Why is the weather forecast inaccurate?

In ancient times, weather forecast was a myth, but in modern society, weather forecast is a limited science and an advanced intellectual game of human beings. How the weather forecast is made; Why the weather forecast is sometimes inaccurate, and what kind of mentality do experts and hosts look at and solve these problems; Song Yingjie and Yang Dan showed their weather forecast complex and their little-known behind-the-scenes stories with fresh and intellectual brushstrokes. To be exact, the weather forecast is "sometimes" inaccurate; To be fair, weather forecasts are sometimes accurate. The weather forecast is inaccurate. Do you need to find a reason? No; The weather forecast is inaccurate. Can you find the reason? Yes The reason is not to prevaricate mistakes. I have been deceived by my own weather forecast, and I feel deeply hurt and have nowhere to complain. In the audience feedback we collected, most of the audience's dissatisfaction with the weather forecast focused on "the weather forecast is sometimes inaccurate". Understandably, no matter how beautiful the language is, how exquisite the picture is, how attractive the topic is, and how friendly the host is, the wrong forecast always makes people feel like eating flies. I often listen to others arguing about the weather in shopping malls on the road, and see that many elderly people regard recording weather forecasts as a hobby. At that moment, my feelings and shame merged into one. In life, there is a saying that many people tell lies, but the weather forecast especially wants to tell the truth, but it is not allowed. Indeed, because the weather forecast is inaccurate, the next day can be exposed in broad daylight without cover, and everyone needs to face the weather, so it is particularly easy for everyone to find the same language as the weather forecast. Someone once used Liu Yuxi's "Tao is sunny or sunny" to satirize the inaccuracy of weather forecast. This is the most bookish irony I have ever heard. It is a worldwide phenomenon to blame inaccurate weather forecast. I once saw a pamphlet about how meteorologists keep a psychological balance in the face of public ridicule from their foreign counterparts. It should be said that the weather forecast is getting more and more accurate. The accuracy of China's weather forecast is in the leading position among developing China countries, and it belongs to the middle level of developed countries. At present, the accuracy of 24-hour qualitative forecast of conventional weather elements has reached 80%, and the accuracy of forecast in the 1990s has increased by 4.3% compared with that in the 1980s. It also has a good reference value for the prediction of the next week. Modern weather forecast is no longer an ancient business of looking up at the sky, applying proverbs, or judging and observing the activities of earthworms and frogs according to the 24 solar terms. The mascot of the World Meteorological TV Festival is a frog to commemorate the frog's historic contribution to the weather forecast. After the appearance of meteorological satellites, typhoons have never escaped human eyes; After the advent of weather radar, sudden heavy rainfall within a few hundred kilometers is no longer a stubborn disease in forecasting. People can clearly and truly see the whereabouts of cold air coming from a long journey. Weather forecast is not a fairy who can pinch and calculate, so he should step down from the altar. It is the curiosity of human beings about the future, and the spiritual temperament of human beings who are unwilling to be "unpredictable" that makes the weather forecast accurate, so there is no need to make a fuss; If the prediction is wrong, don't worry. The key is how to treat the weather forecast rationally and how to rationally analyze why the weather forecast is inaccurate. Let's find out seven reasons why the weather forecast is inaccurate.