How much room is there for egg prices to rise before the Spring Festival?

Pork prices have stabilized and rebounded recently after falling for five consecutive months. According to the 500 market monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture, in the fourth week of February 20 16, the national pork price was 28.33 yuan per kilogram, up 0.3% from the previous month and 5.7% from the same period last year. In June 5438+February, the national corn price per kilogram 1.95 yuan increased by 1.0% month-on-month, which was lower than the increase in the price of live pigs, and pushed the price of pig food up by 0.20 points from last month to 8.95-1. Farmers made huge profits.

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What caused the pork price to rebound?

Recently, there is an ample supply of pork in the market. The slaughter of pigs by enterprises above designated size increased month-on-month and year-on-year, and the import of frozen pork remained high. According to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture, in the month of 2011.9129400, pig slaughtering enterprises above designated size slaughtered pigs nationwide, up 6.8% from the previous month and 1. 1% from the same period last year. The data shows that the recent rise in pork prices is purely driven by seasonal consumption.

According to Zhu Zengyong, an associate researcher at the Institute of Agricultural Information, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the twelfth lunar month is the traditional peak season for pork consumption in China. There is a custom of making bacon in the south, and there is a custom of "killing pigs that year" in the north, which will significantly boost pork consumption. Recently, the temperature in the northern region has dropped rapidly, and the demand for meat consumption of residents has increased, which has supported the rise of pig prices in the northern provinces and promoted the rise of pork prices nationwide. In addition, some farmers expect to slaughter before and after the Spring Festival, which also injects momentum into the rise in pig prices.

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What is the impact of smog weather on pork prices?

20 16 12 2 1, the wholesale price of Beijing Xinfadi white striped pig suddenly soared to 22.3 yuan, reaching the price in early July, and then continued to fall. According to the agent of the slaughterhouse, the slaughterhouse raised the ex-factory price of pigs with white stripes because the severe smog weather affected the transportation of pigs. Liu Tong, manager of statistics department of Beijing Xinfadi agricultural and sideline products wholesale market, said in an interview that the price of pork rose at the beginning of smog, and then fell back because of the smog dissipation, which was unimaginable in the past. The rise lasted for a short time and did not raise the pig price. The reason is that the supply of live pigs is relatively sufficient, and the price of pigs has no incentive to continue to rise.

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Will pork prices soar on the eve of the Spring Festival?

Industry experts generally believe that the recent rebound in pork prices will not open a new round of bull market.

Zhu Zengyong said that the pork market in China is still under great pressure from the decline in the number of fertile sows. According to the information data of 4,000 monitoring points of the Ministry of Agriculture, the number of live pigs nationwide decreased by 0.6% month-on-month, by 2.3% compared with the beginning of the year, by 3.2% compared with the same period of last year, and for 36 consecutive months. The number of fertile sows decreased by 0.5% month-on-month for five consecutive months, by 3.0% compared with the beginning of the year and by 3.7% year-on-year, and by 39 consecutive months. It is predicted that the pork price will rise steadily in June of 20 17, but the increase is moderate, so it is difficult for the pork price to reach a new high. After the Spring Festival, the price of pigs will drop steadily, and the drop is not big.