How to calculate the main position

Explore the principle of the main position! It is difficult for people to discover this secret. I hope to calculate the position of the main force by accumulating large trading orders on the disk. This method will fail because of the anti-tracking of the main force and the refinement of chips. After decentralizing the main account, the transaction volume seen on the disk is nothing more than the transaction volume of a middle household. On the contrary, because everyone pays special attention to large transactions, there is another kind of deception. When the main force wanted to raise funds, it deliberately released large orders as selling pressure to let you leave, but he completed the fund-raising with small orders. To ship, buy with a single large order, and then sell with a small order that is 10 times. You can't take the main force.

Profit chips are the mainstay.

We ask retail investors this question: Who is used to selling stocks with 30%, 20%, 10% to 20% profit? The answer is 1 person, 10 person, many people. I have contributed hundreds of articles, most of which are between 8% and 15%. This is a very common operating habit area for retail investors. It is difficult for retail investors to make the floating profit of stocks exceed 20%.

The departure of retail investors is a universal code of conduct. Throughout the market, the general psychology of retail investors is "anxiety when making profits, and unusually calm when being deeply trapped". In the big bear market, retail investors didn't even bother to look at the plates. When the stock price bottomed out and investors were close to liquidation, the stock market became active again. When the stock price returns to the vicinity of the pre-locking area, the metropolis will trigger a relatively large volume, indicating that once these pre-quilt sets are untied, they will choose to leave and wait and see. Chips that are not for sale are the main chips.

If there are more main chips, there is no chance to ship them. The price fell as soon as it was thrown, and it was quilted again. It must be raised several times to build enough shipping space. The chips that can't be washed off sideways are the main chips.

What bothers retail investors the most? Retail investors are not afraid of falling stocks, just hold them and have a good attitude. The most annoying thing is that the stock price has not risen for a long time. A month or even two or three months, fluctuating within 20%, suddenly earning 10% and suddenly losing 10%. No one can stand such psychological torture. Therefore, the long-term fluctuation of stock price is often unbearable for retail investors, especially in the rising period of the market.

Cleverly calculate the dealer's position and cost

Sun Tzu's Art of War says: Know yourself and know yourself, and you will win every battle. If investors want to survive and develop in the stock market, they must follow Zhuang. If we want to follow Zhuang, we must find out the details of the banker. Of course, the most important thing is the banker's position and cost. These two are the top secrets of the banker, so they can't be leaked. How can we skillfully calculate the banker's position and cost from the K-line chart and volume? According to the author's careful analysis and research, it is considered that the calculation of turnover rate should be accurate.

The turnover rate is calculated by dividing the turnover by the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by 100%. Because we have to calculate the total turnover rate from the beginning of the banker's position to the beginning of the pull-up, in my experience, the weekly chart has the greatest reference significance.

Refer to the weekly K-line chart of individual stocks. Weekly moving average parameters can be set to 5, 10 and 20. When the moving average system of the weekly K-line chart is arranged in multiple positions, it can be proved that the stock has the banker's intervention. Only when a large amount of money is involved by the banker, the turnover of individual stocks will continue to increase at a low level, which is the characteristic of the banker's opening of positions. It is precisely because the supply of chips is in short supply that the stock price gradually rises, which makes the weekly K-line moving average system in a long position, and it can be preliminarily concluded that the banker has been found.

Whether it is short-term, mid-line or long-term bookmakers, the control degree should be at least above 20%. Only 20% of the stocks can be controlled, and less than 20% of the stocks can't be done unless the market is excellent. If it is controlled between 20% and 40%, the stock is the most active, but there are more hot money, less room for growth, and it is more difficult to pull up; If the trading volume is controlled between 40% and 60%, the stock will be more active and have more space, and this degree will reach relative control; If the control amount exceeds 60%, the activity is poor, but the space is huge, which is absolute control. Most big black horses are produced in this control area. Why is there such a rule? Because 20% of the circulation of a stock is generally locked, these are absolute long-term investors. Of the remaining 80% circulating chips, only 20% are the most active floating chips. If you collect these 20% chips, there are few floating chips in the market, and you can generally control the market. The last 60% is a relatively stable chip. If the banker absorbs another half, that is, 30%, then the banker's chips are 50% control, plus 20% of long-term investors, which means that the banker controls 70% chips. In this way, the dealer can control the movement direction of the stock price. This is also the degree of control adopted by most gaming companies. If the dealer controls more than 60% of the market, there are only 20% floating chips outside. The dealer can control the stock price at will. When investors want to follow Zhuang, it is best to follow Zhuang with a position of more than 50%. Of course, the bigger the position, the better, because the increase is roughly proportional to the position.

