Why is the weather forecast in Bozhou inaccurate?

Weather forecast is a forecast within a certain probability range, not an accurate calculation of 100%.

Weather forecast belongs to forecasting science. According to the laws of science, forecasting science cannot be completely accurate or always accurate. The current level of science and technology, especially the understanding of the whole atmosphere and even the whole climate system, determines that our weather forecast cannot be completely accurate, and there must be some contingency.

Main factors affecting the accuracy of weather forecast:

1 Humans have not fully grasped the laws of atmospheric motion.

There is a certain uncertainty in every link of atmospheric movement, so it is impossible for every forecast result to be consistent with reality. It is precisely because of the ever-changing atmosphere that human beings have not fully understood and mastered the laws of atmospheric movement.

2. There are still weak links in monitoring, forecasting and early warning capabilities.

Generally speaking, the current monitoring, forecasting and early warning capabilities are relatively weak. China's meteorological monitoring capacity does not meet the needs of forecasting and service, and some local disastrous weather is often not captured due to insufficient density of monitoring stations, leading to underreporting.