In 20 19, the economy of our city maintained steady development, but there were still some problems that could not be ignored.

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According to preliminary accounting, in 20 13 years, the city's GDP will reach 71531300 million yuan, up by 12.0% year-on-year. Among them, the added value of the primary industry was 2.91.1.60 billion yuan, an increase of 3.0%; The added value of the secondary industry was 394.697 billion yuan, an increase of12.5%; The added value of the tertiary industry is 29 15.0 1 100 million yuan, with an increase of 12. 1%, and the city's economic aggregate, speed, structure and quality are all improving.

First, in terms of total volume, the city's economic scale has reached a new level. In 20 13, the city's regional GDP increased by 75.322 billion yuan over the previous year, and the total amount exceeded 700 billion yuan. In recent years, it has exceeded100 billion yuan.

Second, in terms of growth rate, the city's GDP growth rate is 4.3 and 1.9 percentage points higher than the national and provincial average levels respectively, and it continues to rank first in the province, with a quarterly growth trend. The growth rates in the first quarter, the first three quarters and the whole year are1.5% and11respectively.

Third, from the perspective of structure, the service industry has strengthened its support and driving role in economic and social development, and the industrial structure has been further optimized. In 20 13, the service industry accounted for 40.8% of the regional GDP, up by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, the first increase in ten years.

Fourth, in terms of quality, new progress has been made in transformation, innovation and development. The contribution rate of science and technology to economic growth has been further improved. 20149.9 billion yuan, the added value of high-tech industries in the city increased by 19 1% year-on-year, which was 5. 1 percentage point higher than that of industries above designated size. The added value of high-tech industries accounted for 265,438 0.0% of the regional GDP, an increase of two years. The optimization of industrial structure and technological innovation have promoted the improvement of energy utilization efficiency. The growth rate of energy consumption in the city is obviously lower than the economic growth rate. It is estimated that the energy consumption per unit area GDP will drop by more than 4% in the whole year, the annual target and task will be overfulfilled, and more than 80% of the energy-saving target progress in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan will be completed.

(B) the steady development of the three industries

The first batch of output increased steadily. Agricultural production has overcome the influence of unfavorable factors such as macroeconomic environment and complex climate. The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery reached 45.225 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, achieving steady and rapid growth. The output of major agricultural products was stable, with the output of vegetables increasing by 7.8%, and the output of pigs, cattle and sheep increased by 0.3%, 2.7% and 65,438 0.8% respectively. Agricultural industrialization was accelerated, leisure agriculture achieved an operating income of 654.38+005 billion yuan, and the processing and sales income of agricultural products exceeded 1000 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4%.

Industry has stabilized and rebounded. In the whole year, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 265.328 billion yuan, up 65.438+04.0% year-on-year, ranking first in the province, 2.4 and 4.3 percentage points higher than that of the whole country and the whole province respectively. Industrial development has gradually changed from "one industry is dominant" to "multi-industry support". Most industries have grown rapidly, and new enterprises have played an obvious role in pulling, and the growth rate of industrial clusters such as automobiles and parts, electronic information and new materials has accelerated. The annual added value increased by 56.2%, 36.6% and 20.4% respectively, which were 42.2%, 22.6% and 6.4 percentage points higher than the growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size in the city. The electronic information industry cluster is expected to grow into a new 100 billion industrial cluster this year. At the same time, the development of small and micro enterprises accelerated, with the added value of 995. 1 1 billion yuan, up 30.3% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 4.2 percentage points, which was higher than the growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size in the city by 65.438+06.3 percentage points, and was also much higher than that of large and medium-sized enterprises. The added value of small and micro enterprises accounted for 36.0% of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size in the city, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year.

The development of the tertiary industry has accelerated. The added value of the tertiary industry increased by 12. 1% year-on-year, up by 0. 1 percentage point. Tourism, real estate, finance and other modern service industries have grown rapidly. In 20 13, the city's total tourism revenue exceeded 1000 billion yuan, reaching1006.3 billion yuan, up 28.5% year-on-year. Real estate sales area18.406 million square meters, up 20.5% year-on-year, ranking among the top provincial capitals in China. The added value of the financial industry reached 27.733 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.7%, ranking first among all service industries in the city.

(3) The three major demands are rising steadily.

