The corn market fell in the north and rose in the south. Will the price be stable? 10 corn market trend forecast in late June

After 5438+ 10 in mid-June, the purchase of corn in major domestic producing areas was basically completed, and the autumn grain market transactions were extremely hot. However, under the background of weak new grain purchase, compared with the high state of corn in the previous period, the current corn market trend began to run weakly. And as far as the market is concerned, the price differentiation is also obvious. The number of new corn listed in the northern region increased, the purchase price decreased one after another, and some areas in the south rebounded slightly. In addition, the central government recently issued the latest grain purchase policy of 202 1, so what impact will it have on the corn market? Can corn prices stabilize? Next, let's take a look at the latest 10 corn market forecast analysis.

What's the price of corn now?

Dry corn: dry corn 1.36 yuan/kg in Wanquan District, Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province; Dry corn 1.42 yuan/kg in Hohhot and Linger County, Inner Mongolia; Taian county, Anshan City, Liaoning Province, dried corn 1.24 yuan/kg; Dehui city dry corn 1. 18 yuan/kg; Yilan county, Harbin, Heilongjiang 1.05 yuan/kg of dry corn; Dry corn 1.2 1 yuan/kg in Pizhou City, Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province; 0.9 yuan/kg of dry corn in Fushan District, Yantai City, Shandong Province; Dry corn 1.05 yuan/kg in Xiayi County, Shangqiu City, Henan Province.

Corn kernels: topaz kernels 1.33 yuan/kg in Mianxian County, Hanzhong City, Shaanxi Province; Topaz rice grain 1.39 yuan/kg, Guandu District, Kunming City, Yunnan Province; Topaz 1. 1 yuan/kg, Jimo District, Qingdao, Shandong; Siziwangqi, Wulanchabu City, Inner Mongolia Yu Zi Mi Li 0.8 yuan/kg; Waxy corn kernels 1.3 yuan/kg in Xingren City, Buyi and Miao Autonomous Prefecture, Southwest Guizhou; 65438 black corn kernels +0.5 yuan/kg in Xinfu District, Xinzhou City, Shanxi Province; Baiyumili 1.5 yuan/kg, Zhongjiang County, Deyang City, Sichuan Province; Sweet corn kernels in Lingshou County, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province are 0.75 yuan/kg; Hybrid corn kernels 1.24 yuan/kg in Wusu City, Tacheng District, Xinjiang.

Popcorn: Popcorn in Linquan County, Fuyang City, Anhui Province is 0.85 yuan/kg; Yuncheng County, Heze City, Shandong Province, popcorn 0.77 yuan/kg; Popcorn 1.2 yuan/kg in Yumin County, Tacheng District, Xinjiang.

Dry corn grain: dry corn grain in Sheqi County, Nanyang City, Henan Province, 1.47 yuan/kg; Corn dry food 1.5 yuan/kg in Xinning County, Shaoyang City, Hunan Province; Dry corn grain 1.5 yuan/kg in Xixiangtang District, Nanning, Guangxi; Dry corn food 1.52 yuan/kg in Weining Yi, Hui and Miao Autonomous County, Bijie City, Guizhou Province; Dry corn grain 1.34 yuan/kg in Lingshou County, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province; Dry corn kernels 1.3 yuan/kg in Lingtai County, Pingliang City, Gansu Province.

Note: This price comes from the wholesale price of Huinong. For your reference only! Please refer to the latest local real-time quotation for details.

We should focus on the favorable and unfavorable factors of corn market.

First, positive factors.

1, enterprise inventory is generally low.

Recently, the price of corn has fluctuated greatly, and the trend in the later period is difficult to predict, so many people dare not rush to shoot. In particular, processing enterprises have basically maintained a low inventory at present, and they are used as they are used. Low inventory means that the demand for corn is always there.

2. The cost of corn planting becomes higher.

This year, the global inflation situation is very severe, and the prices of grain, crude oil and coal are all rising wildly. Similarly, the price of chemical fertilizer has been high, which directly raises the planting cost of corn, so it also promotes the market price of corn to some extent.

3. Preferential grain harvest policy.

Judging from the recent grain harvest policy, not only the grain harvest channels are more diversified, but also the purchase price of corn this year will never be low, which is undoubtedly good news for farmers. In addition, after 10, the auction rate of corn purchased by China Grain Reserve increased, which also shows that traders are still bullish on the price of corn in the later period.

Second, negative factors.

1, high yield of maize

This year's planting area has obviously expanded. Although some areas of Huanghuai were affected by rainy weather, the output decreased obviously, but the overall output still maintained a bumper harvest. Moreover, with the increase in the listing of new grain in Northeast China, corn still has the risk of falling back.

There are too many imported corn.

The data shows that China's corn imports reached 210.4 million tons in the first half of the year, up 280% year-on-year. The increase of imported corn will also have a certain impact on domestic corn.

3. Farmers are highly motivated to produce grain.

Recently, the weather in some major producing areas such as North China has improved, and the sales of grain sources with poor quality and difficult storage in the early stage have come to an end. Farmers' enthusiasm for growing grain is enhanced, and the market supply is sufficient, which is not conducive to corn prices.

4. The demand for corn feed has weakened.

The proportion of corn in feed is reduced to about 30-40%, and the demand for feed is obviously suppressed. The overall demand level of corn has decreased compared with previous years, and the pull on corn prices is very limited.

10 corn market trend forecast in late June

At present, the new season corn has been harvested and put on the market in most areas. However, due to the continuous rainy weather in Huanghuai area in the early stage, it was difficult to dry, and the grain merchants were depressed, mainly because the new corn had more water and was difficult to store. In the short term, the corn market is likely to run weakly. And now the production capacity of pig breeding is also recovering rapidly. In order to reduce the cost of breeding, the feed value of corn is getting weaker and weaker, which further inhibits the price increase of corn.

However, due to the recent improvement in the weather in the north, in order to avoid disasters and reduce production again, factories and feed mills have the initiative to lay out positions in advance to solve the problem of insufficient supply of high-quality corn in the later period, which will also aggravate the performance of rising corn market. In addition, with the increase of policy acquisition, the corn market will at least not bottom out. Coupled with the increase in corn planting costs, there is also the possibility of rising corn prices. To sum up, it is expected that corn prices will continue to fluctuate in the future, and the price fluctuation space is relatively limited.

Generally speaking, the current corn price is unstable, and the price difference between the north and the south is obvious. There are various possibilities for market changes during this period. Based on this uncertainty, farmers are now holding a wait-and-see attitude. Only when the new season corn in Northeast China is fully listed in June 5438+065438+ 10, will the real price surface, and then the market will gradually become clear. Although it is impossible to accurately predict the corn market, it is certain that the corn will maintain high quality and good price in the later period. Therefore, it is suggested that farmers should pay more attention to the changes in weather, market and policies, and make timely decisions and adjustments that are beneficial to them, such as stocking or selling.