May I ask about the Japanese invasion of Zhongshan, Guangdong Province in World War II?

Today, many advocates of Japanese militarism are still dreaming:

After the Soviet-German War, if Japan immediately went north to fight the Soviet Union, it would definitely join forces in the hinterland of Russia. If so, the coordinate axes will be connected, and the history of World War II can be rewritten. ...

Is it really possible in history?

Then let's discuss how the Japanese base camp was decided here. What is the basis of the decision?

194 1 Before Germany attacked the Soviet Union in June, Japan's strategic plan was to take advantage of the favorable opportunity that Britain and France were busy with the war in Europe and ignored their interests in Asia, and instead adopted the policy of attacking the south and defending the north. The reason is nothing more than 1939, when Japan and the Soviet Red Army fought a tentative war in Nomenkan on the Soviet-Mongolian border, but the excellent performance of the Soviet-Mongolian troops made the Japanese army retreat one after another, which caused great psychological pressure on the Japanese army. Therefore, although Japan may have designed a plan to fight northward, it has never been put into practice, but it has invested heavily in arranging a plan to fight southward. Before the outbreak of the Soviet-German War, the combat effectiveness of the Soviet Union in the Battle of Nomenkan was always the main frame of reference for Japanese high-level officials to measure the overall level of the Soviet Union.

1941On June 22nd, Germany suddenly launched a blitzkrieg against the Soviet Union, which was careless before the war and almost collapsed. Guderian's tank cluster has achieved extremely fruitful results. A few days after the start of the "Barbarossa" campaign, Hitler eagerly wrote to his Japanese allies and invited them to attack the Soviet Union together. However, the enthusiasm of German Chancellor's Japanese allies for this grand plan seems to be far behind the Chancellor's expectations. Hitler waited for half a year with his neck stretched out, but he was completely blown up by Japanese planes over Pearl Harbor. ...

Japanese military leaders have never responded to Hitler's "warm invitation". On the one hand, of course, northward advancement is not attractive enough. On the other hand, the preparations for the southward advance are drawing to a close, and the multiple difficulties that the northward advance will encounter are also the important reasons why Tokyo finally insists on attacking Pearl Harbor as originally planned.

First of all, the Nanjin school thinks that if the plan is changed, the first problem is the problem of warm materials. The Soviet Union is a country completely in the cold zone. Since autumn, the temperature in Siberia has been so low that ordinary troops can't resist it. When going north to attack the Soviet Union, the first enemy was not the Red Army of the Soviet Far East Military Region, but the freezing weather of tens of degrees below zero. What happened to von Berman at the gates of Moscow fully shows how deadly it is for Germans to ignore the weather. Hitler was of course arrogant regardless of the weather, but the spatial distance between Germany and Moscow was also an objective reason. However, it would be almost a joke if the Japanese army attacked the Soviet Union from the western front without considering this factor. Therefore, it is necessary to prepare a large number of cold-proof materials, such as cold-proof clothes, cold-proof weapons and antifreeze. And in the case that Japan is completely immersed in China, it is basically impossible to prepare the cold protection equipment for dozens of divisions in a short time.

In the frozen western Siberia, the combat effectiveness of a purely mechanized unit is not even as good as that of a well-trained ancient cavalry unit, which shows how important the weather factor is in this snowy Siberia, and the vast land makes the supply line extremely long. To ensure such a supply line, the Japanese army could not do it at that time. It is conceivable that even if the Soviet Red Army was completely defeated in the Far East, it would not leave its only Siberian railway intact to the Japanese. Without this railway, the fate of hundreds of thousands of troops would be extremely tragic.

Secondly, Japan has focused on preparing to move south, so a large number of troops and strategic materials have begun to move south. If they turn north as a whole, they must turn from south to north, and the loss of time, manpower and material resources is also huge. Due to the existence of China's base areas behind enemy lines and various activities of anti-Japanese armed forces, it is difficult to effectively guarantee Japanese land transportation lines, and it is difficult to transport goods and materials on a large scale by land, so we can only rely on maritime transportation. In this way, the main force of the Japanese navy, which was actively preparing to engage with the US navy, must be used as a transport and escort force. Such an adjustment will inevitably lead to a strong rebound of the navy.

The Japanese navy is fully advocating southward advancement. The navy is the most well-equipped unit in the Japanese armed forces sequence, and they have always had the belief of fighting against the US and British navies that dominate the ocean. Obviously, if you choose to go north, the navy will have no place to play and can only stay in the military port to sleep. This is undoubtedly a disguised denial and insult to a powerful navy that advocates the spirit of Bushido and is loyal to the emperor. Among them, the main figure who advocated going south in the Japanese navy was Noboru Katsunobu Lang (Noboru Katsunobu Lang was the Japanese navy minister and military negotiator, and served as the maritime minister of several cabinets. 193 1 was promoted to the rank of admiral. 194 1 At the beginning of the year, Senior Colonel Censheng came to China on behalf of the highest Japanese military authorities to plan the southward advance and expand the war of aggression. In the early morning of February 5th, Senior Colonel Censheng and his party took off from Guangzhou on a navy giant transport plane, and under the escort of six fighter planes, they flew to Hainan Island to become the commander of the South Pacific Fleet. On the way, the aircraft engine broke down, so I returned to Dachikan Township, Zhongshan County, Guangdong Province to prepare for landing. China's army immediately organized intensive machine gun fire into the air after it was discovered, and the plane crashed after it was hit. Afterwards, the guerrillas found a large number of top-secret Japanese documents from the wreckage of the plane, including detailed records of the plan of the Japanese navy's southward advance drafted by Senior Colonel Censheng. Senior Colonel Censheng is a leading figure who advocates Japan's southward policy, and also the highest general of the Japanese navy killed by anti-Japanese armed forces in War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression. )。 How to ensure the morale and daily operation of such a powerful navy as Beijin (the navy is the service that tests a country's comprehensive national strength most) is also a very confusing problem for Japanese decision makers.