Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather inquiry - Accuracy of weather forecast in Yubei district 15 days

Accuracy of weather forecast in Yubei district 15 days

At present, the accuracy of our weather forecast is over 80%.

Of course, this is a 24-hour forecast, and it is conceivable that the forecast for the next half month is very low. I wasted nearly 30 years on this matter. My general idea is to resolutely give up the commonly used methods at present, that is, take the old road of studying the atmosphere with poor memory function and take the road of astronomy, because I think the driving force of atmospheric change comes from the different positions of the major planets in the sun.

Only by understanding the law of this driving force and its relationship with rain or shine can we really provide it for mankind. This is why I think it is necessary to find a long-term weather forecast method from astronomy. I feel good about myself at present! And for other reasons, I have also studied the southern hemisphere, which is opposite to our season, for nearly a year, and I feel good about myself.

Precautions:

The forecast of 1 and 8- 15 days is objectively revised, but it has not been subjectively revised by forecasters, so there is some uncertainty. It can be seen that it is very important for meteorologists to make subjective corrections according to their majors and experiences.

The weather forecast is revised within 2.7 days. Based on the data of current weather conditions obtained by artificial observation on the ground, high-altitude detection, radar satellite and ocean buoy station, the initial field of the model is closer to the actual situation, and the simulated atmospheric change characteristics are more reliable. But for the longer-term prediction, most of the data are completely generated by model calculation, and the credibility is gradually decreasing.