Xinjiang Tekes is now snowing and cooling on a large scale. Can you predict that it will snow in summer?

The weather forecast can only predict the main trend of the weather in a period of time, but it can't be very accurate, let alone predict the weather situation of the whole cloth in the future. The weather changes rapidly, and even if it is regular, its regularity will change. Therefore, according to international management, there is a certain error in weather forecast, as long as the error is within a fixed range. So if it snows in summer, it is uncertain whether it can be predicted.

In some cases, when the weather trend is relatively stable, the meteorological department can predict the next weather situation at this time. When the weather trend is unstable and there are abnormal repetitions, this situation is difficult to predict. Because a slight weather change, even a gust of wind, may trigger the butterfly effect, so. Predicting the weather can only be said to be a prediction, and he can't accurately predict the next specific weather trend.

This time, the snowfall in Tekes, Xinjiang is unpredictable. From the early morning of June 29th, the local temperature dropped by 8~ 10 degrees, and the lowest temperature in mountainous areas dropped below 0 degrees.

Causing 500 livestock in the local pastoral area to freeze to death. This is an unpredictable event, because in political summer, many sheep have just been pulled out of wool and moved to pasture for grazing in summer. As a result, the sudden snowfall made these sheep lose their warm wool and freeze to death.

According to the statistics of local meteorological department, the average thickness of this snowfall has reached about 4 cm, and the thickness of snow in remote mountainous areas has reached about 50 cm. The snowstorm directly caused economic losses of nearly one million yuan.

Moreover, because of this sudden snowfall, more than 30 cars and 400 tourists were trapped on the local Dooku Highway, which runs through the north and south of Tianshan Mountain and Tamboura Mountain. After being rescued by the local government traffic police, the trapped people were safely left the mountain area that night.