The latest development of Typhoon Danas 20 19. Which areas of China does Typhoon Danas affect?

Today, you should have seen the news of Typhoon Danas No.5, which may have an impact on China, and there may be heavy rain in many cities in China. Friends who plan to travel in the near future had better pay attention, some places may not be suitable for travel.

The latest development of Typhoon No.5 After several days and nights of sea development, the typhoon embryo 98w finally has obvious movement. According to the forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory, at 5: 00 this morning (16), the typhoon embryo 98w intensified into a tropical depression (15m/s), and it is expected to develop into the fifth typhoon this year in the future 12 hours. Judging from the current path, it is likely to land on the southeast coast of China.

The tropical depression center east of the Philippines is located at 5 o'clock this morning (16) on the northwest Pacific Ocean about 760 kilometers north-east of Manila, Philippines, that is, north latitude 17. 1 degree and east longitude 127.6 degree. The maximum wind force near the center is level 7 (15m/s), and the lowest air pressure in the center.

It is estimated that the low pressure will move from west to north-west at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. In the next 12 hour, it may develop into the fifth typhoon this year and gradually approach the southeast coast of China.

Gale forecast: From 08: 00 on July 16 to 08: 00 on July 17, there will be 6-7 gale in bashi channel, southeast coast of Taiwan Province Province, ocean surface, sea area east of northeast South China Sea, southern South China Sea and Taiwan Province Strait, and some ocean surface winds east of the Philippines can reach 8-9.

Current position of typhoon embryo

In addition, according to supercomputer simulation, the strongest quasi-typhoon "Danas" may reach the standard of 986mb, which is equivalent to the standard of a strong tropical storm or typhoon. The simulation of GFS is most likely to land directly from the Pearl River Delta, so friends here should pay more attention, while the simulation of GEFS is scattered, and it is possible to go to Fujian or even north, while the simulation path of GEFS is two routes close to Japan.

According to the latest news from the Central Meteorological Observatory, yesterday afternoon (15), a tropical depression was formally formed in the east of the Philippines. After a night of drifting at sea, it has reached about 760 kilometers northeast of Manila, Philippines, and has reached (approached) the typhoon 48-hour warning zone. The future estimate is 12 hour.

Judging from the location of typhoon monitoring network, this tropical depression will reach (approach) the 48-hour warning line area of typhoon. It is estimated that the tropical depression may be generated at the earliest on the night of 16, and it is named as Typhoon Danas No.5 this year. Of course, how long it takes to name it depends on the Japan Meteorological Agency. Now, we can only continue to try to explain it with tropical depression or "quasi-typhoon" Danas. According to the data, the embryo of this typhoon.

According to the Central Meteorological Observatory, as of 8: 00 this morning, the tropical depression center east of the Philippines is located on the northwest Pacific Ocean about 760 kilometers north-east of Manila, Philippines, that is, north latitude 17. 1 degree, east longitude 127.6 degree. The maximum wind force near the center is level 7 (15m/s), and the lowest pressure in the center is 998 hectopascals.

It is estimated that the low pressure will move from west to north-west at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. In the next 12 hour, it may develop into the fifth typhoon this year and gradually approach the southeast coast of China.

Gale forecast: From 08: 00 on July 16 to 08: 00 on July 17, there will be 6-7 gale in bashi channel, southeast coast of Taiwan Province Province, ocean surface, sea area east of northeast South China Sea, southern South China Sea and Taiwan Province Strait, and some ocean surface winds east of the Philippines can reach 8-9.

According to the latest forecast of the supercomputer, it is basically certain that the future Typhoon No.5 will approach the eastern coast of the Philippines, but there are many uncertainties in the subsequent path. This is because the subtropical high in the summer of 20 19 is too weak and unstable, and its later fluctuation is relatively large, which will produce relatively large variables in its path. At present, supercomputers have given several possible paths: one is to cross bashi channel or land in the Philippines and enter the South China Sea, approaching the coast of Guangdong; The other is to cross the island of Taiwan Province Province in China and land in Fujian; The third is to approach the east China coast directly; Fourth, after landing in the Philippines, the U-turn will affect Taiwan Province Province and even the coastal areas of East China.

