The "three-child policy" is coming. Can "three children" come? The cost of raising a child has been worked out.

Recently, with the three-child policy written into the 18 provincial government work report, the Women and Children's Office of the Zhejiang Provincial Health and Wellness Committee produced the "Questionnaire on the Raising Cost of Infants under 3 in Zhejiang Province". The questions set in the questionnaire include "If the government subsidizes 1000 yuan per month to have two or three children (from birth to 3 years old), are you willing to have two or three children?" "202 1, the amount of financial assistance obtained by husband and wife from other sources (such as the assistance obtained from the baby's grandparents)" and so on. The topic of three children once again rushed to the hot search.

Why is the topic of one or three children so hot and why are three children so important?

According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of people born in 20 17 was only 630,000 less than that in the previous year, but the number of people born in one child was only 7.24 million, which was 2.49 million less than that in 20 16.

Judging from sequence structure, where 20 17 people were born, there were 7.24 million children, accounting for 42.02%; 8.83 million children, accounting for 51.25%; There are 1 160000 people with three or more children, accounting for 6.73%. The number of births of two children is 6.5438+0.59 million more than that of one child.

According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the total population of Chinese mainland at the end of 20 139538 was 139538, an increase of 5.3 million people. The annual birth rate is10.94 ‰; The natural growth rate is 3.8 1‰.

The population born in 20 18 was15.23 million, and the birth rate was 10.94‰, which was the lowest since data were available in 1952, and the previous value was12.43 ‰. 9.93 million people died, and the population mortality rate was 7. 1.3 ‰, and the previous value was 7.1.1‰; The natural population growth rate is 3.8 1‰, the lowest since 196 1, and the previous value is 5.32‰.

The aging population structure is becoming more and more obvious, and a new generation needs fresh blood, but the birth rate of children is declining.

Second, what is the cost of raising children?

You can see two materials online:

1, Beijing: 2.76 million

2. Shanghai: 2.47 million;

3. Shenzhen: 2 16 10000.

4. Guangzhou: 20 1.4 million

5. Hangzhou: 1.83 million.

6. Nanjing: 170. 1 ten thousand.

7. Wuhan: 1.606 million.

8. Qingdao: 1.526 million.

9.Xi 'an: 1.425 million.

10, Changchun: 13 1.5 million

There is also a settlement method:

Phase 1. Infants (0~3 years old)

At this stage, children are still young and need careful care, such as milk powder, diapers and toys. So the expenses in infancy from 0 to 3 years old are very large. Generally speaking, all expenses average about 2500 per month.

3-year total cost =2500 12 3=90000 yuan.

Children in the second stage (3-6 years old)

At this time, children gradually began to go to kindergarten, and education expenses began to occupy the main position. At this stage, the overall calculation cost of children's food, clothing, housing and transportation, or occasional illness, is a little higher than that of infants. The total cost averages about 3000 yuan per month.

3-year total cost =3000 12 3= 108000 yuan.

3. Stage childhood (6~ 12 years old)

Children of this age have entered primary school. Besides buying toys, they also need courses to cultivate their abilities in all aspects. Therefore, at this stage, education funds account for a relatively large proportion. The total cost averages about 2400 yuan per month.

Total expenditure in 6 years =2400 12 6= 172800 yuan.

The fourth stage. Teenagers (12~ 18 years old)

Children in junior and senior high schools are under great pressure to study, which is also a critical period for long-term legal persons, and their academic expenses and dress requirements are gradually improving. The total cost averages 3 150 yuan per month.

Total cost in 6 years = 3150126 = 226,800 yuan.

The fifth stage. College youth (18~22 years old)

After going to college, children have a sense of autonomy, and the requirements for children are gradually improved. In addition to paying for study and research, children have to join various clubs and socialize, and children have personal hobbies, such as photography and music. At this stage, the average monthly cost is about 2200 yuan.

Total cost for 4 years =2200 12 4= 105600 yuan.

Total 0~22 years old

90000+108000+172800+226800+105600 = 703200 yuan.

These are data from three or four years ago.

Third, apart from economic costs, what are the problems?

1, female stress problem: having three children in a row, ranging from five or six years to eight to ten years. During this period, she was basically a full-time housewife, which had a great influence on her career and faced the embarrassment of being divorced from society.

2. School age problem: Suppose a girl gets married at the age of 23, then she should finish the task of having children before the age of 30. Suppose you go to college, go to graduate school, study for a doctor, or work for a while, and then get married. If you are about to give birth, you should give birth between the ages of 25 and 35, and try to avoid the problems of elderly women. If you are an older woman and a man, it is even more challenging.

3. Child care: Children need long-term care. If a housewife wants to have three children in a row, it is basically difficult to take care of them at the same time. Need a nanny to intervene for a long time, or a healthy old man can help take care of the children for a long time.

4. Male pressure: Women face a lot of pressure, and many pressures need to be shared by men, which brings challenges to the simultaneous development of life and career.

Four: Which families are suitable for having triplets in real life?

From ancient times to the present, it is the economically affluent families who have more children and consider education, so that they can bear all kinds of expenses in this regard. If there is no economic condition as the basis, it is easy to have children, but children will face the problem of healthy growth and even how to grow up.

The most obvious example is the divorce dispute between Li Lianglei and Wang Leehom a few years ago. Visible, Li Lianglei gave birth to three children in a row, at the same time need two nannies and a driver to help take care of, not to mention the monthly support of 2 10000 yuan and other assets of nearly 200 million yuan. Not every family wants this standard, even if it is lowered, it is a real problem.

In addition, for some people, the problem of three children is even far away, so we should first solve the problem of imbalance between men and women and solve the problem of older men and women. Without increasing the marriage rate, it is also a challenge to increase the number of children in existing married families.