Are there many typhoons at the end of August? How many typhoons will there be in the second half of this year?

July is coming to an end. There are not many typhoons in July, and the damage to our country is not particularly great, but it will have some impact. Because the typhoon in July has not been suppressed, it may break out in August. Here are some related matters about typhoons, which you can learn about.

Are there many typhoons at the end of August?

Typhoon 1 was suppressed in July and may break out in August.

Because the subtropical high is massive, the Pacific Ocean, the South China Sea and the East China Sea all flow downwards, and there will be fewer typhoons from July to the end of the month; But at the same time, under the exposure of the sun, the sea surface temperature will get higher and higher. In August, a typhoon may break out with the strengthening of El Nino and the weakening of the downward airflow of subtropical high.

According to the SST data, at present, the 27-degree line has been lifted northward to the coast of Zhejiang, while the South China Sea and the east of the Philippines are still high. In the future, seawater temperature will rise and remain high.

Judging from the latest news of the strong typhoon in August

Generally speaking, there have been few storms in the world since July 2008. There are two typhoons in the northwest Pacific, Typhoon No.4 and Typhoon No.5 ... both of them disappeared and affected us. The first one mainly affects South China, and the second one is Northeast China. However, whether there will be a typhoon in July may be everyone's concern. According to the scientific forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory, it is expected that there will be the development of typhoon embryos at the end of July, and it is still necessary to pay attention to the development of the northwest Pacific.

According to the weather forecast in Europe and America, three storm embryos are brewing in the world, and there are no typhoon embryos in the northwest Pacific for the time being, so don't worry about it for the time being. According to scientific data, they are 94L, 96S and 97E respectively. It was 97E who issued the warning. Of course, this storm embryo belongs to the Pacific Ocean, but it is in the eastern Pacific Ocean, so it is mainly influenced by the direction of the United States. 2 1 after the storm accompanied the embryo warning, the warning appeared within 48 hours, and now it may appear within 24 hours, so there were storms all over the world in July.

The storms in the East Pacific really won't affect us, but we should know that the global climate is integrated, so we should pay attention to the development of these storms wherever we are. This year, there was a 4-level hurricane "Barbara" in the eastern Pacific Ocean, which reached a super typhoon level of 17 or above in China, so the intensity was very strong. Finally, even the remnants have affected Hawaii, which is far away from the ocean area. You can imagine the intensity of this storm.

In addition, Barbara is also a well-deserved global Shen Feng in 2008. Although there are nine super typhoons (including them) in the world this year, they are not strong enough, so whether 97E is the "successor" of Fengshen "Barbara", let's look at the simulation data of supercomputer. According to the scientific report, although the generation warning has been issued in 97E, it is estimated that it may not be officially released until July 28th, that is, there are signs of strengthening. As the storm moves northwest, it is possible.

According to satellite images, the temperature in the East Pacific is generally around 30 degrees, so it is a potential development area for storms. After the stable embryo appears, it is estimated that there will be a pressure value of 995mb on July 30, so this acceleration is very fast. The strongest estimate is in August 1 day, and the air pressure is 970mb, which is equivalent to the level of typhoon or strong typhoon in China. So it may be the first strong typhoon in August. The storm as a whole is not big, but the simulation data has changed a lot this time. There will be a pressure value of 955mb on 2 1, so there may be a possibility of "super typhoon", depending on the later changes.

Therefore, it is not excluded that this potential storm may reach the level of super typhoon. Of course, the degree of simulation is getting lower and lower. Whether it develops or not, we will see later. Again, although it is not the embryo of the storm in the northwest Pacific, the global climate is integrated, and there are also strong storms in other regions. It is also said that the severity of climate, like global warming, is a problem all over the world, not a local location. The climate anomaly this year should be obvious to all.

There are several typhoons.

Chen Yu, director of the Climate Service Office of the National Climate Center, said on the 2 nd that the number of typhoons in China may reach 18 to 20 this year, which is less than normal; Judging from the number of typhoons that landed, it may reach 6 to 7, which is close to the number of years.

On the 2nd, China Meteorological Bureau held a press conference. At the meeting, a reporter asked whether the typhoon that is about to land in China will bring beneficial effects, such as alleviating high temperature and drought. The first typhoon this year landed later than in previous years. Does it mean that this year's "typhoon active season" will move back?

In this regard, Chen Yu said that there was no typhoon landing in China from March to June this year, which happened in history. This happens at 20 10, 20 10, 20 16, which is related to El Nino. In the second half of this year, the number of typhoons in China may reach 18 to 20, which is less than normal. Judging from the number of typhoons that landed, it may reach 6 to 7, which is close to the number of years. The active season of typhoons is generally from July to September. Although there are few typhoons in the early stage, they will increase after July.

Zhang Fanghua, chief forecaster of the Central Meteorological Observatory, also said that the intensity of this typhoon will reach the lowest level of typhoon, and the impact will not be so severe. Judging from the typhoon structure, wind and rain mainly affect the southwest side, but have little influence on the land in China. As the typhoon system moves westward, due to some external influences, precipitation will occur in Fujian, Jiangxi and other places except South China.

Zhang Fanghua pointed out that precipitation has a certain effect on alleviating the high temperature weather in the south. Because it is scattered, the local humidity is relatively high, and there will be sultry weather. The effect of high temperature will not be obvious, but it will have a very good effect on alleviating drought in some areas. For example, the early drought in Hainan Island has a great impact on Hainan this time, which is conducive to drought relief. The meteorological drought in Yunnan is in the middle, and the typhoon mainly affects the southern edge, which is beneficial to alleviate the drought in the south, but its effect on most other areas is still limited.