National Climate Center Weather Warning: Rainfall typhoon increased from May to September, mainly affecting these areas.

Although the current technology is very advanced, it will not lead to crop failure in the face of floods and dry weather, but farming will always be a living. More or less rainfall still has a great impact on grain output, and if it encounters a typhoon, the impact will be even greater.

202 1 Many places suffered from severe floods, which not only affected the yield and quality of wheat this season, but also affected the cultivation of wheat. Will something similar to last year happen this year? Recently, the International Climate Center issued a weather warning from May to September, which mainly affects these areas, and rainfall and typhoons will increase.

According to the contents of the weather forecast bulletin issued by the National Climate Center, the weather situation in China in 2022 is not ideal, which belongs to the general deviation level, and there will be a lot of disastrous weather. The rainfall will be 20-50% higher than the same period last year, and the number of typhoons will reach 7-9, slightly higher than in previous years.

These disastrous weather mainly affects these areas, including the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin, the Liaohe River basin, the Haihe River basin and the Nenjiang River basin, and the precipitation will increase significantly compared with the same period last year. It is estimated that the precipitation in parts of South China and Southwest China will reach more than 800nm. In addition, the precipitation in most areas of Shanxi, Shandong and Henan will be 20-50% higher than that in the same period last year.

In terms of temperature, there will be short-term high temperature in East China and Central China, and the temperature in most parts of Liaoning, Central China and North China is higher than normal 1-2℃.

Although high temperature is beneficial to the growth of food crops, extreme weather such as heavy rainfall and typhoon is unfavorable to the growth of crops.

This reminds farmers that this year farmers need to collect the weather changes from May to September, get to know the weather information in time and get ready. When heavy rainfall, typhoons and other weather come, they need to prepare for drainage and crop lodging resistance in advance.

Finally, talk about the grain prices of wheat and corn.

The price of corn fluctuates.

Because there is not much surplus grain for grass-roots farmers, the corn currently circulating in the market is basically in the hands of traders. Due to the obstruction of logistics and transportation, deep processing enterprises have insufficient vehicles to arrive in the morning. On the one hand, enterprises use stocks to meet current demand, on the other hand, raising food prices stimulates local traders to move goods, so corn prices fluctuate.

But the key premise of corn price increase is that logistics and transportation are blocked. If the subsequent epidemic situation is lifted and transportation is resumed, corn prices will eventually return to the market, and it is unlikely to rise sharply. Why do you say that?

1, the new season wheat will be listed soon, the price of wheat may fall, and the price of corn is under pressure;

2. In the second half of the year, the production capacity of live pigs decreased and the demand for corn weakened;

3. With the easing of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, international food prices may fall, which will further affect China;

4. Deep processing enterprises and feed enterprises have meager profits or even losses, and they have a strong desire to lower prices.

The decline in wheat prices has increased. With the approaching of the new wheat market, the efforts to put in grain reserves are still increasing. More auctions also mean that traders and enterprises lack confidence in the market price of wheat, and the current wheat fever has declined.

Different from corn with deep processing characteristics, wheat is mainly used for feed and rations. The current price of wheat has made it lose the price advantage of feed, and the rest can only rely on flour enterprises. It is expected that the demand for terminal flour will weaken and the price of wheat will fall.

At present, the inventory of flour milling enterprises can still meet the demand, the terminal delivery is not smooth, the wheat price is falling, and enterprises mainly wait and see. It is expected that the price of wheat will experience a wave of rise, and it may not rebound until September 10.