WMO predicts that the global temperature will be abnormally high this year, but the probability of El Ni? o is low.

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March 2 news, according to foreign media reports, the World Meteorological Organization said that the probability of El Ni? o this year is low, but due to climate change caused by human activities, abnormal high temperatures will still occur in many parts of the world.

WMO predicts that the probability of El Ni? o and La Ni? a will be 35% and 5% respectively in March and April 2020, while the probability of the above phenomenon will be 20-25% in June and August.

El Nino is a naturally occurring phenomenon, which mainly refers to the abnormal warming of the tropical sea water temperature in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean, changing the world climate model, causing drought in some areas and excessive rainfall in some areas.

The latest forecasting tool of the World Meteorological Organization, Global Seasonal Climate Update, shows that from March to May 2020, the global surface temperature may be higher than normal, especially in tropical areas.

Talas, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, said that due to global warming, the air and sea level temperatures are rising, and the ocean is warming, even if there is no El Ni? o, it will be hotter than usual. More than 90% of the energy contained in global greenhouse gases will be discharged into the ocean, so the ocean heat will reach a record high.

Taras said that strong El Nino phenomenon and global warming caused by human activities made 20 16 the hottest year on record. Although the El Nino phenomenon of 20 19 is not strong, it is still the second highest temperature on record. We just had the hottest January ever. It can be said that the influence of human activities on climate is as strong as that of natural phenomena such as El Nino.

According to the World Meteorological Organization, this year, abnormal rainfall may occur in Africa along the central Pacific Ocean, the southwestern Indian Ocean and the equator, while rainfall in northern South America, Central America and the Caribbean and southern Africa is relatively scarce. The weather in Southeast Asia, Oceania and Western Australia is expected to be drier than during last year1October 165438+ to this year1October 65438+.

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