Many runners in Gansu Mountain Marathon were killed. Can extreme weather be predicted in advance?

Whether the extreme weather of Gansu Mountain Marathon can be predicted has been questioned by many people, but this extreme weather is really inaccurate, and it is difficult to predict from the category of strong convection.

The weather background before extreme weather appeared was May 22nd, when a strong cold vortex approached the north and cold air hit Inner Mongolia. We can see thunderstorms in Beijing and Tianjin, and strong cold air in Ningxia, Gansu.

In Jingtai County, Gansu Province, the local temperature reached 30 degrees on 2 1 day. On the morning of May 22nd, cold air arrived in Jingtai and convective clouds appeared. The superposition of strong convection and cold air makes strong winds appear near Jingtai County, and then disastrous weather such as rainfall appears.

According to a message posted in their accounts by meteorological enthusiasts in China, the meteorological department has predicted the severe cooling. However, the local storm on the morning of May 22 was a strong convection, which really caught people off guard.

The risk of marathon in extreme weather. The marathons you usually see are all running in the city, but this time in Gansu, it is a mountain marathon and you need to climb mountains.

The altitude of CP2-CP3 in the whole marathon reaches1700-2200m. You may not understand what this height means. Let me give you an example: Huangshan needs to know that its main peak, Lotus Peak, is 1864 meters above sea level, and the main peak of Mount Tai, Yuhuangding, is 1545 meters above sea level. Let's compare the height of the CP2-CP3 stage. You should know this height.

However, due to the relatively high terrain in Jingtai County, Gansu Province, the CP2-CP3 stage is only 300-800 meters higher than the county seat, which is not small.

On the day of the game, the sun was shining at the foot of the mountain, and I didn't feel cold at all. But when we reached the mountain, especially in the CP2-CP3 stage, cold air suddenly came with a thunderstorm, which caught these athletes off guard.

Moreover, the first echelon with the most accidents is basically capable. Many of them are very confident about this weather and are too confident about their physical fitness. Finally, the farther you run, the colder you run!

Although the weather is uncontrollable, the support is even less powerful. Although the weather of Gansu Marathon is difficult to predict, the logistics support is still very weak.

It is said that 100 km is a supply station every 10 km, and there are about 10 supply stations in the whole journey. There are not many staff around the station, and there is no special medical rescue team.

Obviously, the organizer of this activity was very hasty and didn't put the safety of athletes first at all!