After the epidemic, will the car price go up or down? Is it appropriate to buy a car?

The Spring Festival in 2020 is destined to be an unusual beginning for the people of China.

However, we still firmly believe that if the people of the whole country unite sincerely and unite as one, we can not only win the final victory in fighting the epidemic, but also build a better future. For a beautiful 2020, we are still full of expectations and expectations.

For example, we will plan to have a new car of our own after the epidemic is over, which can give our families better security, and it is no longer difficult to travel in special periods.

What are the advantages of private cars for people who don't have cars? Has this epidemic been vividly reflected?

Private mobile space, high mobility where you want to go, even in the face of bus and subway outages, you can still come and go freely, avoiding high-density travel by trains and planes and driving home. The benefits you can see can be seen by others, so after the epidemic, private cars will usher in a wave of small fluctuations in sales, especially the models below 654.38+ 10,000.

Judging from the current environment, retail industries such as restaurants, hotels, tourism, automobiles and shopping malls are the first to be affected by the epidemic, while the automobile industry has suffered a certain waterloo.

According to Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of Passenger Car Association, not long ago, "Under the background that the passenger car market in China was too difficult in 20 19, the impact of the pneumonia epidemic made the automobile market worse, which led to a certain impact on the newly recovered automobile market." The domestic automobile industry experienced the crisis of sales decline in 20 18, and the National Sixth Congress was implemented ahead of schedule in 20 19, which made major brands cut prices sharply and cleaned up their inventory. Many auto companies are looking forward to a turnaround in the domestic auto market in 2020.

However, it never occurred to me that the sudden outbreak of novel coronavirus made the domestic auto market even more on thin ice. Then, after the epidemic, will the car price go up or down? When is the best time to buy a car? In this regard, as the organizer of Lanzhou May 1st Auto Show and August International Auto Show, let me analyze it for you.

During this period, for the auto market, everyone is nothing more than an optimistic and pessimistic forecast for the future development of the auto market.

The first type: Industry insiders predict that in order to travel safely, there will probably be a wave of car sales climax similar to SARS before 17, and the epidemic will affect the cycle of factory resumption, so many models that are already selling well may usher in a wave of "price increase". Even reproduce the glory of the year.

The second type: such a serious epidemic, coupled with the "cold winter" of the automobile market, will be devastated, and many automobile companies and dealers will be overwhelmed, and the automobile circle will soon be closed down and deeply adjusted.

No matter what the result is, for us ordinary people, life will go on. The view of the organizers of Lanzhou Auto Show is that the auto market will never be as brilliant as SARS in 2003.

There is a simple reason. In 2003, China's economy was still in a period of rapid growth. Most families are considering buying the first car, and the disposable income of ordinary people is relatively large. In addition, the overall economic upward trend is good, and consumers are confident or willing to buy cars by stages. Therefore, under good conditions, the automobile market is bound to be a prosperous scene.

However, 17 has passed, and the proportion of household users concentrated in cities has changed. Many families even have more than one car. Therefore, for such users, travel is not a problem at all, and they will not buy a car because of the epidemic.

After the lifting of the ban, the auto market is bound to usher in a wave of car buying climax, which should have several characteristics.

First, home users buy cars for the first time. They need a travel tool that can isolate viruses at special times.

Second, the epidemic has inspired groups with previous car purchase ideas to join the car purchase climax.

Third, sales were released during the Spring Festival and the epidemic.

Fourth, because they are home users, their budget will not be too much, because their starting point is only safety. The main intention of buying a car will be to use an economical family car. Because before this, the people who should buy it have already bought it. This wave of users is huge, but due to the overall economic downturn and the decline in purchasing power, it is impossible to reproduce the glory of the auto market because of their purchase.

Seeing this, why use it? After the epidemic, will the car price go up or down? This title is due to short-term supply and demand. After the auto market picks up in May, it is bound to usher in a wave of car buying climax. Therefore, models with economic benefits and household characteristics should sell well for some time.

In terms of price, because no one will buy a car during the epidemic, most car 4S shops have inventory and the auto show will be held as scheduled. Manufacturers will definitely implement some preferential measures and will not raise prices.

This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.