With the development of science today, why is the accurate forecast of rainstorm still a world problem?

? Experts from the Beijing Meteorological Bureau said that due to the complexity and variability of the atmospheric system and the uncertainty of the numerical forecast itself, the weather forecast is still not 100% certain. At present, the ability of science and technology to predict the weather can only be roughly estimated but not completely determined, and it is impossible to predict the exact position in advance at present.

? But the accuracy of the weather forecast is much more accurate than in previous years. What causes the weather forecast to be inaccurate? Because the severe convective weather forecast is based on its physical mechanism, the physical mechanism is very complex and will be affected by many factors, so the severe convective weather must have the characteristics of suddenness and locality. Moreover, in the process of triggering and evolution, the strong convective system will be influenced by many factors such as background weather system and region, so why is the accurate forecast of heavy rain still a world problem today with such advanced science?

? Today, with the development of science, the weather forecast has been much more accurate. If the weather forecast we usually see is rainy, it won't be sunny. Its accuracy is still relatively high, and only a few cases are inaccurate. The weather really has a great influence on people, because it can adjust the itinerary or activities of the day and reduce a lot of trouble.

? I believe that with the development of science and technology, the future weather forecast will be more accurate. Although I dare not say 100%, it will definitely be better. Today, with the development of science and technology, people's lives are more and more convenient, and the quality of life has been improving. However, with the development of science and technology today, the ancients must not believe that the weather can be predicted to this extent. In fact, it has made great progress. I really can't imagine what the future will be like now. Maybe there was a big gap between then and now.