Will there be a warm winter this year?

It is predicted that this winter (from February 2023 to February 2024) will be a warm winter.

According to the monitoring of the National Climate Center, since the fall of this year (1 October1to 1 1), the national average temperature has been 15.0℃, which is higher than normal 1.4℃. The temperature in Inner Mongolia, Northeast China and other places affected by strong cold air is the highest in the same period in history.

Since the autumn of this year, the temperature in northern China has been unusually high. Although most of the northeast, northwest and northwest have entered the winter, the winter time in most of the above areas is later than normal, and some areas are more than 5 days later. Since the autumn of this year, zonal circulation has dominated the middle and high latitudes in Europe and Asia, and China is controlled by the positive anomaly of height field. The intensity of Siberian high pressure is generally weak, and the cold air activity is weak, which leads to the continuous high temperature in most parts of China.

Introduction to the characteristics of warm winter:

1, the temperature is high: the temperature in warm winter is usually higher than normal, and the average temperature is higher than normal.

2, less cold weather: warm winter and less cold weather, such as extreme weather such as snowfall and freezing.

3. Short duration: The duration of warm winter and cold weather is short, usually less than one week, and the interval is long.

4, the wind is small: the wind in warm winter is usually small, there will be no strong wind to cool down.

5, moderate humidity: moderate humidity in warm winter, not too dry and not too wet.

6. Less precipitation: The precipitation in warm winter is usually less than that in the same period of normal years, mainly because the higher temperature leads to greater evaporation.

7. There are many foggy weather: In warm winter, foggy weather is prone to occur due to dry air and low air pressure.