What is a climate disaster! ! ! Hurry up! ! Urgent need! ! !

1. Climate disaster is a convective air mass formed in the atmosphere. This air mass was formed at an altitude of 15- 18 km, mainly before the natural catastrophe in 20 10. In space, that is, over the earth, there will naturally be repeated astronomical landscapes. What kind of abnormal astronomical landscape is it? That is to say, from March 20 10, the earth's rotation was blocked, which led to the slow rotation of the earth, which was bound to have an impact on the whole earth's weather. It can be said that this influence is very serious! How serious is it? It is so serious that human beings on earth break the normal daily life and are forced to fall into the predicament of primitive lifestyle. Why is this happening? As mentioned above, all this is due to the looting and destruction of the earth's resources-underground dynamic energy field, which leads to the reduction of the earth's rotation ability and the abnormal weather changes.

2. Speaking of influence, hehe! I grabbed a paragraph from the internet! Take your time:

20 10, climate change in China? American "secret report" attracts people's attention

Our reporter Li Jian.

By 2020, European coastal cities will be submerged by rising sea levels, and the climate in Britain will be as cold and dry as Siberia. Nuclear war, drought, hunger and riots will plague all countries in the world.

A severe drought will occur in southern China around 20 10, lasting for 10 years. There will be floods in the north and droughts in the south of China. ...

A "secret report" of the Pentagon in the United States has aroused great concern of scientists in China-

"In the next 20 years, the global climate will suddenly change, and a global disaster is just around the corner. Hundreds of people will die from natural disasters."

"The annual average temperature in Asia and North America has dropped by 5 degrees Fahrenheit (2.8 degrees Celsius), and in Northern Europe by 6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.3 degrees Celsius) ... By 2020, the coastal cities in Europe will be submerged by rising sea levels, and the climate in Britain will be as cold and dry as Siberia. Nuclear war, drought, hunger, riots and other issues will plague all countries in the world. "

"Around 20 10, there will be a severe drought lasting 10 years in southern China. After 20 10 years, the floods in the north of China continued, and the drought in the south ... "

These "predictions" come from a "secret" report submitted by the Pentagon to President Bush, which warned that in the next 20 years, global climate change will threaten mankind more than terrorism.

Isn't it sensational? However, Luo Yong, a researcher at the National Climate Center of China Meteorological Bureau, doesn't think so. Scientists in China have discussed these predictions three times, and the latest one has just ended. Experts attending the meeting believe that although the extreme scenario of global climate change prediction in the report is almost impossible to happen, the prediction of China in the report is still very enlightening and of early warning value, reminding China scientists to raise climate change research to the height of national security.

"We reported the original text, main points and relevant analysis suggestions of the report to the Central Committee and the State Council. I heard that-I have never seen the original, and the report we submitted was quickly approved by the relevant leaders of the party and the state. "

We are now evaluating the sudden change of global climate, just as 1995 someone studies whether the World Trade Center will be hit by a plane.

Late at night on February 23, 2004, Luo Yong, who was still working overtime, suddenly received a phone call from a colleague, saying that on February 22, the British Observer disclosed an "important" global climate change forecast report in the United States.

In the early morning of February 24th, Luo Yong immediately rushed to the office and turned on the computer. He quickly found a report on the website of GlobalBusinessNetwork (GBN) entitled "Scenarios of abrupt climate change and its significance to American national security".

"After reading this report in one breath, I was shocked. Because the description of the report is so detailed and specific, it seems to happen before your eyes. " Luo Yong told reporters.

The forecast of global climate change in 20 10 in the report mainly includes:

-The annual average temperature in Asia and North America dropped by 5 degrees Fahrenheit (2.8 degrees Celsius), while in Northern Europe it dropped by 6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.3 degrees Celsius). The annual average temperature in key areas of Australia, South America and Southern Africa has risen to 4 degrees Fahrenheit (2.2 degrees Celsius).

-In densely populated agricultural production areas and water supply areas in Europe and eastern North America, the drought will last for decades.

-Snowstorms and strong winds will intensify in winter, and western Europe and the North Pacific will suffer more intense windy weather.

The report specifically mentions the climate situation in China in 20 10:

-The reliability of monsoon precipitation is reduced, which has a great impact on China.