From the perspective of investment, it picks up month by month. In 20 13, the city completed fixed assets investment of 459.339 billion yuan, up 2.0 1% year-on-year, and the overall investment achieved steady and rapid growth. Especially since June, the progress of investment and construction has obviously accelerated, showing a monthly growth trend. Infrastructure investment grew rapidly, with an investment of 82.932 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.8%, which was higher than the investment growth rate of the whole city 10.7 percentage points. The investment in real estate development in the whole year was1153.61.8%, with a year-on-year increase of 1 1.8%, showing a gradual recovery trend. The introduction of policies related to private investment has played an obvious role in activating private investment. In 20 13, the city completed 309.347 billion yuan of private investment, up 27.0% year-on-year, accounting for 67.3% of the total investment, and became the main investment force of the city.

From the perspective of consumption, stability is good. In the whole year, the total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 280,654.38+0.97 billion yuan, up by 1.465.438+0% year-on-year, ranking first in the province, which was higher than the national and provincial 1.0 and 0.3 percentage points respectively. By industry, the wholesale and retail industries grew steadily, with annual growth of 22.7% and 14.3% respectively. Accommodation and catering industry dropped significantly, by 5.8% and 7.3% respectively, dropping by 18.3 and 7.4 percentage points respectively. From the perspective of major commodities, the growth rate of automobile sales increased year-on-year, and the annual retail sales reached 55.04 billion yuan, up by 28.2% and 2.8 percentage points year-on-year. The sales of petroleum commodities rebounded steadily, with the annual retail sales of19.765 billion yuan, up by 22.7%, up by 1. 1 percentage point year-on-year; The growth rate of Chinese and western medicine sales decreased, with the annual retail sales of 146. 1 100 million yuan, an increase of 16.3%, down 32.7 percentage points year-on-year; Gold, silver and jewelry products sell well. As the price of gold continues to fall, the sales of jewelry products are getting better and better, which has become a highlight of market consumption. Retail sales increased by 45. 1% year-on-year, up by 12.5 percentage points.

From the perspective of exports, it has grown steadily. In 20001year, the total import and export volume was US$ 9.893 billion, up by 13.8% year-on-year, of which 61660,000 yuan was exported, up by 19.2% year-on-year, higher than the national and provincial13 and1respectively.

(4) The three major incomes grew steadily.

Fiscal revenue remained stable. The city's total fiscal revenue was 88.389 billion yuan, up by 65.438+09.5%, of which public budget revenue was 53.663 billion yuan, up by 23.8%, and tax revenue accounted for 73.9% of public budget revenue, up by 6.5 percentage points year-on-year. Corporate income has increased steadily. 1- 1 1 month, the main business income of industries above designated size in the city was 683.469 billion yuan, up by 13.4% year-on-year, and the comprehensive benefit index of industrial economy was 40.49 billion yuan, up by 23.6 percentage points year-on-year. Residents' income has increased steadily. The annual per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents was 33,662 yuan and 197 12 yuan respectively, increasing by 10.5% and 12.6% respectively, and the income gap between urban and rural areas further narrowed.

(5) The business environment is relatively relaxed.

The price increase is relatively moderate. The annual consumer price rose by 2.8% year-on-year, lower than the "upper limit" of 3.5%, ranking 14 among provincial capitals, with an average increase. Financial deposits and loans grew steadily. In 20 13, the deposit balance of financial institutions in the city exceeded one trillion yuan for the first time, reaching101487.6 billion yuan, an increase of 15.3% over the beginning of the year, of which personal deposits reached 350,754.38 billion yuan, an increase of16 over the beginning of the year. The loan balance of financial institutions in the city reached 963.302 billion yuan, an increase of 12.5% over the beginning of the year. The number of employed people has increased steadily. Due to the overall steady economic growth, the employment situation is good. In 20 13 years, there were149,300 new jobs in cities and towns, which was higher than the previous two years. The people have a smooth sailing. The 44 provinces and cities in the city have fully or overfulfilled the objectives and tasks of practical projects for the people, and achieved remarkable results in the fields of promoting employment, helping the poor, aiding education, social security, medical and health care, people's living in peace, smooth roads and environmental governance.