At present, there is a tropical depression active in the waters east of the Philippines, and it is predicted that it will develop into the fifth typhoon this year in the next 12 hours, and gradually approach the southeast coast of China. In addition, in the next three days, there will be scattered heavy rainfall and strong convective weather in the central and eastern regions of China, so we need to be vigilant.

At 5 o'clock this morning, the tropical depression center east of the Philippines is located in the northwest Pacific Ocean about 760 kilometers north-east of Manila, Philippines, which is 17. 1 degree north latitude and 127.6 degree east longitude. The maximum wind force near the center is level 7 (15m/s), and the lowest pressure in the center is 998 hectopascals.

It is estimated that the low pressure will move from west to north-west at a speed of about 25 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. In the next 12 hour, it may develop into the fifth typhoon this year and gradually approach the southeast coast of China. According to the analysis of the current situation, the typhoon may be aimed at Taiwan Province Province and Fujian, or it will land in Fujian on 19.

Due to several rounds of heavy rainfall in Fujian in the early stage, rivers rose in soft geology. Although the intensity of Typhoon No.5 is a tropical storm (the lowest level of typhoon), we should pay attention to prevention and keep an eye on the approaching forecast at any time.

Yesterday, the distribution of heavy rainfall affecting China was scattered, with moderate to heavy rain in most parts of Northeast China, western North China, eastern Northwest China and Sichuan Basin, and local or heavy rain in northeastern Shanxi, northeastern Sichuan and southwestern Chongqing. There is heavy rain or rainstorm in parts of northeastern and central Guangxi, southern Zhejiang and northwestern Fujian.

It is estimated that there will be moderate to heavy rain in parts of central Inner Mongolia, northwestern Hebei, central and western Heilongjiang, northwestern Gansu, southwestern Shaanxi, central and eastern Sichuan Basin and northern Jiangnan today. Among them, there are heavy rains in parts of central and western Heilongjiang, southwestern Shaanxi and northeastern Sichuan Basin.

In addition, from16 to18, there will be high temperature weather of 35 ~ 37℃ in south-central Jiangnan, most of southern China, southern Xinjiang basin and Turpan basin, and the local temperature will exceed 37℃. In addition, starting from 18, the hot weather in the central and southern parts of North China and the central and western parts of Huanghuai will also come back.

The latest news of typhoon 20 19 One of the typhoon embryos east of the Philippines finally stands out from many embryos and is about to be completed. Typhoon No.5 is expected to be generated within 12 hours. According to the latest data analysis, the typhoon may go straight to the southeast or south China coastal areas in the future, but it may also go north to Japan. The accurate path needs to follow up the latest news of Typhoon No.2019 this year in real time.

Future path trend of Typhoon No.5

According to the Central Meteorological Observatory, at present, a tropical depression is moving east of the Philippines, and it is predicted that it will develop into the fifth typhoon this year in the next 12 hour, and gradually approach the southeast coast of China. In addition, in the next three days, there will be scattered heavy rainfall and strong convective weather in the central and eastern regions of China, so we need to be vigilant.

At present, the specific position of Dahners embryos in Typhoon No.5:

Time: 05: 00 on June 6, 65438

Center position: north latitude 17. 1 degree, east longitude 127.6 degree.

Intensity grade: tropical depression

Maximum wind force: level 7, 15m/s (about 54km/h).

Central air pressure: 998 hectopascals

Reference location: about 760 kilometers northeast of Manila, Philippines.

Forecast conclusion: The tropical depression will move westward at a speed of about 22 kilometers per hour.

Satellite images of Typhoon Danas

According to professional analysis, although the future Danas is huge, the cloud system is loose and the structure is chaotic; It has more than one center, and it is difficult to develop and integrate. This is a typical feature of monsoon depression: edema. However, its atmospheric and marine conditions are superior: the temperature of seawater at the foot is very high, generally above 30 degrees, and the energy supply is extremely sufficient; Before entering the South China Sea, the vertical wind shear is not very large, and it may be connected with the subtropical jet, which is the killer of typhoon strengthening.

Therefore, the intensity of Typhoon No.5 in the future will be changeable: under normal circumstances, it is difficult to complete the structure, so it is likely to be ugly, weak and scattered all its life, and it will affect China with the intensity of tropical storms of magnitude 8-9; However, one possibility is not ruled out: if it is reorganized to the east of the Philippines, it will be rapidly strengthened and reach typhoon level or even higher intensity.