What is the drought in Yunnan now? Are there any casualties?

Most areas in Yunnan Province are currently experiencing severe drought, and the Yunnan Meteorological Observatory issued a "red warning" for drought in the whole province. Drought loses 2 billion a week. "If it doesn't rain in Da Chun, the loss will be even greater, because 80% of the crops have to be planted this season." Xu Li, deputy director of Yunnan Provincial Bureau of Statistics, said in an interview with china securities journal. A person in charge of the Yunnan Provincial Drought Relief Headquarters said, "The losses caused by an average week's drought will increase by about 2 billion yuan." Judging from the current situation, Director Xu's worries may come true. According to the forecast of the local meteorological department, there was no obvious large-scale precipitation process in the province before mid-May, and the rainy season began in most areas in late May, and the drought will continue to develop and spread for more than two months. What's more, the storage capacity of reservoirs and ponds in the province has been greatly reduced, and the primary goal is to ensure the domestic water consumption of urban and rural residents. In addition, some dams and ponds have dried up, and rivers and streams have been cut off, so the production water in Da Chun cannot be guaranteed. It is very difficult to complete Da Chun's planting plan in the best season. According to the latest statistics of Yunnan Province, as of March 15, the affected area of autumn and winter crops in the province reached 32 17000 mu, with a disaster-stricken area of 24.723 million mu, with no harvest143.97 million mu. Among them, the affected area of grain crops in Koharu reached 1, 573. 1, 000 mu, and 1, 260. 1, 000 mu, with no harvest of 8.776 million mu. The direct loss of planting industry in the whole province due to drought was1654.38+45 million yuan, and the grain output in Koharu was reduced by more than 50% compared with the previous year. In addition to grain, cash crops such as sugarcane, flue-cured tobacco, coffee and tea are also greatly affected, especially flue-cured tobacco. Drought not only affects the transplanting and picking of tobacco seedlings, but also leads to the decline of annual output this year. More seriously, it directly threatens the supply of raw materials for cigarette production in the next few years. In terms of sugar tea, the latest data show that the sugarcane area is 520,000 mu, the sugarcane production is reduced by 450,000 tons, and the enterprise sugarcane farmers lose 3.6 billion yuan; The affected area of tea reached 3 million mu, accounting for 30% of the total tea production. Xu Li revealed to reporters that a company that just signed a contract with Nestle to provide coffee raw materials was affected by the drought, and the world coffee giants such as Starbucks and Macmillan, which opened raw material bases in Yunnan, were also affected. This is true from "sending electricity to Guangdong from the cloud" to "supplementing Guangdong with electricity", and the industrial industry is even more worrying. Drought has spread from agriculture to industry. Because Yunnan is dominated by hydropower, power outages and power rationing have profoundly affected the normal operation of enterprises. A "strange phenomenon" that has to be mentioned is that Guangdong, which was originally "10 degrees and 3 degrees", was not only unable to transfer electricity from Yunnan after the Spring Festival, but also lost to Yunnan. Information from the Guangdong Provincial Economic and Information Technology Commission shows that they have been properly transferring electricity in order to support drought relief in southwest China. According to the statistics of China Southern Power Grid Corporation, in the face of severe disasters, China Southern Power Grid Corporation has reduced power transmission from west to east by 4.23 billion kWh since June this year, and reduced power transmission from Yunnan10.25 billion kWh in March. During the Spring Festival, Guangdong was organized to send 330 million kWh of electricity to fully support drought relief in Yunnan. According to reports, since 2009, drought has reduced the power generation of hydropower units in southwest China by 40%, affecting Guangdong's power supply by about 10%. In a telephone interview with china securities journal, the Power Security Department of Yunnan Provincial Industry and Information Technology Commission said that at present, the hydropower generation in Yunnan Province is less than 20% of the normal situation, and the power shortage rate in the whole province is above 20%, even exceeding 30% in serious places and time periods, and the power shortage rate is still rising. Yunnan Power Grid Corporation predicts that the province's electricity demand will be about 63.8 billion-69 billion kWh this year, of which there will be a large power shortage in June 5438+0-May, and the power shortage will reach more than 3 billion kWh. Yunnan will continue to rely on Guangdong reverse power transmission to maintain normal operation. "The days of relying on Guangdong Power will not last long. Once the summer and the peak of employment arrive, Guangdong Electric Power can only meet local consumption. " Li Ting, a coal industry analyst at China Merchants Productivity Promotion Center, said that during the Spring Festival, Guangdong was able to transmit electricity in reverse because the factory used little electricity during the festival. If the drought continues into summer, the increase of electricity consumption may further widen the gap between power supply and demand in this area. The power shortage is directly transmitted to the production of power consumption enterprises. According to the data provided by Yunnan Province, by the end of February, 394 enterprises above