Ministry of Foreign Affairs Warning: Travel to Pakistan with caution! What happened to Batie?

A few days ago, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued an announcement reminding Chinese citizens to try not to travel to Pakistan, and Chinese people already there to try not to go out.

What happened to Batie?

The main reason for this announcement is that the security situation in Pakistan is deteriorating. Especially on January 30, a very serious terrorist attack occurred in Peshawar, an important city in northwest Pakistan. Someone walked into a mosque and detonated a bomb, killing more than 100 worshipers on the spot and injuring more than 200 others.

Similar things have happened in Pakistan in recent years. Because China has a lot of investment in Pakistan, the Chinese people have often been affected. There were several similar incidents last year.

Why has the security situation in Pakistan deteriorated?

The first is the spillover of the Afghanistan issue.

To the west of Pakistan is Afghanistan, and the border between the two countries is called the Durand Line. This Durand was the foreign minister of British India at that time, and he randomly drew such a line on the map. The Pashtuns living on both sides of the border were divided into two countries overnight. However, due to the inconvenience of local transportation, they were basically under tribal jurisdiction.

Therefore, even today, border controls are often ineffective, and people on both sides can travel freely. Many Afghan militants also tend to hide in Pakistan.

In this way, Pakistan’s security situation, especially the security situation in its northwest, is closely related to Afghanistan. Afghanistan has the Taliban, and so does Pakistan, and the Pakistani Taliban may be even more extreme. A little more cruel.

Secondly, Pakistan is on the verge of economic collapse.

Pakistan has one of the long-standing strongholds of Middle Eastern terrorist organizations. Internally, there are Indian-supported terrorist armed forces such as Balochistan and the People's Liberation Army. Externally, there are also the Pakistani Taliban, etc., which have launched many attacks on Chinese citizens. Terrorist attack.

According to Pakistan’s Economic Minister Muhammad Dar, Pakistan spent a quarter of the country’s foreign exchange reserves in one week, and the remaining foreign exchange reserves are only enough to support one month. Due to the lack of US dollars to pay for import orders, Pakistan's ports are filled with tens of thousands of containers. Without new US dollars coming in, Pakistan's economy will collapse at any time.

There are also some problems of Pakistan itself.

For example, regarding education, a large number of children and teenagers attend religious schools and are not exposed to any modern ideas. Instead, they accept a large number of conservative and extremely backward ideas. In addition, Pakistan has its own separatist problem. The most famous one here is the liberation of Balochistan. He has been committed to using this armed method to separate Balochistan from Pakistan, and the Gwadar port we know well is located in Peru. above.

So what triggered Pakistan’s economic collapse?

1. Energy prices fluctuate significantly.

Due to changes in the energy subsidy policy, Pakistan’s energy prices have fluctuated sharply. However, the power department actually implemented price increases and nationwide power outages at the same time. Which country is so messy? The second major force that can withstand the war is the Russia-Ukraine war.

2. The Russo-Ukrainian War.

Pakistan is a country highly dependent on the import of food and industrial equipment. The largest industry is the textile industry, and the main food imports are Russia and Ukraine. Most of Ukraine’s food is shipped to Europe. Pakistan, on the other hand, does not have US dollars and cannot buy excess grain.

In Pakistan, you currently have to queue for three hours to buy a bakery. Not to mention the price, you may not be able to buy it. An overly simple economic structure has resulted in Pakistan earning fewer and fewer dollars from foreign trade, but its expenditures cannot be reduced at all, and the foreign exchange reserve pool has quickly bottomed out.

3. Natural disasters.

Since mid-June 2022, many provinces in Pakistan have been hit by multiple rounds of heavy rains, causing severe floods. This unprecedented flood submerged 1/3 of Pakistan's land area, directly causing the displacement of 8 million people and causing economic losses of more than 30 billion US dollars. Because the land used for cotton and grain cultivation was hit by floods, Pakistan not only became more short of food, but its core pillar textile industry also suffered huge losses.

4. Foreign exchange crisis.

Afghanistan next door has 9 billion US dollars frozen by the United States. Like Pakistan, it is short of foreign exchange and US dollars, but Afghanistan has given Pakistan a trick to drain the firepower. The Afghan Taliban stipulates that only U.S. dollars will be accepted for coal exports to Pakistan, which has robbed Pakistan of all the U.S. dollars it has blacklisted, further exacerbating Pakistan's U.S. dollar foreign exchange crisis.

How terrible is it for a country to go bankrupt?

The worst outcome for Pakistan may be bankruptcy. In terms of national bankruptcy, the most recent country to go bankrupt is Sri Lanka. Regardless of the cause of its bankruptcy, just the results are terrible. To put it simply, Sri Lanka entered a state of total anarchy after its bankruptcy. There was no energy import, no food import, no material import, and all urban functions were suspended.

In other words, no department can guarantee the most basic things that we need in life. There is no running water, no electricity, no one takes care of domestic garbage, and domestic wastewater flows everywhere. To exaggerate, the local currency may not even be as good as toilet paper, and toilet paper is becoming less and less used.

In a state of anarchy, the word society has no meaning. Public security cannot be guaranteed. There will be no control over breaking down walls. It is impossible to talk about the safety of individuals and property. It can be exaggerated. It is said that those who can escape will escape, and those who cannot escape can only feel where they are. To survive in the wilderness, you may risk your life and go out just for a roll of toilet paper.