Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather inquiry - How to detect weather rumors?

How to detect weather rumors?

A brief attack on detecting weather rumors: pay attention to the forecast department, time and region and find out "three no products"; Pay attention to the timeliness of forecasting, and short-term forecasting is the most accurate; Pay attention to authoritative publishing channels and don't make predictions.

1, pay attention to the forecast department, time and region, and find out "three no products"

The release of weather forecast has three basic elements, namely, release unit, release time and influence area. Rumor weather forecast, which meteorological station doesn't write it, has no release time, and the affected area can be put all over the country, which makes the forecaster who makes local area forecast every day very embarrassed.

2. Pay attention to the timeliness of forecasting, and short-term forecasting is the most accurate.

At present, the weather forecast that the public is exposed to is mainly short-term forecast, that is, the weather situation in the next three to seven days. The forecast during this period is numerical forecast data plus manual correction, and the accuracy will be higher. The medium and long-term forecast of 8 ~ 15 days or even longer can only be used as a reference, because the longer the distance, the greater the error accumulation of the numerical model.

3. Pay attention to authoritative distribution channels and don't make predictions.

Pay attention to China Weather Network Weibo, WeChat official account and authoritative meteorological information released every day. In addition, the Central Meteorological Observatory, local meteorological stations, Weibo WeChat and major authoritative media are the correct ways for us to obtain weather forecast information.

Weather forecast is not only a reference for our daily travel and dressing, but also of great significance to agriculture and animal husbandry production, engineering construction, disaster prevention and mitigation, and the authority of forecast cannot be challenged.

Extended data:

There was a coldest winter in 2008.

Since June 65438+1October 10, 2008, China has suffered four rounds of disastrous weather with low temperature, rain, snow and freezing. Generally speaking, meteorological disasters have the characteristics of wide range, high intensity, long duration and heavy disaster impact.

The continuous freezing rain and snow weather has affected 20 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) such as Guizhou, Hunan, Hubei, Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Chongqing, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Fujian, Sichuan, Shaanxi, Jiangsu, Yunnan, Gansu, Henan, Qinghai, Tibet, Shanxi and Shanghai. Many areas return once every 50 years, and some areas return once every 100 years, which is rare in history.

Through analysis, the abnormal atmospheric circulation in Europe and Asia in June 5438+1October 2008 was the direct cause of the low-temperature rain, snow and freezing disaster in China, and the strong La Nina event in the Pacific Ocean was the "behind-the-scenes hand" that caused the large-scale atmospheric circulation abnormality and low-temperature rain, snow and freezing. Because the influence of low temperature rain and snow freezing in early 2008 was so great, the combination of "rare low temperature rain and snow freezing disaster in 2008+La Nina+coldest winter this year" became an eye-catching weapon.

Xiaoxiang morning herald-This winter will be the coldest in 60 years, with the heaviest snowfall? Meteorologists refute rumors.