Traditional Culture Encyclopedia - Weather forecast - What are the calculation methods of stock market support points?
What are the calculation methods of stock market support points?
No matter how the stock market rises, it will eventually fall. Once the decline begins, I believe that even the support points can't be kept. Judging from the stock market situation over the years, when the stock market falls below the support point, everyone will have a heated discussion. The following is the calculation method of stock market support points compiled by Bian Xiao, hoping to help everyone.
What are the calculation methods of stock market support points?
The top or bottom of the stock market often constitutes resistance or support; In technical drawings, generally unfilled gaps will also form effective resistance or support levels; When investors judge the support level and resistance level, the moving average can also provide practical help; If we observe the trend of the trend line, we can actually determine the support level and resistance level of the future market.
It is worth noting that when the main support level is broken down, the support level is actually transformed into the main resistance level; Second, when the main resistance level is also broken, its resistance level becomes the main support level.
Another way to find the support level and resistance level is to observe the "retreat" of the price in the process of operation-that is, the price fluctuation opposite to the current trend, also called "adjustment" or "correction".
Let's take a round of rising market as an example: the market rose from 3000 points to 4000 points, and then the price turned down to 3500 points. After that, it may continue to attack and push up the price. The 50% "retracement" of the market from 3000 to 4000 is 3500. 3500 points proves the power of support. In other words, since the price will turn around again after falling by 50%, the 50% retracement also proves that the support is effective. The rise "callback" in the falling market is also a truth.
Some withdrawal percentages have great practical significance in judging resistance and support level, such as 33%, 50% and 67%. There are also two numbers called Fibonacci odd numbers (Fibonacci is a mathematician): 38% and 62%. These five groups of figures are very helpful to judge the support level and resistance level.
Many good trading system software will have these percentage retracement tools. As long as you click the starting point on the K-line chart in the price trend with the mouse, and then click the high point of the price, the percentage retracement number will often be displayed on the technical chart.
Finally, the psychological price is used to determine the support level and resistance level, and these numbers are usually integer digits, which is a good method in the market.
A method for calculating the potential of adhesion resistance;
Golden section method: the first resistance level = the lowest price _1.191;
Second resistance level = lowest price _1.382;
The third resistance level = lowest price _1.618;
The fourth resistance level = lowest price _1.809;
Fifth resistance level = lowest price _2.
Calculation method of resistance potential
In most cases, the price will be concentrated in a certain area, not a certain point; If so, it is generally considered as a "support zone" or a "resistance zone". It should be pointed out that the range should not be too large, otherwise it will be of little reference significance to investors.
The top or bottom of the stock market often constitutes resistance or support; In technical drawings, generally unfilled gaps will also form effective resistance or support levels; When investors judge the support level and resistance level, the moving average can also provide practical help; If we observe the trend of the trend line, we can actually determine the support level and resistance level of the future market.
It is worth noting that when the main support level is broken down, the support level is actually transformed into the main resistance level; Second, when the main resistance level is also broken, its resistance level becomes the main support level.
Another way to find the support level and resistance level is to observe the "retreat" of the price in the process of operation-that is, the price fluctuation opposite to the current trend, also called "adjustment" or "correction".
Let's take a round of rising market as an example: the market rose from 3000 points to 4000 points, and then the price turned down to 3500 points. After that, it may continue to attack and push up the price. The 50% "retracement" of the market from 3000 to 4000 is 3500. 3500 points proves the power of support. In other words, since the price will turn around again after falling by 50%, the 50% retracement also proves that the support is effective. The rise "callback" in the falling market is also a truth.
Some withdrawal percentages have great practical significance in judging resistance and support level, such as 33%, 50% and 67%. There are also two numbers called Fibonacci odd numbers (Fibonacci is a mathematician): 38% and 62%. These five groups of figures are very helpful to judge the support level and resistance level.
Many good trading system software will have these percentage retracement tools. As long as you click the starting point on the K-line chart in the price trend with the mouse, and then click the high point of the price, the percentage retracement number will often be displayed on the technical chart.
Finally, the psychological price is used to determine the support level and resistance level, and these figures are usually integer digits, which is quite good in the market.
What do you think of the stock market support points?
1, moving average support, all major moving averages, including annual line, semi-annual line and 20th line, can form support. One of the reasons why the moving average will be supported is the result of psychological function and traditional understanding.
For example, like Kweichow Moutai, its support level (note the word "people") is the moving average-
Just like siege warfare, after the resistance of breaking the city wall, there will often be resistance of street fighting, and there will also be resistance at these joints to form support. As for whether it can hold up, it depends entirely on the market.
2. Support close to the special proportion. Some people use the so-called golden section to calculate, similar to this-
Each division ratio may be a support point, and the so-called division ratio is also artificially invented, with meaningful figures, which is essentially similar to the siege warfare mentioned above.
3. The position of the long-term sideways in the early stage. For stocks that are suppressed by some moving averages or stocks that plummet, the position of the previous sideways can actually be used as a support level.
The previous sideways position is often the cost area where many people hold shares, and it is also the area where many people add positions. It is also the support point of investor confidence and often forms a strong support.
For example, Vanke A, every place in the previous sideways is a possible support level-
4, gap gap support. Many stocks generally jump up to form a gap, and then there is a downward callback phenomenon. The bottom of this gap can often be regarded as a support level.
For example, the steam model had an upward gap before, and then it began to call back-
5, integer tag support. The integer mark is also a number endowed with special meaning artificially, especially the integer 10 and the integer 100.
At some integer points, people often think that bombs can be broken, but they are not. This is support.
6. News support level. For example, the price of private placement, the average holding price of major shareholders, the average price of powerful hot money institutions and so on.
7. Fundamental support. The so-called valuation is the valuation calculated by various methods and models according to the industry P/E ratio, earnings per share and its net assets.
On the one hand, this support comes from market speculation that major shareholders, fixed-income institutions and powerful hot money will save themselves in order to protect their own profits; On the other hand, some funds do help themselves-for example, in Jia Yueting, in order to prevent the collapse of equity pledge, they will desperately resist near their own pledge warning line.
In fact, it is not so terrible for the stock market to fall below the support level. Often after wanton exaggeration, some investors will be afraid. If everyone can have a clear understanding of the support level, it will be of great help in practical operation.
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