—— A severe drought lasting for 10 years will occur in southern China around ——20 10/0. At present, the precipitation distribution pattern of "waterlogging in the south and drought in the north" in China may become that of "waterlogging in the north and drought in the south".

Summer monsoon can bring precipitation to China, but it also has negative effects. For example, floods will make soil erosion more serious. Because the evaporation cooling effect of water vapor is reduced, the cold in winter will be prolonged and the high temperature will increase in summer.

This report was commissioned by GBN Company, and the US Department of Defense contributed $654.38 million. The starting point of the study is to imagine the worst possibility that global climate change may lead to and put forward countermeasures.

According to researcher Luo Yong, GBN Company is very famous in the United States. This commercial network company is employed by the government or enterprises, engaged in various consulting and evaluation, and provides decision-making basis.

The report has aroused strong repercussions in the United States, Britain, Israel and other countries and environmental organizations. Schwartz, one of the authors of the report, explained: "Although the scenario of global climate change mentioned in the report seems beyond people's imagination, it is very worthwhile to take measures in advance, just as Americans have assessed other major events in history in advance-for example, in 1983, the United States began to plan ahead for the disintegration of the former Soviet Union, and in 1995, we studied whether the World Trade Center would.

A Pentagon spokesman came out to clarify that the report completed by scientists and military advisers did not represent the official position of the Ministry of National Defense. Moreover, Schwartz is not a scientist who studies climate change, but only uses the research results of relevant scientists.

At the same time, another political analysis of this report points out that the Bush administration has always denied the existence of climate change and arbitrarily withdrew from the Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse gas emission reduction, while this "secret" report of the Pentagon was "leaked" in the criticism of the Bush administration's position on climate change-because the terrible scene described in this report is very vivid and even sensational, it is likely to have an important impact on the US election.

Climate change is related to national security, which has not been seriously studied by scientists in China.

Luo Yong said after reading the report, the first reaction was:

"In the past, we rarely considered that the climate would undergo unexpected mutations in the process of slow and gradual development. For example, in the trend of global temperature rising, is there the possibility of a sudden drop? This point has not been seriously studied by China scientists, and the possible consequences have not been expected. "

On the other hand, at present, climatologists' research on climate change only involves the impact of climate change on natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems. "This report reminds us that the climate issue is no longer a simple scientific issue, but a national security issue." Because the climate suddenly becomes cold, it will lead to agricultural production reduction and food shortage; Extreme weather events such as floods and droughts will lead to the decline of fresh water supply and water quality; Ice and storms will interrupt the supply of strategic fossil energy. "These will be directly related to national security."

"No matter the impact of this report or the actual climate change in the future, as a scientist, I think I should do something, at least in this respect, I should provide the basis for scientific decision-making for the country."

Undoubtedly, GBN's report aroused strong interest from scientists in China.

Soon, with the efforts of a group of climatologists, on March 4th, with the report of GBN as the starting point, the China Meteorological Development Strategy Research Leading Group and the Geological Department of the Chinese Academy of Sciences jointly organized and held the "Symposium on Climate Change Response Strategies".

At this meeting, experts clearly pointed out that the scientific basis cited in the GBN report is the research results recognized by most colleagues, but as the author clearly pointed out in the report, the purpose of the report is not to predict how the climate will change, but to describe how climate change will affect human society if we are not prepared.

"It must be pointed out that the situation described in the GBN Report is only an extreme situation, which may happen in some areas, but it will not happen all over the world, and the possibility of an incident is very small."

From May 10 to May 12, the 232nd academic seminar of Xiangshan Science Conference was held with the theme of "Strategies to Deal with Climate Change". Experts suggest that the issue of climate change should be raised to the height of national security, research on climate change and national security countermeasures should be strengthened, and a national mechanism to deal with extreme weather and climate events should be established and incorporated into the national emergency system for major emergencies.

From June 29th to 30th, the Young Scientists Forum with the theme of "Climate System Model Development and Climate Change Response Strategies" was held in Beijing Science and Technology Museum. The report of GBN has once again become one of the focuses of the meeting.

The probability of this mutation is almost zero around 20 10.

