The worst-case scenario is to dispose of 200,000 kilograms of frogs harmlessly. What impact will this have on farmers and restaurants?

The first impact will definitely be on the economy. The impact on restaurants is due to the epidemic and has little to do with whether frogs can be eaten. And after stabilization, there will definitely be a wave of retaliatory consumption, which basically will not happen. What impact does it have. The specific analysis is as follows:

1. 200,000 kilograms of frogs are only a small part of the country's farmers. Nationwide, the amount is at least hundreds of millions of kilograms. The direct losses are based on the country, starting at 1 billion. .

The breeding of frogs accounts for the highest proportion among wild animal breeding. Its number is second only to soft-shell turtles. The weight of frogs eaten across the country every year should be hundreds of millions of kilograms. Take the Shenzhen Baoan Farm before the epidemic. The price of frogs in the wholesale market is 14 yuan/catty * 100 million catties = 1.4 billion yuan. This is only the agricultural wholesale price, which is relatively low in terms of price. If it is the market price, it should be around 18 yuan/jin, and the restaurant price will be 32 yuan/jin. In total, it will be around several billion. Absolutely, this loss will really hit every farmer.

If restaurants and vendors only destroyed the goods in their hands, then all the farmers lost all their money, and also lost money on disinfectants, site construction, oxygen machines, fences, etc. Even if labor costs are not included in inputs such as netting and netting, farmers who raise more than one acre of land will definitely lose more than 60,000 yuan in addition to frogs.

2. If the harmless treatment plan is really launched, farmers will be repelled by the early policy promotion of breeding and some poverty alleviation projects.

The reason why farmers breed all kinds of wild animals and have obtained breeding certificates is not because they invest blindly, but because they do so in response to previous policies. A specific example is:

Five years ago, City A felt that it should develop a project as a pillar industry, and then after considering many industries, it chose frog breeding; then there were 5 counties in City A, and after several After conducting surveys in several counties, it was decided that County B would launch the frog breeding poverty alleviation project. During the implementation, County B found seed selection experts, seedling breeders, frog breeding experts, aquatic epidemic prevention staff, poverty alleviation civil servants, etc., and spent three years. The project of raising frogs has been promoted to fellow villagers over time, until 5,000 to 10,000 households in the county have chosen to raise frogs.

After the implementation, the county level and the city level began to find channels to promote the sales of frogs; civil servants were making suggestions to some hotels, promoting promotions to other e-commerce companies on the Internet, and in certain Some video platforms are crazy about frog-related recipes and menus, pushing a farmed product to the greedy cats, and then selling it through various channels. During the operation, some vendors in other places even teach how to kill and chop frogs. , so that some home cooking experts who don’t know how to cook can learn this kind of delicacy.

Such a policy implementation is often implemented based on five years. Once it is banned, the efforts of countless people have been in vain! Only a small part of the farmers have seen these efforts, and most of them will question what they are allowed to raise next time if breeding is banned.

3. The impact on catering will not be too great, but quarantine and procurement channels need to be more tightly controlled.

The problem in the catering industry is not big. At most, it is just one missing menu, which can be made up for later. As long as there are no stores selling "game", it will basically not be affected. Because businesses that have resumed business now can basically receive orders for retaliatory consumption. 2020 may be a bit tough, but those without foreign debt can still survive.

In general, whether frogs can be raised is just a proposal, not an explicit ban; some leaders in some regions want to improve their political performance? One-size-fits-all? They will settle accounts in the future. .

Farmers should not be impulsive. Under the current legal status, do not engage in extreme behavior (directly harmless treatment, destroying the site, destroying your own breeding equipment, etc.). There is a high chance that it will not be banned. Waiting for the finalization of the policy.