designated size had stopped production or semi-stopped production due to the power shortage and industrial water shortage caused by drought, accounting for 1 1.7% of the total number of industrial enterprises above designated size in the province, mainly concentrated in industries such as nonferrous metals, steel, chemicals and building materials. Among them, the whole industry of yellow phosphorus, titanium alloy, calcium carbide and industrial silicon stopped production, the electrolytic aluminum industry reduced the load by 15%, the steel industry reduced the load by 10%, and the cement industry limited the load. Due to the lack of water and electricity, some enterprises delayed the completion of projects and the start of new projects. The temperature dropped 10 degrees on the 25th! In Yunnan, where there is no cold and summer in four seasons and the rain is as cold as winter, the heavy rain that everyone is waiting for has not fallen in the end. The drought level has risen from once in 60 years and once in 80 years to once in 100 years, and the history is being refreshed every day. What is even more worrying is that according to the forecast of the meteorological department, there will be no obvious large-scale precipitation before mid-May, and there may even be droughts in autumn, winter, spring and summer. If so, drought will not only hit the agricultural economy with the largest proportion, but also have a strong impact on industry. "Yunnan's economy will be very difficult in the first half of the year." Duan Gang, president of Yunnan Economic Research Institute, told china securities journal reporter anxiously that the impact of the current drought on agriculture will be transmitted to industry, and the domino effect will continue. Fertilizer enterprises are even worse. Due to the drought, the chemical fertilizer used for spring ploughing has been greatly reduced, and the product inventory of many agricultural enterprises has risen sharply. The relevant person in charge of Yunnan Chemical Industry Association told china securities journal that due to the continuous drought since last autumn, the land has been very dry, and chemical fertilizer could not be scattered in the ground at all. At present, the sales of urea, ammonium bicarbonate and other fertilizers in Yunnan Province are basically at a standstill. At the urea enterprise summit held in Yunnan Province not long ago, Yang of Yunnan Jiehua Clean Energy Company said that the company's urea inventory is nearly 20,000 tons at present; Honghe Jin Dong Chemical Co., Ltd. is worried that if the weather in Yunnan continues to be dry and there is no rain, farmers will not buy chemical fertilizers. It is reported that the company's dealer inventory is full and it is impossible to receive goods. What the company is most worried about is that the capital chain is broken because the goods can't be sold. Coupled with the drought, there is less and less water around the factory. As the drought intensifies, the company may stop production because of lack of water. Li Wenjie, director of the Party Committee Work Department of Yuntianhua International Fu Rui Branch, said that although phosphorus chemical enterprises in Yunnan have to limit electricity every year, the situation is even more serious this year. Under the influence of drought, it is estimated that by April, the inventory of Yuntianhua Company will reach 65,438+10,000 tons, and the inventory of franchisees will reach 50,000 tons. Wei Yun Group currently has more than 20,000 tons of urea in stock. After entering March, due to the decline in exports, dealers everywhere have full inventories, and enterprises are facing huge capital and pressure to stop production and reduce production. Affected by the power outage caused by drought, Shennong HSBC has stopped production for more than a month. The company said that if the drought is not alleviated, the company will face more difficulties. Some people think that if there is rain in the later period, farmers will have to make up the cultivation and the amount of chemical fertilizer will be increased. However, Wen Qi, secretary general of Yunnan Chemical Industry Association, believes that this is only a hypothesis at present, and it needs to be observed. Rong Shaoyou, director of the Fertilizer Professional Committee of Yunnan Chemical Industry Association, is very worried, because even if urea enterprises in the province can survive the immediate difficulties, the prospects are not clear. At present, the annual production capacity of Yunnan Province is 6 million tons, and the phenomenon of oversupply is very serious. In addition, it is difficult for urea in Yunnan to leave the province, and its export faces high tariffs. The loss of urea enterprises in the whole province in the first half of this year is a foregone conclusion. (3 1) The temperature in Kunming is 5-20℃, and a large area of cultivated land is dry and cracked. In previous years, the fields were full of green wheat. This year, most crops such as wheat and cabbage have not withered or died. Up to now, the drought-affected area of crops in Yunnan Province is 6.5438+0.755 million mu, including 6.67 million mu of severe drought, 2.07 million mu of dry land, 3.85 million people and 2.09 million large livestock have difficulty drinking water due to drought. Ma Lianxiang, chief forecaster of Yunnan Meteorological Observatory, said: "The current drought is the highest since the meteorological record of 1959, but there is high temperature and little rain in many places, resulting in continuous drought in winter and spring this year. The drought will continue to develop. " In the face of severe drought, flood control and drought relief departments at all levels in Yunnan do everything possible to fight drought and protect people's livelihood, ensure people's domestic water and ensure Da