Luo Yong said that the basic idea of global climate prediction in the GBN report is that the climate suddenly becomes cold, dry and storms increase, thus causing great harm to human beings.

"According to my research, the scenario predicted by GBN may be almost zero."

Luo Yong turned on the computer and pointed to a series of forms to explain to reporters.

In the report of GBN, two very important scientific evidences are cited to support its prediction. The first scientific basis is a detailed review of historical climate change scenarios by analyzing Greenland ice core samples. They found that whenever the temperature gradually rises to a certain value in history, adverse weather conditions may increase relatively suddenly. In this case, the climate is likely to have a sudden change, such as a sudden drop in temperature, and the extent and duration of cooling will be very long.

According to the data reported by GBN, there have been three such mutations in history.

The first mutation occurred in the "New Fairy Tree Event" about 12700 years ago. In the first few decades of this mutation, the temperature dropped by about 5 degrees Fahrenheit, and after rapid cooling, it was followed by cold and dry weather that lasted for 1000 years.

The second mutation was a "severe winter event" in Europe and other regions 8200 years ago. This sudden change led to the advance of glaciers, the freezing of rivers and the sharp decline of agricultural output.

The third mutation was from14th century to19th century. The North Atlantic experienced a relatively cold stage, which is often called the "Little Ice Age". It brought severe winter and abrupt climate change, which had a far-reaching impact on agriculture, economy and politics in Europe. The ice on the coast of Greenland prevented merchant ships from sailing to Greenland and prevented fishermen from fishing all winter. Farmers are forced to slaughter those malnourished livestock, and fish, vegetables and grains are in short supply. According to statistics, this mutation caused thousands of deaths.

"By analogy, the GBN report believes that the current climate development is also that the global temperature is rising year by year, and the upward trend is similar to several sudden changes in history, so there is a possibility of sudden changes."

Luo Yong said that he also made a detailed analysis of the historical part mentioned in the GBN report: "These data are all about the changes of temperature and seawater salinity before several sudden climate changes in history." Luo Yong said that judging from the temperature rise value every 10 year, the temperature rise before the "New Fairy Tree Event" was 1 ~ 2 degrees Celsius, before the "Severe Winter Event" was 3 ~ 5 degrees Celsius, and before the "Little Ice Age" was 1 ~ 2 degrees Celsius, but now the temperature rise is only 0.6 degrees Celsius, which is much lower than before.

Judging from the decrease of salinity before the climate mutation, the salinity of Xinxianshu decreased by 2 ‰ ~ 3 ‰ before the event, by 1.0‰ before the severe winter event and by less than 0.5 ‰ before the Little Ice Age, but now it has decreased by 0.05 ‰ ~ 0. 10 ‰, which is also lower than that before the previous mutations.

"Through the comparison of these data, I think it is unlikely that the climate will suddenly change in the short term." Luo Yong said.

Another scientific basis of the GBN report is that there is a temperature (degree) salt (degree) circulating conveyor belt in the surface and deep layer of the world ocean. This conveyor belt starts from the North Atlantic near Greenland, because the temperature of seawater here is relatively low and the salinity of seawater is relatively high. Driven by gravity, the seawater here will sink, then flow southward in the deep sea, and finally turn over in the North Pacific Ocean and the North Indian Ocean, becoming a surface ocean current and returning.

"Where the circulation passes, it brings a hot and humid climate on the ocean, so there is a lot of precipitation and good temperature in these places." However, the GBN report points out that with the global temperature rising, the ice in Greenland is melting, and more and more fresh water is collected in the North Atlantic through rivers on land, which makes the salinity of the sea water in the North Atlantic decrease, which leads to the loss of gravity and no longer forms circulation. "So, without circulation, the heat and humid climate on the ocean can't reach the land. It is a possible fact that the global climate is abrupt and the temperature is decreasing. "

According to the scientific basis mentioned in the report, Luo Yong also put forward his own views. He said that judging from the current variation range of seawater salinity in the North Atlantic, there is no possibility that the thermohaline circulation will be closed in the next 20 years.

"So, from this scientific basis, the possibility of climate change predicted by the GBN Report is almost zero. The probability that this mutation occurs at least around 20 10 is too small. "

Around 20 10, China may become "drought in the south and waterlogging in the north"

"Around 2065,438+00, there may be 65,438+00 years of drought in southern China."