Generally speaking, the dealer accounts for about 30% of the trading volume when the stock price rises, 20% when it falls, heavy when it rises, and shrinking when it falls. We can initially assume that the volume: the contracted volume = 2: 1, and then for a period of time, the banker's position is (2× 30%)-( 1× 20. However, this calculation is too complicated. We can make a rough calculation. During the period when the total turnover rate is 200%, the dealer may hold 40% of the chips, so when the total turnover rate is 100%, the chips that can be absorbed should be (40%)/(200%) × 100% = 20%.

Let's start from the low position of weekly KD indicator and when the weekly turnover is moderately enlarged at the low position, until the week you calculate, add up the weekly turnover to be the total weekly turnover, then divide it by the circulation disk and multiply it by 100%, which is the total turnover rate. If the total turnover rate is 100%, the main players hold 20%; If the total turnover rate is 200%, the dealer's position is 40%; If the total turnover rate is 300%, the dealer's position is 60%; If the total turnover rate is 400%, the dealer's position is 80%. This is calculated according to the result that the dealer can raise 20% for every change of hands 100%, and so on.

Generally speaking, when the total turnover rate reaches 200%, the dealer will speed up the fund raising and increase the position, because the low-priced chips are gone, which is a good opportunity for short-term intervention. When the total turnover rate reaches 300%, the dealer has basically absorbed enough chips, and then the dealer will quickly pull up or forcibly wash the dishes. It is necessary to grasp the intention and trend of the main force from the handicap and avoid blindly rushing from the short-term to the middle line. At this time, we should do this, which can not only improve the utilization rate of funds, but also avoid short-term quilt cover. By calculating the total turnover rate, we can roughly judge the degree of opening and locking positions of the main force, so as to maximize our own profits and minimize the time. Especially for those newly listed new shares, the accuracy is high. In the usual watch, we can track and analyze those stocks whose turnover rate exceeds 300% in the low position, and then combine their daily K-line, turnover and some technical indicators to grasp the best opportunity to intervene, and we will gain something.

Then, we will calculate the banker's cost. We will use the following two methods to estimate it: 1. If macro analysis software is used, it is the simplest, and Shift +→ two keys can be used to estimate the turnover rate and cost price, which is the most accurate algorithm; 2. Generally speaking, it takes about 40-60 days for mid-line bookmakers to open positions, that is, 8- 12 weeks, with an average of 10 weeks. From the weekly K-line chart, we can objectively think that 10 weekly average price line is the main cost area. This algorithm has some errors, but it will not deviate from 10%. As a bookmaker, the stocks he trades have risen by at least 50%, most of which are 100%. Generally speaking, if the increase of a stock from the lowest point to the highest point of a wave of market is 100%, the normal profit of the banker is 40%. After we calculate the cost of the main force, multiply it by 150% at this price, which is the minimum goal of the dealer. No matter how tortuous the road is, the stock price will reach this price sooner or later. Bankers will never leave the market at a loss unless they have to. This is the banker's eternal heartache.

This is what we should find out about the banker. When we see the dealer's cards clearly, we can be targeted in operation, no longer afraid of the dealer's carrot and stick, and see the rise and fall of the stock price clearly. This is just a psychological game that bankers play with us. So, how can we be invincible?

Single horizontal disk method

Second, move down to measure the main position.

Third, measure the main position with the sideways method.

Four, other methods to estimate the main positions.

A, the low position of the chip-intensive area is infinite.

B, the game K line is low and boundless.

C, 90 to 3

D, cost moving average deviation and chip low locking

I hope the landlord will adopt it