What is the future development prospect of artificial intelligence?

At present, Internet giants at home and abroad regard artificial intelligence as the breakthrough of the next industrial revolution and actively increase investment layout. At the same time, with the progress of artificial intelligence technology and the continuous improvement of infrastructure construction, the global artificial intelligence application scenarios will continue to be enriched and the market scale will continue to expand.

The term "artificial intelligence" was first put forward at the Dartmouth Society organized by the American Computer Association in 1956. The development of artificial intelligence has gone through two winters (1974- 1980, 1987- 1993). Since 2006, artificial intelligence has entered a new stage of accelerated development. Parallel computing power, big data and advanced algorithms have accelerated the development of artificial intelligence. At the same time, in recent years, the research of artificial intelligence has been paid more and more attention by the industry, and the investment and acquisition of AI by the industry is in full swing.

Artificial intelligence technology has entered the stage of deep learning.

Machine learning is an important method to realize artificial intelligence, and deep learning is one of the key technologies of machine learning. Since Jeffery Hinton's demonstration in 2006, with the support of cloud computing, big data and chips, deep learning has successfully stepped out of the laboratory and started to enter commercial applications, and has made remarkable achievements in the fields of machine vision, natural language processing, machine translation and path planning. Global artificial intelligence has officially entered the stage of deep learning.

At the same time, the exploration of new technologies in the field of global artificial intelligence has never stopped, and new technologies have emerged one after another. For example, in recent years, some new brain-like intelligent algorithms have been proposed, which combine some new achievements of brain science and thinking science with neural network algorithms to form a neural network technology route different from deep learning, such as capsule network. The continuous progress of technology is an inexhaustible motive force to promote the development of global artificial intelligence, and the research and application of these new technologies will accelerate the development process of global artificial intelligence.

Major economies accelerate the strategic layout of artificial intelligence

As a strategic technology leading the future, artificial intelligence is regarded as a major strategy to enhance national competitiveness and safeguard national security by major economies around the world. 20 13 Up to now, more than 20 countries and regions, including the United States, China, the European Union, Britain, Japan, Germany, France, South Korea, India, Denmark, Finland, New Zealand, Russia, Canada, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, Italy, Sweden, the Netherlands, Vietnam and Spain, have issued strategies, plans or major plans related to artificial intelligence.

The expansion trend of new infrastructure in the field of artificial intelligence is obvious.

The new infrastructure of artificial intelligence includes smart chips, 5G, sensor networks, data centers and other production facilities that support the development of artificial intelligence. At the same time, the intelligent economic form built by the deep integration of artificial intelligence and real economy is also part of the new infrastructure in the field of artificial intelligence. In recent years, all parts of the world have accelerated the pace of building artificial intelligence and developing production facilities. In 2020, the COVID-19 epidemic broke out all over the world, which had a great impact on global economic production activities. However, it is worth noting that the expansion of new infrastructure business around the world has not been hindered, and all governments and major enterprises in the industry have actively participated in the construction of new artificial intelligence infrastructure.

The artificial intelligence chip is the brain of artificial intelligence. With the increase in the number of artificial intelligence terminal devices and the demand for edge computing, the global demand for artificial intelligence chips is growing rapidly and the market scale is expanding. According to the data released by Tractica, the global artificial intelligence chip market scale reached110 billion USD in 20 19. It is estimated that the global artificial intelligence chip market will increase to175 billion USD in 2020, and it is expected to exceed 72 billion USD in 2025.

The low latency, high speed and edge computing ability of 5G can promote artificial intelligence devices to connect a large amount of data more intelligently and improve the learning ability of artificial intelligence devices. At the same time, the combination of 5G network and artificial intelligence technology can effectively improve the intelligence of 5G network, making it possible for the network to automatically generate network intelligent configuration parameters and intelligent strategies from manual configuration parameters and expert experience. It can be seen that the interactive development of 5G and artificial intelligence can accelerate the breakthrough and landing of global artificial intelligence applications. Therefore, the pace of commercial promotion of 5G is accelerating worldwide, and the global 5G infrastructure construction is in full swing.

According to the data released by GSMA (Global System for Mobile Communications), by the end of July 2020, 92 5G mobile networks had been deployed in 38 countries around the world, 22 more than at the end of April. By September 2020, there are 362 kinds of 5G terminals in the world, including mobile phone 162, mobile phone 1 13, 70% of which support SA (independent networking) and 5G commercial acceleration.

According to data released by Ericsson, by the end of June 2020, there will be about 720,000 5G base stations deployed worldwide, and this number will increase to 800,000 in August 2020. It is predicted that by the end of 2020, the total number of global 5G base stations will reach 1 10,000.

