Cold air is coming again! The local temperature in Guangdong may drop to above 10 degrees, and typhoon 1 in May may be coming soon.

From the satellite images on the morning of May 9, it can be said that a large area of China has been? Rainy day? Coverage, especially in the central and eastern regions. Of course, it is also prone to sultry weather, and with the southward movement of cold air, it can be seen from the weather analysis chart that it is almost in South China.

Therefore, the weather in South China will also change, that is, the problem of rainfall is more obvious, so we should pay attention to the development of strong convective weather. Of course, in order to illustrate the appearance of cooling weather, we need to give an example to illustrate that although it is not a strong cooling, it can be alleviated in a short time.

For example, in Shaoguan, Guangdong, the highest temperature was 33.6 degrees on May 9, and 10 was only 22.8 degrees in May. The direct forecast was a drop of 10.8 degrees (above 10 degrees), so it was still very strong. Of course, it was only a short rain, and it was only a short rain on May 65438. In May 14, the temperature is directly 34 degrees, so the temperature fluctuates greatly and it will rain at the same time. This may be what everyone said? Steamer? The weather has come out, it is hot and rainy, so the weather in some parts of South China is really going to cool down, and there are weather changes of rainfall. Let's take a look at the distribution of rainfall.

According to the data of the Central Meteorological Observatory, according to the rainfall distribution before 08: 00 on 10, a wide range of moderate to heavy rain has formed in the south, and there are obvious heavy rains in parts of southern Hunan, south-central Jiangxi, northeastern Guangxi and other places, with the maximum rainfall reaching 75 mm. Of course, the coastal areas in South China are perfectly avoided at this time, and the rainfall continues to the south from 08: 00 on May 8 165438. At this time, rainfall occurred along the coast of South China, directly forming five rainstorm points, mainly concentrated in Guangdong and Guangxi, with the strongest rainfall of 80 mm, from 08: 00 May to 08: 00 May1to 08: 00 May 12, rainstorm points? Will continue to upgrade, more and stronger areas.

As a whole, there have been 9 rainstorms in South China, including 7 in South China, 60 mm in Fujian/Kloc-0 and 70 mm in Yunnan/Kloc-0 ... So compared with the previous five rainstorms, there are two more rainstorms, and the maximum rainfall has also increased from 80 mm to 90 mm, so the rainfall that did not exist in South China some time ago can still alleviate many climatic conditions. Of course, again, pay attention? Steamer? Weather, this is the change of land area, and rainfall basically enters South China in an all-round way. After seeing the land area, let's look at the development of typhoon embryos in the northwest Pacific. On the whole, the probability of typhoon 1 has increased this year.

At present, the northwest Pacific is mainly developing at 95W, and the central pressure of typhoon embryo has risen to 1007hpa. At present, the simulation data of GFS still shows that the pressure below 1000hpa may be formed in May 1 1, which means that this year's typhoon 1 may develop as soon as possible. After that, it will continue to increase, and the strongest time may reach 95 1hpa pressure. As for the path, the simulation has obviously changed, that is, the possibility of not entering the South China Sea has increased, and GFS has been adjusted to go directly north from the Philippine coast, so the possibility of affecting China has been further weakened.

However, the European Numerical Center (EC) has not been adjusted, and it is estimated that it will enter the South China Sea and then go north after landing in the Philippines. So let's see if it will be adjusted later, but now we are optimistic about the appearance of typhoon 1, but the path is still controversial, so typhoon 1 may really come in May. According to the naming table, if it is formed, it will be typhoon 1 this year. If there is any change in the future, I will continue to follow up. Generally speaking, the possibility of typhoon has increased a lot.