Luo Yong said that most of the predictions about China in the GBN report are vague, and only one clearly points out the time and place, that is, around 20 10, a severe drought will occur in southern China for 10 years; At the same time, some people say that the current precipitation distribution pattern of "waterlogging in the south and drought in the north" in China may become "waterlogging in the north and drought in the south" by then.

Luo Yong said that he tried to prove it from two aspects.

On the one hand, taking every 10 year as a stage, the summer precipitation in China is analyzed. Through a lot of analysis, Luo Yong drew the summer precipitation distribution map of China 195 1 to 2000.

From the distribution map, Luo Yong found the following laws: 195 1 ~ 1960, the summer precipitation in China is mainly concentrated in the northeast and north China; From 196 1 to 1970, the summer precipitation in China is mainly concentrated in North China, and the northeast begins to decrease. 197 1 to 1980, the summer precipitation concentration area in China continues to move southward, and the northern part begins to decrease; From 198 1 to 1990, the summer precipitation in China is concentrated in the Jianghuai basin. 199 1 By 2000, the summer precipitation in China was mainly concentrated in the south of the Yangtze River, forming the current distribution pattern of "waterlogging in the south and drought in the north".

"It can be seen that the areas where precipitation is concentrated in China change regularly, with a cycle of about 20 years. In the next 10 year, the rainy area may return to the north, which means that the situation of' drought in the south and waterlogging in the north' may be formed around 20 10. " Luo Yong said.

On the other hand, verification is more dramatic.

Luo Yong said that the uncertainty of climate change is very great, especially the uncertainty of abrupt climate change is even greater. The future climate prediction models provided by IPCC to countries, as well as the future climate prediction models made by countries themselves, all consider the impact of human activities on climate change, especially greenhouse gas emissions.

The main investigation content is greenhouse gases, mainly because for East Asia, the East Asian monsoon largely determines the amount of summer precipitation. The emission of greenhouse gases leads to an increase in the temperature of the East Asian continent, which will determine the temperature difference between the mainland and the ocean, thus determining the strength of the East Asian monsoon. The strength of the East Asian monsoon determines whether the moist water vapor in the ocean can reach the north or south of the land. "Generally speaking, if greenhouse gas emissions are excessive, the temperature on the mainland will rise rapidly. In summer, the temperature difference between the ocean and the mainland is relatively small, and the pressure difference is also small, which determines that the monsoon will be weak, so that the monsoon can only reach the south of the mainland, and vice versa. "

"We took the greenhouse gas emission value of China and calculated it comprehensively in these models, and got a dramatic conclusion." Luo Yong said with a smile that if global greenhouse gas emissions are not controlled according to the current high level, the calculated situation is that by 20 10, the distribution type of summer precipitation in China will remain the current "northern drought" and will not change. Then, the "10 drought" mentioned in the GBN Report does not exist.

"However, if governments all over the world strengthen the supervision of greenhouse gas emissions and reduce greenhouse gas emissions through various means, then by 20 10, we will find that the precipitation distribution type in China will become' drought in the south and waterlogging in the north' as predicted in the GBN report, and the south may really face drought."

There is a 70-year cycle from "southern waterlogging and northern drought" to "southern waterlogging and northern drought"

Luo Yong's analysis was echoed by another scientist.

"The GBN report predicts that around 20 10, the precipitation type in China will change from' southern waterlogging and northern drought' to' northern waterlogging and southern drought'. 1 year ago, I came to this conclusion. "

Qian, a professor of atmospheric science at Peking University Institute of Physics, told reporters in the laboratory.

Since 1999, Qian has been engaged in "research on the law of dry and wet changes in northern China in recent hundred years and its prediction methods".

He first analyzed the data of temperature and precipitation collected by nearly 500 weather stations in China from 196 1 to 2000. Professor Qian found that there was an obvious change in summer precipitation in China around 1979: before 1979, summer precipitation in China was obviously more in the north and less in the south; After 1979, it gradually became more in the south and less in the north, which is now the "southern drought".

I'm a little excited to find the money at this demarcation point. He advanced the subsequent data collection and sorting work by 120 years. When the data of 120 is put in front of money, soon, something regular appears again.