Chun's production. At present, Yunnan Province has organized more than 3.8 million people to participate in drought relief work, invested 1.6 1 billion yuan in drought relief funds, organized mobile equipment and dispatched 70,000 motor water vehicles (times). Kunming municipal government urgently allocated 8 million yuan for drought relief. Organize working groups to guide drought relief work in drought-stricken areas and organize the masses to carry out self-help in production. Take a variety of ways to raise funds to solve the emergency expenses of drought relief, water supply and so on. At the same time, various measures such as storage, diversion, lifting, blocking and regulation are taken to increase the water storage capacity of reservoirs, dams and ponds (pits). In areas where drinking water is difficult, various measures such as water lifting, water diversion and water delivery are taken to ensure that everyone has water to drink, strengthen water quality management and drinking water safety guidance, and ensure drinking water safety for people and livestock. In addition, the relevant departments seized the favorable opportunity to carry out artificial precipitation enhancement. However, the storage capacity of the reservoir pond has decreased. Affected by the continuous high temperature, the drought-affected area is developing rapidly at present, and the drought-resistant situation in the later period is very severe. Everyone should cherish water! This is from the heart! ! ! In 2009, Yunnan suffered a severe drought that occurred once in 100. The drought has a wide range, long duration, deep degree and great losses. It is rare for Yunnan people to take water from water intake points in the history of Yunnan Province. Among them, Chuxiong City is particularly serious, and more than 200,000 rural people are short of water. Severe drought has caused drinking water difficulties for 7.42 million people and 4.59 million large livestock in this province. Various disaster areas in Yunnan take measures such as supplying water by ticket, building dams and storing water, and organizing water transportation to ensure the people in the disaster areas to use water. In 20 10, the sown area of wheat was 37 million mu, and the affected area reached 31480,000 mu, accounting for 85% of the sown area. At present and in the future, Yunnan Province puts solving the problem of drinking water for people and livestock in the first place to fight drought, protect people's livelihood and promote spring ploughing. Drought situation The drought in Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan and other places began at the end of 2009 and lasted until March 20 10. The Gaoshishao Lvtangzi Reservoir in Shilin County, Kunming City, Yunnan Province has bottomed out in most parts of Yunnan, western Guizhou and northwestern Guangxi, and the drought in Yunnan is particularly serious. According to the statistics of the Office of the National Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, as of March 2, the drought-affected area of cultivated land in China was 65.67 million mu, with a population of 1.50 1.00 and 9.23 million large livestock. We invested 750 million yuan in drought relief funds and 8.98 million laborers, which temporarily solved the drinking water problem of 7.44 million people and 3.57 million large livestock. The National Defense General predicts that the rainfall in Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi and Chongqing will still be less in March 20 10, and the drought will continue to develop. In the next stage, ensuring the drinking water safety of urban and rural residents is the top priority of drought relief. Yunnan provincial government released the latest drought report 20 10 on March 3rd. More than 6 million people and 3.6 million large livestock in Yunnan Province have difficulty drinking water. With the continuous development of drought, the degree of disaster will further deteriorate. In 20 10, the planting area of Koharu was 37 million mu (including grain 1770 mu), and the affected area was 365,438. It is estimated that the grain output in Koharu will be reduced by more than 50%, and the sugarcane output will be reduced by more than 20%. Due to the drought, there are 33 1 10,000 people who lack food and 7 1.478 people who need assistance, an increase of 46,438+0% over last year. The provincial government predicts that in March, April and May, the number of people with drinking water difficulties in the province will reach 7.92 million, 95 1 10,000 and 1.0 1.400 respectively. High-water-consuming enterprises were urgently shut down in Qujing, a drought-stricken area, and the normal water supply in the urban area can only be guaranteed until the end of April. If the rainy season comes late, there may be a water supply gap of nearly 6 million tons in the urban area, and the domestic water will be lost by then. In March, the planned water consumption of all users in Qujing decreased by 30%, from 120 liters/day/person to 80 liters/day/person; Take measures such as compulsory shutdown or water supply restriction for water-consuming industries such as car washing and bathing. In March 1 alone, Qujing City shut down 94 enterprises with high water consumption, including 89 car washes and 5 bath centers. Car washes in urban areas, big or small, have all stopped, and it is estimated that there are more than 300. All baths will be closed before March 7. This week, all water users in Qujing will shut down or restrict water supply. When it didn't rain in mid-March, rubber stopped. Xishuangbanna is one of the main natural rubber producing areas in China, and a large number of rubber farmers depend on contracted rubber forests for their livelihood. If there is timely rain in mid-March, they may have a bumper harvest, otherwise their livelihood will be affected in the coming year.