Why can only the Japan Meteorological Agency name typhoons in the Asia-Pacific region? The remaining 13 areas can only provide names.

The worst typhoon Weipa since 2004 will directly hit Tokyo, and whether there is water in the Japanese capital has become a hot topic. Although the types of typhoons that hit Japan are relatively simple, they are relatively easy to predict; However, there are indeed many places worth learning from the Japan Meteorological Agency: 1, with professionalism first and outstanding independence; 2. The meteorological monitoring and disaster prevention system is complete; 3. The meteorological database is complete, solid and completely open; 4. Excellent information disclosure, meteorological communication and meteorological science popularization.

First of all, we don't object to Mr. @ Xu Jingbo Weibo's praise of the Japan Meteorological Agency (/S/blog _ 4Cd1c1670102eyw.html). But the title of this article is wrong and the content is debatable.

First of all, the "accurate forecast" of typhoons is impossible for any country at present. The map in xu teacher's blog also shows clearly that even a typhoon with an uncomplicated path like "Weipa" has a big error circle on the forecast map of the Japan Meteorological Agency, and its landing range extends from Wakayama Prefecture to Chiba Prefecture, which is similar to what the Central Meteorological Observatory said before the arrival of Fete. This is still a range prediction, not an accurate prediction; In fact, the Japan Meteorological Agency adjusts the path of Typhoon Wepa on the 26th every day. This is especially true for the impact of typhoons. The influence of typhoon will not follow the theoretical tropical cyclone energy distribution at all. Terrain, cold air and other weather systems will have great influence. There are many extreme weather, and the Japan Meteorological Agency can do nothing about it. Otherwise, there will be no typhoon Talas at 20 1 1.

Second, the Japan Meteorological Agency is the naming agency for typhoons in East Asia-Northwest Pacific, and there is no such thing as "refusing to use foreign names". Of course, Japanese media rarely use the name of typhoon, and generally say "Typhoon xx" directly, which is a habit, just like the United States basically says "Hurricane xx" without numbers. Our country used to give priority to numbering, and later adopted the method of "combining numbering with name". It's hard to say which of these three communication methods is better or worse.

Third, the strength of the Japan Meteorological Agency is not at the forecasting level. Its grasp of the typhoon path is not significantly higher than that of the Central Meteorological Observatory. Japan Meteorological Agency has numerical values, and so does China (T63913). However, for typhoon forecast, the overall accuracy of Japanese numerical values is not as good as that of European numerical values, and all meteorological bureaus must also look at European numerical values. One thing must be known, the information of numerical forecast is enjoyed by every family, and what Japan can see will certainly be seen by China; The same is true of cloud images.

Of course, the meteorological research and service level of Japan Meteorological Agency is world-class and worth learning, mainly in the following aspects:

1, professionalism and independence. Although the Japan Meteorological Agency also has errors in the naming and intensity of the typhoon "Tight Hands and Loose Hands", on the whole, the scale is unified, which can be said professionally, and it will not be the strongest since the founding of the People's Republic of China. Don't say that there is no such data just because the data is too scary; Apologize for mistakes and mistakes in time. The long-term professionalism makes the Japan Meteorological Agency have high credibility at home and abroad, and the Meteorological Agency is a very important member of the Japan Disaster Prevention Joint Conference. In the Pacific Northwest, Japan Meteorological Agency is the naming agency.

2. The monitoring and disaster prevention system has been completed. The Japan Meteorological Agency has long established a nationwide meteorological monitoring network, and even the Okinawa Islands have standard weather stations. The location of the station is exquisite, all kinds of observation elements are complete, the equipment is perfect, and the data is updated and recorded in real time. As early as the 1960s, the anemometer of Japan Meteorological Agency could resist the continuous wind of 66 meters per second. The meteorological monitoring network in China has also been established, and the observation stations in the eastern coastal areas are also dense, but it is undeniable that there are still many observation blind spots, and many stations have problems in site selection and are constantly facing the problem of moving stations; In many places, including some economically developed southern provinces, the quality of observation instruments is very poor. This year, a large number of wind stations can't resist the gust of more than 60 meters per second, and they are destroyed by typhoons, which leads to problems in data integrity and validity, which is not conducive to research.

With the help of this monitoring network, the disaster prevention information of Japan Meteorological Agency has reached a detailed level, and a very fine disaster prevention network has been formed in cooperation with other departments. The Meteorological Agency also cooperates with big media to update disaster prevention information in a very high frequency and friendly way, which makes it very convenient for people to understand disaster prevention information. It is worth mentioning that, as a typhoon disaster country, the Japan Meteorological Agency does not have a special typhoon warning, but constantly issues warnings of rain, tide, flood and wind when typhoons come, really starting from the feelings and needs of ordinary people. This is called people-oriented.

3. Solid, complete and completely open typhoon data. The typhoon statistics of Japan Meteorological Agency are so solid that even the National Hurricane Center of the United States can't compare with it. All typhoons since World War II have detailed information, and the main typhoons that hit Japan 45 years later have a database, with all the facts such as location, intensity, hourly cloud picture, wind speed, air pressure, rainfall and so on, which is convenient to find. The Japan Meteorological Agency also launched a special topic to write biographies for famous typhoons and special typhoons, and to write a summary and review of typhoon activities every year. More importantly, all these materials are open to the public, not only to the Japanese, but also to the people of China. As long as you have access to the Internet, you can find them at any time.

4. Information disclosure and meteorological science popularization are excellent. The meteorological data disclosure of Japan Meteorological Agency has reached the level of "difficult to start". Log in to the website of Japan Meteorological Agency at any time, and you can find the weather live data anywhere in the country very quickly, without missing decimal points, and provide visualization, tables and other ways, as well as sort the weather live data in any area; Satellite cloud pictures have many formats, which can be updated at any time, and the clarity is high, which is desirable. Needless to say, the historical typhoon data has been stated in point 3.

What's more, the weather forecast and popular science materials released by the Japan Meteorological Agency for the media, just like xu teacher said, are made by heart for ordinary people. Although it is not "the old lady can understand", it is really peaceful and approachable, easy to understand and exquisite in style. In particular, the release of satellite cloud images has truly achieved high definition, mass, ease of use and friendliness, rather than perfunctory use of a desktop interface for forecasters, which is extremely difficult for ordinary people to use. The Japanese people's awareness of disaster prevention is so strong and their knowledge of disaster prevention is so complete, which is believed to be related to the information disclosure and meteorological science popularization of the Japan Meteorological Agency.

Finally, I want to say a few words. Disaster prevention and mitigation is not only a matter for meteorological departments, but even mainly not for meteorological departments. Although there is still a gap between China's meteorological department and Japan's, the forecast is relatively mature. In this typhoon Fete forecast, it can be said that there are no mistakes, and there is certainly room for improvement. The above points of Japan Meteorological Agency may be the direction of efforts.