang Wei also insisted on the northern expedition policy, which eventually led to the weakness of the country and the exhaustion of the people, and was annihilated by Wei Jun! This shows that Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition was immature and even wrong. If Zhuge Liang does not go to the Northern Expedition, but chooses to recuperate, what will happen to the fate of Shu, and is there any chance to make a comeback?

Congenital factor

Shu Han, which Zhuge Liang took over, was the weakest of the three countries. Liu Bei's defeat in the battle for Jingzhou with Sun Quan not only made Liu Bei Group lose its strategic position in Jingzhou forever, but also greatly consumed the effective strength of Shu.

With the death of Liu Bei, Shu Han faced a serious crisis. The relationship between the foreign Shu Han and Wu Dong was tense, and at the same time, faced with the threat of Cao Wei, they rebelled against the barbarians in the southwest of the internal Shu Han ... After a series of efforts by Zhuge Liang, the above problems were apparently solved on the eve of the first Northern Expedition, but they still could not change the situation that the Shu Han was poor and weak. According to Zhuge Liang's "model", today's three points will be beneficial to Yizhou, which is also a dangerous autumn.

Yizhou was born poor and weak, which was an important reason why Zhuge Liang had to go north. Dongwu occupies the rich areas in the south of the Yangtze River, which has a long history of enriching the country and strengthening the people. Cao Wei occupies a vast area in the north and is not afraid of consumption. Even if Shu is cultivated, it is like a poor man. Even if you work hard every day, you will still be poor! If you want to get rich, you can only take risks. ...

internal contradictions

Liu Bei, Zhuge Liang and others. Belonging to a foreign population, they seized Yizhou, which originally belonged to Liu Zhang, by violent means. The conflict between Jingzhou forces represented by Liu Bei and Zhuge Liang and Yizhou natives has always existed. Liu Bei can still be suppressed when he is alive, and the heir after Liu Bei's death is weak. Although Zhuge Liang is in charge of the overall situation, the problem will eventually break out.

In addition, there is a sentence in the "Teacher's Watch": However, the ministers in the guards are tireless and loyal to the outside world, and they want to report to your majesty. What special experience did my late emperor have? Eat meat with Liu Bei (fame and fortune), and then follow the late Liu Chan? Now that Yizhou has been won, does the Liu family have the determination and ability to forge ahead in the world? If Liu Chan doesn't have this ability, he will be the king of national subjugation sooner or later. Why should they be loyal to the Liu family?

Zhuge Liang's northern expedition was in line with the heart of Wei Zhongmin. At the same time, the Northern Expedition can transfer the internal contradictions between Shu and Han, so it is necessary. What will happen if we don't go to the Northern Expedition? People are distracted and internal contradictions intensify. ...

Foreign invasion

The ultimate goal of the opposition among the three countries is to destroy each other and achieve reunification. The reason for maintaining the opposition is close, but on the whole, Shu is the weakest. During Zhuge Liang's first Northern Expedition, the emperor of Wei was Cao Rui and the temple name of Cao Rui was Wei Mingdi. This is a successful monarch! Of course, a promising king wants to unify the whole world. During the period of Cao Rui, he invaded Shu Han, but gave up because of the weather. Of course, it is more because Zhuge Liang is alive. Because of Zhuge Liang's many northern expeditions, Cao Wei was "as afraid of Shu as a tiger".

People have just seen Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition. If not, who can guarantee that Wei will not invade? Can Wei take it? Zhuge Liang may still be alive. Without Zhuge Liang's history, people all know that Shu Han perished under the invasion of Cao Wei!

As mentioned earlier, one of the benefits of Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition was that Wei was "as afraid of Shu as a tiger". Even many years after Zhuge Liang's death, Cao Wei still dared not destroy Shu easily. This is the shock brought by Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition!

Zhuge Liang should know that it is difficult to destroy Cao Wei by the power of Shu Han alone, and he can't stop the trend of Shu Han's extinction. The only thing Zhuge Liang can do is to "do his best until he dies" and repay the kindness of the first emperor. Future generations respect Zhuge Liang, not only because of his wisdom, but more importantly, this lofty thought of knowing what he can't do. Nothing in life is certain, life needs to work hard for some unknown things, and the result is not important.