Overall, Changsha's economy has achieved steady and rapid growth, but there are also some problems that cannot be ignored. First, industry is facing downward pressure. Judging from the development of Changsha's industry in recent years, the growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size shows a downward trend. After 20 10 reached the peak of 24.0%, a downward "inflection point" appeared. In 20 12 years, the growth rate was 16.8%, and in 20 13 years, it was 14.0%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8 percentage points. The market demand is still not strong. The ex-factory price index of industrial producers for the whole year was 98.5%, which still dropped year-on-year. At the same time, the slowdown in corporate profit growth is not conducive to enterprises to expand production. Second, there is insufficient support for investment projects. From the perspective of the whole province, the investment growth rate of our city is still low. In 20 13, the investment growth rate of the whole city was 6.0 percentage points lower than that of the whole province. From the perspective of continued construction projects, the number and scale of projects have declined. This year, there were 65,438+0,772 projects (excluding real estate projects), a decrease of 65,438+03.1%compared with the previous year, and the amount of continued projects was 65,438+00830.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 65,438+00.1compared with the previous year. Third, the growth of consumer demand is weak. In 20 13 years, the city's consumer goods market maintained a steady and rapid growth trend. However, due to the increasing downward pressure on the economy, the strict control of government consumption, the decline in the growth rate of residents' income and the end of the policy of stimulating consumption, and the single commodity supporting the rapid growth of consumption in the city, the pulling effect of hot commodities such as automobiles and refined oil has weakened after rapid growth in recent years, but new consumption hotspots have not yet formed, and the growth rate of consumption in the city is lower than expected, with a growth rate of 20 13. In the future, the driving force for improving consumer demand is still unclear.

Second, the economic outlook of Changsha in 20 14 years

In 20 14, the global economy is expected to improve to a certain extent, and China's economy is expected to maintain steady growth, and the city's economy is expected to continue its steady and positive trend.

From the international environment, the global economic recovery is gradually strengthened in fluctuations, the recovery trend of major developed economies is further confirmed, and the external environment for economic growth tends to improve. However, the economic slowdown in emerging market countries and the uncertainty brought by the policy adjustment in developed countries may drag down China's economic development.

From the perspective of domestic development, China is still in the stage of industrialization, urbanization, consumption structure upgrading and rapid income growth, and some new growth drivers are taking shape. The Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee sounded the clarion call for a new round of reform. The reform of the system and mechanism is expected to stimulate the vitality of economic growth, the economic structure and growth quality are expected to be further optimized, and the development trend of striving for progress steadily is expected to continue.

Judging from the development of the whole city, there are still many favorable conditions for maintaining sustained and stable economic growth.

First, from a policy perspective, as the first city with "two belts and one department", its location advantages and development opportunities are increasingly obvious. The provincial party committee put forward the new requirement of "six in the forefront" for Changsha's development, and delegated 45 provincial-level economic and social management rights to Changsha, which will inject new vitality into Changsha's development this year. The Sixth Plenary Session of the Twelfth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China put forward the development requirements of taking the lead in building "three cities", vigorously implementing "three times", perfecting "three volumes" and implementing "five pushes", which will certainly promote the better and faster development of the city's economy.

Secondly, from the perspective of consumer demand, Changsha, as the core city of the national two-oriented society construction demonstration zone, is expected to become a new growth point in the information industry, green industry, health industry, culture and education industry and so on. For example, in 20 13, the retail sales of books, newspapers and magazines in the city increased by 20.7% year-on-year, an increase of 23.7 percentage points; Electronic publications and audio-visual products increased by 137.8% year-on-year, up by 99. 1 percentage point, reflecting that with the growth of residents' income, the sale of enjoyment goods to improve the quality of life has become a hot field in the consumer goods market. At the same time, there is still much room for improvement in traditional consumption hotspots. At present, the number of family cars owned by urban residents in the city is 36.5, which is still far behind that of developed countries and cities. Automobile-related service industry is expected to develop rapidly.

Thirdly, from the perspective of urban development, the acceleration of urbanization will provide impetus for Changsha's economic development. The central urbanization conference clearly pointed out that it is of great benefit to Changsha to take urban agglomeration as the main form and attach importance to urbanization in the central and western regions. The advantages of Changsha's transportation hub and the location advantages of connecting the east with the west and connecting the south with the north are increasingly prominent, which has great potential in improving the quality of urbanization. It is estimated that the urbanization rate of the whole city will reach 70% in 20 13. From the perspective of population composition, non-agricultural population accounts for 37.2%, which has certain development potential. In the future, promoting the urbanization of urban residents and breaking the restrictions of administrative divisions will bring huge development space for consumption and investment.

