What should I do when I am old and small?

When it comes to old reform, many people's first reaction is demolition. With the continuous advancement of urbanization, many examples of getting rich overnight through demolition have stimulated investors' nerves.

Once the old reform project has made new progress, it can always attract the eager attention of a group of investors. Buying second-hand houses to be demolished before signing the contract has become an important way for some investors to borrow old ones for new ones.

However, eating an old cup of soup is more important than luck. Because the old reform is far from being as simple as imagined, there will be so many processes from the old reform declaration, project establishment, compensation negotiation, contract signing to development, relocation and settlement, which will deceive many people.

The old one is difficult to change, and no 100% of the owners agree to talk about it.

In addition to the complicated process, there will be many force majeure factors in the old reform process, which will hinder the substantial progress of the project. Take Shenzhen as an example, there is a regulation on urban renewal, that is, the owner's willingness to renew old houses should reach 100%. To put it bluntly, as long as one owner does not agree, it cannot be demolished. The difficulty of promotion can be imagined, and it is not difficult to understand the long cycle.

Long cycle, 19 years, can you afford to wait?

As the largest old renovation project in Shenzhen, Dachongcun 1992 was put on the agenda; 1998 was first included in the old reform plan, but it was not substantially promoted afterwards; In September 2005, China Resources Group was identified as a cooperative development unit, and then officially entered the substantive implementation negotiation stage. In September 2008, the framework of cooperation agreement was signed and entered the substantive start-up stage; On June 20 10, the signing ceremony of villagers' property began, and China Resources Land officially signed a contract with the villagers. * * * 87 1 villagers were compensated, and formal construction did not start until 20 1 1.

From the time it was put on the agenda to the official start of construction, Dachong Village was changed to 19 years. Some people may say that the average price of housing in China Resources City is now more than 100,000 yuan, even if it takes 20 years, it will be greatly worth it. Besides, it takes a long time to rebuild an old building, mainly because of its large scale. Is that really the case?

The implementation rate is low, and if it cannot be promoted for a long time, it will be retired.

From the comparison of successful urban renewal cases in Shenzhen in the past, it can be seen that 386 households 108 houses were rebuilt in Caiwuwei, and it took eight years from the planned demolition in 2002 to the start of construction in 20 10. 478 households with 590 buildings were demolished in Gangxia, and the demolition was completed in 20 1 1 year 1998. 925 villagers and 279 non-villagers were demolished in Dachong, with about 1.500 houses. Construction started from 1.998, and it took 13 years.

A little comparison shows that the volume factor can not be ignored, but its influence on the old reform process is limited, but one thing is certain, that is, the old reform cycle is really long. This can also be seen from the progress of eight old residential renovation projects listed in the first batch of urban renewal plan of Shenzhen on 20 10. Until now, only the Hetang District has entered the construction stage, and the other seven projects have not made substantial progress.

Earlier, more data showed that among the 498 urban renewal projects in Shenzhen, only 120 has been identified as the main body of implementation, which is less than a quarter of all urban renewal projects, that is to say, three quarters are still being compensated for demolition. Besides the low implementation rate, the planned projects should also be counted. The latest notice stipulates that the old reform projects that cannot be promoted for a long time will be in danger of being asked to withdraw from the plan.