In recent years, with the increasing computing power and the emergence of technologies such as cloud computing, big data and virtualization, artificial intelligence has a reliable technical foundation. The algorithm of artificial intelligence needs to rely on massive data and use massive samples for machine learning. The data center is naturally a massive database, and the data generated and forwarded every day is growing exponentially. With these data, we can use big data technology to obtain a lot of meaningful data for artificial intelligence to learn. At the same time, artificial intelligence depends on computing, and only high-speed computing power can complete the specified tasks in a short time. Now the data center uses the network for distributed computing, which greatly improves the computing power and the learning ability of artificial intelligence. The data center provides more technical support, creating infinite possibilities for artificial intelligence.

The acceleration of global data center construction has strongly promoted the development of artificial intelligence. Starting from 20 17, with the development of scale and intensification, the number of global data centers began to decrease. However, it is worth noting that with the gradual improvement of industry concentration, the number of super-large data centers in the world has increased as a whole. According to Cisco's statistics, there are about 447 super-large data centers in the world in 20 19. By 2020, there will be 485 super-large new data centers around the world.

According to the data released by Gartner, at the end of 20 17, the number of racks deployed worldwide reached 4.933 million, and more than 55 million servers were installed. In 20 19, the number of racks deployed in global data centers was about 4.954 million. It is estimated that in 2020, the number of racks will exceed 4.98 million and the number of servers will exceed 62 million.

Commercialization of artificial intelligence accelerates application scenarios.

In the past 65,438+00 years, artificial intelligence technology has developed rapidly and made great breakthroughs. With the maturity of artificial intelligence theory and technology, the scene fusion ability of artificial intelligence is constantly improving. Therefore, in recent years, commercial applications have become the focus of artificial intelligence technology enterprise layout. The artificial intelligence industry in developed countries and regions such as Europe and America landed earlier. As a latecomer, China has accelerated the process of commercial application of artificial intelligence in recent years under the dual promotion of policy and capital. At present, artificial intelligence technology has achieved technical landing in many fields such as finance, medical care, security, education, transportation, manufacturing, retail and so on, and its application scenarios are becoming more and more abundant.

It is worth noting that although the commercialization of artificial intelligence is accelerating on a global scale, it is still in the exploration stage of industrialization and marketization due to the complexity of application scenarios, technical maturity and data openness, and the richness of landing scenarios, user needs and market penetration of solutions still need to be improved.

The scale of the artificial intelligence market is growing rapidly.

Various products based on artificial intelligence technology replace human beings in various fields to engage in simple and repetitive physical or mental work, which greatly improves production efficiency and quality of life, and also promotes the development and reform of various industries.

According to the data of PricewaterhouseCoopers, driven by the downstream reverse demand and the formation of upstream technology, the global artificial intelligence market will reach 2 trillion US dollars in 2020. It is predicted that the market will continue to maintain rapid growth in the next few years, and the global market scale will reach 15.7 trillion US dollars in 2030, which is about RMB 104 trillion yuan.

North America's artificial intelligence industry is leading the way.

In recent years, the development of artificial intelligence in North America, Asia and Europe has intensified. North America, Asia and Europe are the fastest growing regions of artificial intelligence in the world. By the end of 20 19, there were 2,472 active artificial intelligence enterprises in North America and 78 super unicorn enterprises. Active artificial intelligence enterprises in Asia 1667, and 8 super unicorn enterprises; There are 1 149 active artificial intelligence enterprises in Europe and 8 super unicorn enterprises.

Note: Super Unicorn refers to an enterprise with a valuation of over 654.38+000 billion USD.

Technology giants have laid out artificial intelligence industries.

In recent years, global technology giants have laid out artificial intelligence. In the United States, Google implements the strategy of "full bloom", and has layouts in the fields of cloud services, driverless, virtual reality, drones, storage robots and so on. Facebook relies on social networks to get data and training data from products, and then responds its artificial intelligence products to social network users. Microsoft is committed to applying artificial intelligence technology to intelligent assistants, AR/VR and other fields, such as Skype instant translation, Xiao Bing chat robot, Cortana virtual assistant and other applications. In China, Internet giants such as Baidu, Tencent and Ali all rely on their own platform advantages to build artificial intelligence service products, mainly in the field of artificial intelligence application layer.

A new round of capital boom of artificial intelligence is in the ascendant.

From the intelligent transformation of production methods, to the intelligent improvement of living standards, and then to the intelligent upgrading of social governance, the application-driven characteristics of a new generation of artificial intelligence are becoming more and more obvious, and a large number of emerging application scenarios are constantly being cultivated and formed. Rapid and abundant data reserves, gradually clear business logic and upcoming business value have prompted global artificial intelligence to set off a new round of capital boom.

According to the data released by CB Insights, from 20 14 to 20 19, the financing amount and times of global artificial intelligence increased year by year, reaching a new high in 20 19, with the financing amount reaching $26.58 billion and the financing times exceeding 2,000.

—— The above data and analysis are all from China Artificial Intelligence Industry Market Foresight and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report by Forward-looking Industry Research Institute.