Fourth, from the perspective of growth momentum, investment growth has potential. At present, investment in Dahexi is at its peak, which plays an obvious role in demonstrating and promoting. With the acceleration of the pace of strengthening the county financial city, the acceleration of key areas such as high-speed rail new city and airport new city, and the continuous expansion of investment in transportation facilities, shantytown renovation, social livelihood and ecological environment, the investment field and scope are expected to be further expanded. The introduction of private investment policy will further activate private investment. Judging from 20 13 of the city's private investment, the growth rate is 6.9 percentage points higher than the growth rate of all investment, and the contribution rate to the city's investment growth is 85.8%. With the continuous expansion of the scale and field of private investment, the city's investment is expected to usher in a new round of great development.

Third, to speed up the development of Changsha countermeasures and suggestions

In 20 14, the city's economic development should focus on the general tone of "striving for progress in stability, striving for progress in new China and striving for progress in China", stabilize the two supporting points of industry and investment, speed up structural adjustment and optimization, vigorously develop service industry, promote consumption and expand opening up.

(1) Focus on large industries and stabilize industrial growth. Adhere to the development of innovative economy as the focus of accelerating industrial transformation and upgrading, vigorously promote scientific and technological innovation, focus on introducing a number of corporate headquarters and R&D centers, promote powerful large enterprises and local scientific research institutes to build technology platforms, accelerate the optimization and upgrading of technological transformation, focus on promoting the integration of industrialization and informatization, develop emerging industries and leading industries on a large scale, transform and develop traditional industries, accelerate the development of productive service industries, and promote the transformation of industries from relying on resource consumption to innovation-driven and product competition to brand competition.

(2) Focus on big projects to ensure investment growth. Moderate investment scale and reasonable growth rate are important supports to ensure stable economic development. First, start a number of major backup projects, reserve major investment projects, and speed up the construction of a number of major projects such as Metro Line 3 and Wanjiali Urban Expressway. The second is to increase industrial investment. It is suggested that industrial investment should be included in the assessment of districts and counties (cities) to accelerate industrial transformation. Third, it is necessary to promote the healthy development of the real estate market, improve the quality of real estate, increase the supporting functions of real estate, and enhance its attractiveness to foreign investors. Fourth, further encourage private investment, further strengthen the research and implementation of private investment policies, comprehensively sort out and improve relevant policies and measures, and actively eliminate institutional and institutional obstacles.

(3) Pay attention to the service industry and contribute to the tertiary industry. First, strengthen the organization and leadership of the development of the service industry. The service industry involves a wide range, involving many departments, and it is difficult to coordinate. A leading group for service industry development evaluation should be established as soon as possible to coordinate and solve major problems in the development of service industry, and to introduce industrial policies and incentive measures to accelerate the development of service industry. The second is to increase support for the modern service industry. Accelerate the development of key industries such as finance, real estate, modern logistics, cultural industries, leisure and entertainment, and information services; Taking the opportunity of being approved as a national comprehensive pilot city of modern service industry, and taking the construction of modern logistics industry of agricultural products as the leading factor, we will speed up the construction of supporting industries such as e-commerce, community commerce and trade logistics.

(4) Building regional centers to promote consumption upgrading. Judging from the current situation, automobiles and petroleum products are the two major consumer goods in our city. Increase the guidance and support for the development of mid-to high-end automobile sales enterprises, seize the opportunity of increasing the purchase of private cars brought about by the bus reform, continue to expand and strengthen the automobile industry in the city, and at the same time drive the sales of upstream and downstream commodities such as oil to ensure that the automobile industry continues to play a supporting role. Focus on the long term, actively promote consumption transformation and innovation, take the construction of a regional consumption center as the goal, accelerate the formation of "extending in all directions" transportation network advantages, encourage and guide the development of emerging business formats, and expand the radiation power of the consumer goods market through festivals and other forms.

(5) Focus on opening wider to the outside world and develop an export-oriented economy. The export-oriented economy is the "short board" of Changsha's development. We should focus on the long-term goal of "quadrupling", seize the historical opportunity of the country to vigorously develop urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, build four platforms, namely, comprehensive insurance zone, export base, import base and development park, and promote eight major projects, such as brand-driven, platform optimization, subject cultivation, foreign trade expansion, foreign economic expansion, global opening-up and environmental optimization, to accelerate the internationalization process of Changsha and comprehensively improve its soft power and opening-up level.