Qian found that from 19 10 to 1940, the summer precipitation in China is more in the south and less in the north; From 1940 to 1980, the summer precipitation in China is less in the south and more in the north. Since 1980, summer precipitation in China is more in the south and less in the north.

"19 10 ~ 1940 is 30 years, 1940 ~ 1980 is 40 years, from 19 10 to/kloc-0.

Is this cycle credible? Qian Wei Hong once again pushed forward the time of data collection for 500 years. This 500-year limited data once again confirmed the accuracy of this 70-year cycle. "The analysis of drought and flood in eastern China in the past thousand years and 500 years reveals that the drought and flood changes in the Yangtze River and the Yellow River basins are opposite, and they still appear alternately in a cycle of 70 years."

After getting this rule, Qian was still worried. He found evidence from South Korea. It turns out that the quantitative observation of precipitation in Seoul, South Korea began with 1777. Judging from the data collected here for more than 200 years, the precipitation in East Asia is only a periodic change of 60 ~ 70 years.

Using the latest international atmospheric circulation grid data in recent 50 years, Qian was pleasantly surprised to find that the circulation transformation of the East Asian monsoon also occurred at 1979. When the East Asian monsoon began to weaken in the decade of 1979, the monsoon could only send the airflow to the south of China, and the water vapor sent to the north decreased. At this time, there was a pattern of "flooding in the south and drought in the north".

"It is on the basis of these studies that I can say that the climate change in northern and southern China is bound to happen." Professor Qian said that according to the 70-year cycle, the "drought in the south and drought in the north" that started at 1979 will change to "drought in the south and drought in the north" around 20 15, but the specific time will also be related to the influence of human activities.

What does the change of precipitation mean to the South-to-North Water Transfer Project?

"The increase in precipitation in North China has a great impact on the restoration of the northern ecosystem." A recent study by Wu, a researcher at the National Climate Center, used the climate prediction model developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences to simulate the precipitation change trend in North China under the current greenhouse gas emission conditions. "In the next decade, the precipitation in North China may increase, which is a good phenomenon." Wu Shuo, appropriately increasing the precipitation in the north will undoubtedly stimulate the sustained economic development and progress in these places.

"The change of precipitation has little influence on the South-to-North Water Transfer Project." Wu Shuo, according to his research, the rainfall in the north after the transformation is only equivalent to the increase in local normal years. "The water resources in the north are definitely lacking, and a lot of water resources are needed to maintain the normal development of the ecology."

"According to our forecast, if the precipitation changes, the precipitation in the north may increase by 20%." Luo Yong said that there are many uncertainties in the study of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project due to the uncertainty of climate change, and it is still unclear what significant impact the change of precipitation distribution will have on this project.

Zhao Ping, a researcher at China Institute of Meteorological Science, also thinks that the prediction that summer precipitation in China will become "drought in the south and waterlogging in the north" in 20 10 is too uncertain. Whether it will change is on the one hand, it is hard to say what kind of drought it will be, what kind of waterlogging it will be, where it is dry in the south and where it is waterlogged in the north.

3. how to control it? I can't help it! ! ! People have to live! People have to live! Pollution gas discharge, pollution liquid discharge, etc ... all cause serious damage to the ozone layer and atmospheric protective film. Unless the earth returns to the society before the industrial revolution in age of steam! This is obviously an unrealistic idea ... besides, every few hundred thousand years, millions of years, tens of millions of years, the earth will repair itself and stop its core operation. The self-diffusion of the atmosphere allows ultraviolet rays to directly shine in (disinfect), causing meteorite impact (jet), plate movement (spot removal), volcanic eruption, earthquake and tsunami, destroying everything on the surface and making everything zero. Just like mixing cement (hospitalization), hundreds of millions of years later, the earth began to repair itself, and the atmosphere and ozone layer recombined to brew life. This is why in 1998, Canada excavated an electronic board estimated to be 86 million years ago, and no country on the earth could develop it (the technology content was too high), while international experts studying the evolutionary history of the earth came to such amazing conclusions. ..................................................................................., am I digressing? 0 0-= Khan ... Shit! I played for more than half an hour. .....