Authoritative forecast of large-scale rainwater shipments in the south, is the first typhoon in the South China Sea coming soon?

Authoritative forecast of large-scale rainwater shipments in the South. Is the first typhoon in the South China Sea coming soon?

As the weather continues to change, authoritative forecasts include large-scale rain shipments in the south. Is the first typhoon in the South China Sea coming soon? Let’s discuss it together.

In the past few days, storms in the ocean area have developed relatively fiercely. Among them, Tauktai in the Indian Ocean landed in India with an intensity of 14. This storm is far away from our country in terms of location, but It will still have an impact on our country, because the development of the cyclone will transport water vapor to the western region of our country. Heavy snow or blizzards may occur in parts of Ali, Tibet, and even local heavy snowstorms. There may be heavy snowfall in southern Tibet and northwest Yunnan. Heavy rains, local heavy rains, can be said to be the first Indian Ocean cyclone storm to affect our country this year. The Japan Meteorological Agency also believes that the typhoon embryo will be named within 24 hours, so this year's No. 1 typhoon is basically determined. We can also see from Fengyun satellite images that the center of the typhoon embryo is relatively well developed, so it is not very likely. It may have weakened, but even if this typhoon embryo becomes the No. 1 typhoon this year, it will not become a relatively strong typhoon. It will soon approach the Philippines.

Climate changes in oceans and land areas are coming again. In the past few days, we have seen cold air, rainfall, and snowfall on land, so it is really a pattern of major weather changes. Before talking about this, let’s first take a look at a change in the ocean area, which is the formation of new typhoon embryos this year. A 93W typhoon embryo appeared in the northwest Pacific. According to supercomputer simulations, this typhoon embryo has a certain probability of developing into a typhoon, so we still need to pay attention to the changes of 93W. The typhoon embryo is still in a weak stage of development, at the level of a tropical disturbance. The maximum wind speed is only 10Kt, and the central air pressure is 1008hpa, so it is very low.

In terms of air pressure alone, this may be the first typhoon in the South China Sea this year, and may be named Typhoon No. 3 Caiyun. After its appearance, it is expected to intensify again, with its peak reaching 976hpa , from the path point of view, the main impact on our country is the maritime area, and it moves west-north and eventually disappears in Vietnam. The new round of rainfall in southern my country will mainly occur from the 21st to the 23rd. The southwest, Jiangnan, Jianghan and other regions will experience light to moderate rains, and there will be heavy rains in some areas. Therefore, judging from the trend of typhoons that are about to form now , it happened to be that it entered my country's waters for development during this period, and there should be a certain relationship. Judging from the intensity of development, the 6-degree cooling range has entered southern my country. The cold wave warning has covered Guangxi and Guangdong, and there has also been a large-scale cooling. Let us explain the cooling situation from a distance, in the Shaoguan area of ??Guangdong.

The rainfall problem in the land area has also become more crazy. Large-scale rain has been shipped in the south. From May 19th to 21st, southern my country will usher in a wider range of rainfall, and the rainfall intensity in the coverage area is more intense. Heavy, so everyone is prepared. This wave of rainfall has caused local rainfall in Jiangnan, Guizhou, Guangxi and other places to reach more than 250 mm, which is 40% to 80% more than the same period in normal years, and the local rainfall is more than double. Therefore, the rainfall in the south The rainfall seems to be getting heavier and heavier. During extreme rainfall, we need to pay special attention to the strong convective weather that occurs during the rainfall process. Therefore, the climate in the southeastern coastal areas depends on the direction and development trend of subsequent typhoons. However, judging from this situation, typhoon 91W will have little impact on our country, and the climate chain effect will not be strong. At the same time, after entering the South my country Sea, , basically turned into a tropical low pressure mode, so the rainfall may not have much to do with the typhoon.

After the above general understanding, do you understand?